Match Analysis: Baysangur Susurkaev vs Eric McConico – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

Baysangur Susurkaev, an undefeated 24-year-old Russian fighter with a 10-0 record featuring nine stoppage wins, faces Eric McConico, a 35-year-old American with a record of 10-3-1, at UFC 322. Susurkaev is coming off a quick submission victory in his UFC debut and has had a full training camp. McConico, fighting out of MMA Lab in Arizona, recently secured a split decision win and aims to challenge the rising prospect. The fight is in the middleweight division and is part of a major UFC pay-per-view event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Susurkaev is undefeated with a high finishing rate, showing effective striking and submissions. McConico has a solid experience base with 10 wins but has faced more losses and fewer stoppages than Susurkaev. Susurkaev has shown rapid progression entering UFC with back-to-back wins including a submission in his debut; McConico has momentum after a split decision win but less finishing power.
• No prior fights between Susurkaev and McConico exist, making this a first encounter. The matchup features a younger, undefeated striker grappling with a more experienced but less dominant opponent.
• No known injuries have been reported for either fighter before the match.
• The fight is at Madison Square Garden, a prestigious venue providing a big stage that may benefit the rising star Susurkaev with the crowd energy. No external conditions such as weather or travel issues reported that could influence performance.
• Susurkaev aims to solidify his UFC status with a strong second win, particularly targeting a first-round knockout. McConico seeks to build on his recent UFC victory and prove he can defeat the undefeated prospect to maintain his relevance in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev: -1050, Eric McConico: 675	Baysangur Susurkaev	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Baysangur Susurkaev -7.5: -575, Eric McConico +7.5: 350	Baysangur Susurkaev to cover the -7.5 spread	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 195, Under 1.5 rounds: -260	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev is predicted to win by first or second-round stoppage due to superior striking, grappling ability, and the momentum of entering the UFC undefeated with high finishing rates. Eric McConico is expected to struggle to match Susurkaev's power and pace.

Predicted Score: Susurkaev wins by submission or KO in Round 1 or Round 2

Match Analysis: Baysangur Susurkaev vs Eric Nolan – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-17
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Baysangur Susurkaev, a 24-year-old undefeated middleweight prospect with a 9-0 record, will make his UFC debut against Eric Nolan, a 27-year-old former CFFC welterweight champion stepping up to middleweight for his UFC debut. Susurkaev is known for his knockout power with 8 of 9 wins by KO, and Nolan has won his last three fights by knockout as well. This match features the fastest turnaround in UFC history, with Susurkaev fighting just four days after earning his contract via a first-round finish on Dana White's Contender Series.

Key Factors to Consider

• Susurkaev is a dominant rising prospect with finishing ability early in fights, holding an undefeated 9-0 record. Nolan comes off a four-fight win streak with three consecutive knockout wins, capturing the CFFC welterweight title, now moving up a weight class. Both fighters bring momentum but Susurkaev's overall dominance and UFC-level readiness are notable.
• This will be the first meeting between Susurkaev and Nolan. No direct past bouts between these fighters exist.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout. Susurkaev has a rapid turnaround but appears healthy.
• The bout takes place at UFC 319 in Chicago at the United Center on August 17, 2025. Susurkaev will set the fastest turnaround record in UFC history for a Contender Series graduate debuting within four days of contract win. Motivation is high for both fighters to establish themselves in the UFC.
• Susurkaev aims to capitalize on his recent contract win with a statement debut to build UFC momentum. Nolan seeks to prove himself stepping up to middleweight and making his UFC debut after dominating at welterweight, using his wrestling and knockout power to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev: -1000, Eric Nolan: 675	Baysangur Susurkaev	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Baysangur Susurkaev: -1.5, Eric Nolan: +1.5	Susurkaev to win by a margin greater than 1.5 rounds (likely early finish)	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 155, Under 1.5 rounds: -195	Under 1.5 rounds (fight finishes early)	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev by first-round knockout. His youth, power, undefeated record, and quick finish rate give him a major edge over Nolan stepping up in weight and facing a faster, more explosive opponent with UFC readiness advantages.

Predicted Score: Susurkaev wins via 1st round KO

Match Analysis: Murtaza Talha vs Baysangur Susurkaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-12
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

This middleweight MMA bout features undefeated Baysangur Susurkaev (8-0) against Murtaza Talha Ali (7-1). Susurkaev is a younger rising prospect with a high knockout rate, while Talha Ali is a slightly older, experienced competitor with a balanced fight finish record. The fight is part of the Contender Series 2025: Week 1 event and marks a key opportunity for both fighters to secure UFC recognition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Susurkaev holds an 8-0 record with 7 knockouts, showcasing high finishing power and an aggressive striking style. Talha Ali has a record of 7-1, with 4 knockouts and 3 submissions, demonstrating versatility in finishes and experience handling diverse fight scenarios.
• There is no history of previous fights between Murtaza Talha Ali and Baysangur Susurkaev, making this matchup an initial test of styles and adaptability.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event; both appear medically cleared and in typical fight shape.
• The fight's venue is UFC APEX, a controlled environment favoring fighters experienced with UFC-level production. Susurkaev is stepping in on short notice replacing Damian Pinas, which may affect preparation time but could also enhance motivation.
• Susurkaev, as a younger fighter with an undefeated streak and high KO ratio, is likely highly motivated to maintain his perfect record and prove himself at a higher level. Talha Ali, with one loss, may be motivated to reaffirm his status and push for advancement in the UFC ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev: -275, Murtaza Talha: 215	Baysangur Susurkaev to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Susurkaev: -1.5, Talha: +1.5	Susurkaev to win by 2 or more rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: 1.85, Under 2.5 rounds: 1.95	Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end early)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baysangur Susurkaev -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev is favored to win by knockout due to his perfect record, high KO percentage, and strong recent performances, despite short notice. Talha Ali's experience and submission threat provide a competitive edge, but the power and youth of Susurkaev likely tilt the outcome in his favor.

Predicted Score: Baysangur Susurkaev wins by KO/TKO in Round 1 or 2