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Ottawa Redblacks vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa

Game Overview

Ottawa Redblacks (3-8) host BC Lions (5-6) in a critical CFL matchup with both teams fighting for playoff contention after a bye week. Both teams have struggled defensively but have offensive weapons capable of high scoring. BC Lions have the edge offensively, especially on passing and rushing, while Ottawa will rely on a motivated home performance to stay competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • BC leads overall scoring and offensive yardageβ€”ranked 3rd in scoring and top 2 in road passing and rushing offense. Ottawa ranks lower offensively and defensively but benefits from playing at home.
  • Recent encounters show BC with a higher offensive output and a more balanced attack. Ottawa’s defense ranks lower, making it challenging to contain BC’s offensive threats.
  • Ottawa’s QB Dru Brown is a limited participant in practice due to a knee issue, adding uncertainty to their offensive capability. BC appears healthier after their bye week.
  • Weather forecast calls for a mild 21Β°C with cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers, unlikely to heavily impact gameplay.
  • Both teams need wins badly to stay in playoff contention, but Ottawa faces a tougher remaining schedule which may increase urgency to secure a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC_Lions: -218, Ottawa_Redblacks: +180 BC Lions β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread BC_Lions_-4.5: -110, Ottawa_Redblacks_+4.5: -110 BC Lions -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over_54.5: -110, under_54.5: -110 Over 54.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on BC Lions moneyline (-218) for the highest expected value given their offensive advantage, relative health, and motivation after the bye week.

Predicted Score: BC Lions 31 – Ottawa Redblacks 21


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3 Pick Parlay for American Football – September 5, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Maryland Terrapins vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Prediction Maryland Terrapins -17.5 -105 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Louisville Cardinals vs. James Madison Dukes Prediction Over 58.5 -108 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Ottawa Redblacks vs. BC Lions Prediction BC Lions Win -218 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +448

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $109.7

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Toronto Argonauts vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON

Game Overview

The BC Lions (5-5) visit the Toronto Argonauts (2-8) at BMO Field. The Lions are on a two-game winning streak, led by Nathan Rourke's impressive recent performances. Toronto is struggling defensively and has a poor home record this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • BC Lions have gained momentum with back-to-back wins, scoring 77 points combined and showcasing strong passing from Nathan Rourke. Toronto Argonauts have struggled, especially defensively, allowing the most points per game in the CFL and recently losing 3 straight games.
  • Recent head-to-head trends favor the BC Lions as they have outperformed Toronto both at home and on the road this season. Toronto’s lone home win is weak compared to BC’s solid away record of 3-2.
  • Toronto’s receiver Damonte Kesy is out with a head injury, weakening their offensive firepower. BC Lions have no key injuries reported, fielding their star QB Nathan Rourke and key offensive weapons.
  • Toronto has poor home form and might struggle with motivation due to a losing record. Weather and field conditions are normal for late August with no reported adverse effects.
  • BC is fighting to improve to a winning record and build playoff momentum. Toronto is trying to avoid a deep losing skid but faces morale issues and injury setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: -178, Toronto Argonauts: +146 BC Lions β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread BC Lions -3.5: -110, Toronto Argonauts +3.5: -110 BC Lions -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 55.5: -105, Under 55.5: -115 Under 55.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: BC Lions at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

BC Lions to win straight up with a moderately confident margin covering -3.5 points. Expect a relatively high-scoring game due to Toronto's poor defense and BC's potent offense, but final total to stay just under the 55.5 line.

Predicted Score: BC Lions 29 – Toronto Argonauts 23


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3 Pick Parlay for American Football – August 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Toronto Argonauts vs. BC Lions Prediction BC Lions Win -178 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction Kansas Jayhawks -12.5 -112 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 77% (77%)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Win -410 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +268

