Match Analysis: Darius Fulghum vs Bektemir Melikuziev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: The Theater, Virgin Hotels, Las Vegas, US
Game Overview
The super middleweight boxing match between undefeated Darius Fulghum (14-0, 12 KOs) and Bektemir Melikuziev (15-1, 10 KOs) is set as a 12-round title eliminator for the WBA super-middleweight championship. Fulghum, who has been very active recently with four fights in 2024 and a 4th-round TKO in February, is stepping up in competition to face Melikuziev, who is coming off his 2025 debut and riding an eight-fight winning streak. The bout is scheduled for May 30, 2025, at the Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas and will be broadcast on DAZN.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fulghum is undefeated with a record of 14-0 and a high knockout ratio (12 KOs), demonstrating both power and momentum after a recent TKO victory. Melikuziev holds a 15-1 record with a strong 10 KOs and has been consistently successful, recently winning two decisions in 2024 and maintaining an eight-fight win streak.
- There are no prior fights between Fulghum and Melikuziev; this is their first meeting, making head-to-head data unavailable.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into this match.
- The fight takes place in Las Vegas, a neutral venue for both athletes but a prime location for high-stakes boxing events which could elevate both fighters' motivation. Both fighters are promoted by Golden Boy Promotions, which may influence strategic build-up and media exposure.
- Fulghum is motivated to defend his undefeated record and prove himself against a tougher opponent, while Melikuziev aims to solidify his status as a top contender with an elimination bout win, marking a key step in his career progression.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bektemir Melikuziev: -130, Darius Fulghum: 100 | Bektemir Melikuziev to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Melikuziev -1.5 rounds: -110, Fulghum +1.5 rounds: -110 | Melikuziev -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -115, Under 8.5 rounds: -105 | Over 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bektemir Melikuziev -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bektemir Melikuziev at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bektemir Melikuziev is favored to win based on experience, recent form, and betting odds. Fulghum’s undefeated streak and recent knockout power make him a serious threat, but Melikuziev’s resilience and tactical style should allow him to edge out a close decision or late-round stoppage win.
Predicted Score: Melikuziev wins by split decision or late-round stoppage