Match Analysis: Irina Alekseeva vs Beatriz Mesquita – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Event – Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This Bantamweight division prelim fight features Beatriz Mesquita, a highly experienced and dominant grappler from Brazil, against rising Russian contender Irina Alekseeva. Mesquita enters as a strong favorite with significant betting support, reflecting her superior MMA résumé and grappling dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Beatriz Mesquita has exhibited consistent dominance in recent bouts, showing strong grappling and control, with multiple wins in 2025 at UFC and LFA levels. Irina Alekseeva, while improving, has less experience and fewer wins against top-tier competition.
• No recorded previous bouts between Mesquita and Alekseeva, making this a form and style matchup rather than historical dominance.
• No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the match, allowing both to perform at expected levels.
• Fight takes place in Brazil, Beatriz Mesquita's home country, potentially boosting her motivation and crowd support.
• Mesquita aims to extend her dominance and reinforce UFC contender status, while Alekseeva seeks to make a significant UFC statement. Mesquita’s experience at high-level competition increases her motivation to maintain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Beatriz Mesquita -575, Irina Alekseeva +425	Beatriz Mesquita	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Beatriz Mesquita -7.5 -230, Irina Alekseeva +7.5 165	Beatriz Mesquita -7.5	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 1.5 -154, Under 1.5 120	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Beatriz Mesquita -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Beatriz Mesquita moneyline

Predicted Score: Beatriz Mesquita wins by submission or decision within 2 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Miguel Trindade vs. Bobo Sacko Prediction	Miguel Trindade Win	-145	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Irina Alekseeva vs. Beatriz Mesquita Prediction	Beatriz Mesquita -7.5	-230	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Julia Polastri vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz Prediction	Julia Polastri Win	-470	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +194

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $58.8

Match Analysis: Beatriz Mesquita vs Sierra Dinwoodie – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Seneca Allegany Resort & Casino, Salamanca, New York

Game Overview

This MMA bout features Beatriz Mesquita, a renowned Jiu-Jitsu champion, against Sierra Dinwoodie, an undefeated Canadian prospect, competing for the vacant LFA Women's Bantamweight title.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bia Mesquita is a 10-time Jiu-Jitsu world champion, while Sierra Dinwoodie is an undefeated MMA fighter.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is part of LFA 211, which kicks off UFC International Fight Week.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to win the title and enhance their MMA careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-300 (Mesquita), +200 (Dinwoodie)	Mesquita	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Beatriz Mesquita -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Beatriz Mesquita is predicted to win based on her extensive Jiu-Jitsu background and experience.

Predicted Score: Decision or submission victory for Beatriz Mesquita.

Match Analysis: Beatriz Mesquita vs Hope Chase – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 6, 2025
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

This highly anticipated women's bantamweight matchup features Beatriz 'Bia' Mesquita, a renowned Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu champion transitioning to MMA, against Hope Chase, a decorated Karateka with significant striking experience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Beatriz Mesquita is undefeated in MMA with three submission wins, leveraging her exceptional grappling skills. Hope Chase brings a strong Karate background and a mix of striking and submission victories.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The event is part of a significant combat sports week in Las Vegas, which may influence crowd energy and fighter motivation.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Mesquita looking to continue her MMA success and Chase seeking a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-200 (Mesquita), +160 (Chase)	Beatriz Mesquita	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	-1.5 (Mesquita), +1.5 (Chase)	Beatriz Mesquita	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.5 rounds: -120, Under 1.5 rounds: +100	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Beatriz Mesquita is likely to win due to her dominant grappling skills.

Predicted Score: Beatriz Mesquita wins via submission in Round 2.