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $73.55

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BC Lions vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions (4-5) host the Montreal Alouettes (5-4) in a close CFL matchup. BC Lions are slight favorites with a moneyline of -300 and a spread of -6.5 points. The Over/Under is set at 51.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • BC Lions have a 4-5 record with mixed performance offensively and defensively, showing inconsistency and leaving doubts about defense. Montreal Alouettes are 5-4 and recently lost a close game 23-22. Both teams have similar ATS records (4-5).
  • Recent H2H shows BC Lions have a slight edge but matches tend to be close, with both teams capable of covering spreads.
  • No major injury reports given, but Montreal’s quarterback situation is described as less than ideal, contributing to their offensive uncertainty.
  • Game played at BC Place in Vancouver gives BC Lions home-field advantage. Broadcast on TSN increases visibility and motivation.
  • Montreal seeks to rebound from a narrow loss, while BC aims to solidify their standing with a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: -300, Montreal Alouettes: 240 BC Lions β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread BC Lions -6.5: -118, Montreal Alouettes +6.5: -104 Montreal Alouettes +6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115 Over 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions -17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: BC Lions win; Spread: Montreal Alouettes +6.5 covers; Over/Under: Over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: BC Lions 30 – Montreal Alouettes 26


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Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-07
  • Time: 11:38 PM UTC
  • Location: Hamilton Tiger-Cats' home stadium

Game Overview

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats and BC Lions face off with Hamilton as slight favorites at home. These teams have engaged in high-scoring contests recently, with Hamilton currently on a strong winning streak and holding a clear advantage against the spread in recent H2H matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamilton Tiger-Cats have won five straight games and lead the league in points per game (32.1). BC Lions have shown resilience but have struggled to cover the spread against Hamilton recently.
  • Hamilton has an 8-2 ATS record against the Lions in their last 10 matchups since 2018. Their recent meetings have been high-scoring, with totals over 54.5 points used previously and scoring in the mid-to-high 30s per team.
  • No significant injuries reported for key players on either side, though James Butler of BC Lions is highly motivated facing his former team, which may impact his performance positively.
  • The game takes place at Hamilton's home venue, providing a home-field advantage. Weather or other conditions are not reported to impact gameplay significantly.
  • Hamilton is motivated to maintain their winning streak and assert dominance at home. BC Lions, with players like Butler facing former teams, have motivation but are underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats -194, BC Lions +160 Hamilton Tiger-Cats β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3.5 (-115), BC Lions +3.5 (-105) Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 56.5 -105, Under 56.5 -115 Over 56.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go over the total points set at 56.5

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 31, BC Lions 27


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BC Lions vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver

Game Overview

East Division leaders Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-2, riding a four-game win streak) visit BC Lions (3-4) for a Week 8 CFL clash. Hamilton boasts the league’s top-scoring offense, while BC’s defense has allowed the fewest passing yards per game, though recent results suggest vulnerability. The over/under is set at 55.5 points, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hamilton’s offense is on fire, averaging 35 points per game during their four-game winning streak, led by Bo Levi Mitchell, who tops the CFL in passing yards. BC’s defense is statistically strong against the pass but was recently exposed by Saskatchewan, allowing 395 yards and 3 TDs through the air. Hamilton’s defense is opportunistic and balanced, complementing their explosive offense[2].
  • Hamilton has dominated the spread in recent meetings, covering in 8 of the last 10 games against BC. The last three meetings have all gone over the total, indicating a trend toward high-scoring contests between these teams[3].
  • No major injury updates provided in available sources.
  • The game will be played at BC Place, offering BC a home-field advantage. No extreme weather or venue disruptions expected.
  • Hamilton is the East Division leader and riding momentum, while BC is looking to stabilize their season after a shaky start. Both teams have playoff implications at stake, but Hamilton’s hot streak and recent dominance in this matchup are significant.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions -144 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats +120 Hamilton Tiger-Cats (moneyline) Not available
Spread BC Lions -2.5 -118 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5 -104 Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5 Not available
Over/under Over 55.5 -108 | Under 55.5 -112 Over 55.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Hamilton Tiger-Cats at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a high-scoring, competitive game. While home-field and a stout pass defense give BC a puncher’s chance, Hamilton’s recent form, offensive firepower, and historical success against the spread in this matchup make them the sharper value play. The over is also strongly in play given the offensive trends of both teams and recent head-to-head totals.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 30, BC Lions 27


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BC Lions vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions, currently 3-3, face the Saskatchewan Roughriders, who are 4-1, at BC Place. Both teams have had significant recent performances, with Saskatchewan looking to bounce back from a loss, while BC seeks its third consecutive win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan recently lost their first game of the season, while BC has been on a two-game winning streak.
  • Though Saskatchewan has dominated BC in recent head-to-heads, BC has a strong home record against the Roughriders.
  • No significant injury reports for either team have been noted.
  • CFL Week 7 brings increased competition as teams establish their standings.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Saskatchewan seeking to regain momentum and BC looking to extend its winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: -144, Saskatchewan Roughriders: +120 BC Lions β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread BC Lions: -2.5 BC Lions -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 52.5 -110, Under: 52.5 -110 Over 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The BC Lions are favored due to their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: BC Lions 27, Saskatchewan Roughriders 23


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Edmonton Elks vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB

Game Overview

The BC Lions (2-3) visit the Edmonton Elks (1-3) in a close CFL matchup. The Lions are slight favorites with a 3-point spread, and the total points line is set at 51.5. Both teams have shown inconsistency but have key Canadian quarterbacks starting: Nathan Rourke for BC and Tre Ford for Edmonton. Edmonton is coming off their first win of the season and playing at home, while BC narrowly won their last game by a point.

Key Factors to Consider

  • BC Lions have a stronger defense, allowing about 26.5 points per game (5th best in league), while Edmonton is last in points allowed, conceding 34.5 points per game. Edmonton recently secured their first win, showing improved form, while BC just edged out a 21-20 victory.
  • The matchup features two Canadian starting quarterbacks and has been competitive. BC has slight edge historically but Edmonton's home advantage is significant.
  • No major injuries reported to starting quarterbacks Nathan Rourke or Tre Ford, both expected to start.
  • Game played at Edmonton's Commonwealth Stadium, providing home-field advantage in a generally outdoor environment with potential weather impacts favoring physical play.
  • Edmonton seeks to build on their first win and improve their home record after a poor start. BC aims to solidify their position with a third win and maintain momentum after a narrow last-game victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions -156, Edmonton Elks +130 BC Lions β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread BC Lions -3 -110, Edmonton Elks +3 -110 Edmonton Elks +3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 51.5 -104, Under 51.5 -118 Over 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

BC Lions moneyline, Edmonton Elks +3 spread, and over 51.5 points total

Predicted Score: BC Lions 27 – Edmonton Elks 21


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Montreal Alouettes vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (3-1) are hosting the BC Lions (1-3) in a key CFL matchup. Montreal holds home-field advantage and positive momentum with a strong 3-1 record, while BC has struggled both on the road and overall, going 1-3. The game is expected to feature disciplined play by Montreal against an inconsistent BC Lions team that boasts an impressive passing attack but is hampered by turnovers and defensive issues.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal Alouettes are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread, winning their only home game so far. BC Lions have a 1-3 record both straight up and ATS, and are 0-2 on the road. Montreal averages 29.2 points per game and 21.4 allowed recently, while BC averages around 20.4 points with a higher opponent scoring rate.
  • Historically, BC Lions have dominated the matchup with 18 wins to Montreal's 9 since 2010. However, recent form favors Montreal who have covered the spread 80% of the last five meetings and averaged higher points scored. BC has only covered 20% ATS in last five meetings.
  • No significant injury information is currently available impacting the starters for either team.
  • The match is at Montreal’s home stadium which gives them a strategic advantage. Recent games have shown BC’s defense allowing significant yardage and struggling against efficient Montreal offense. Montreal’s momentum and home crowd support could influence gameplay.
  • Montreal aims to consolidate their lead in the East Division with another home win and extend their strong start. BC is motivated to improve their road record and bounce back from recent defeats, particularly addressing turnovers and defensive lapses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes: -196, BC Lions: 162 Montreal Alouettes β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%
Spread Montreal Alouettes: -3.5 -115, BC Lions: +3.5 -105 Montreal Alouettes -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -105 Over 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are favored to win at home, expected to dominate the game by protecting the football and maintaining scoring pressure. BC Lions may struggle to overcome turnovers and defensive inconsistencies, resulting in a Montreal win covering the spread.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 29 – BC Lions 20


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