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Match Analysis: Jefferson Nascimento vs Baysangur Makaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tenerife Sports Pavillion Santiago Martin, Tenerife, Spain

Game Overview

The interim lightweight title fight at LFA 218 features undefeated champion Jefferson "Toddynho" Nascimento (11-0) from Brazil defending against Sweden's top prospect Baysangur Makaev (7-1). This fight marks LFA's historic debut in Europe and carries significant momentum for both fighters and Spanish MMA. Nascimento is known for balanced finishes (knockouts, submissions, and decisions) and pressure fighting, while Makaev brings a strong motivated approach seeking to end Nascimento's unbeaten streak on home turf in Tenerife.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jefferson Nascimento has an unbeaten 11-0 record, with wins evenly distributed among KOs, submissions, and decisions. Makaev holds a 7-1 record with recent strong performances showcasing resilience and evolving skills. Nascimento appears more consistent but Makaev is motivated by home advantage and the historic event setting.
• No prior fights or official head-to-head records exist between Nascimento and Makaev. This is their first encounter at a high-profile LFA event.
• No reported injuries for either fighter as both made weight at the official weigh-in. Both fighters appeared physically fit and focused during fight week.
• The event's significance as LFA's debut in Europe and the Canary Islands location provides home-crowd support mainly for Makaev, creating additional motivation. The historic nature may add psychological pressure on the unbeaten champion Nascimento.
• Nascimento aims to prove his dominance and strengthen his UFC prospects by defending his title internationally. Makaev aims to showcase Spanish MMA's rise and stop the undefeated champion, with heightened determination for a career-defining victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nascimento: -145, Makaev: +120, Draw: +2200	Nascimento to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Nascimento -1.5: +105, Makaev +1.5: -125	Nascimento by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jefferson Nascimento is favored to win due to his undefeated record, balanced finishing capabilities, and championship experience. However, Makaev’s home advantage, motivation, and improving skill set suggest a competitive match with potential for an upset, favoring a decision or late finish victory for Nascimento.

Predicted Score: Nascimento wins by unanimous decision after 5 competitive rounds

Match Analysis: Levan Kirtadze vs Baysangur Makaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-24
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Baltiska Hallen, Malmö, Sweden

Game Overview

The featherweight title bout between Levan Kirtadze and Baysangur Makaev at Fight Club Rush 24 is a critical matchup. Kirtadze, a 29-year-old Georgian fighter known as 'Piranha' with a 13-4 record and 9 KOs, faces Makaev, the favored contender. This fight is set to be the main event and is highly anticipated in the Scandinavian MMA scene.

Key Factors to Consider

• Levan Kirtadze has demonstrated strong finishing ability with a high KO rate, indicating striking power and aggression. Makaev holds the betting edge and is considered the sharper favorite based on recent betting line movements and expert analysis, suggesting consistent performance and possibly better fight IQ or preparation.
• There is no publicly available direct previous encounter between Kirtadze and Makaev, making this a first-time matchup with both fighters bringing contrasting styles and records without direct comparative outcomes.
• No current injury reports or concerns have been disclosed for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight is held in Malmö, Sweden, serving as a neutral venue for both fighters, although Fight Club Rush promotion is based in Scandinavia, which might provide slight crowd influence but not a clear home advantage. The event's significance as a title fight increases stakes and motivation.
• Both fighters are highly motivated: Kirtadze aims to claim the featherweight title and cement his status as a premier fighter, while Makaev seeks to maintain his favored status and capitalize on his momentum to secure a championship, making this a high-stakes, high-intensity fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baysangur Makaev: -175, Levan Kirtadze: 135	Baysangur Makaev	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Baysangur Makaev -1.5 rounds: -150, Levan Kirtadze +1.5 rounds: +130	Makaev to win by more than 1 round	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Baysangur Makaev -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Makaev at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Makaev is the predicted winner based on current odds and expert consensus, with his favored status reflecting better recent form and betting market confidence.

Predicted Score: Baysangur Makaev by TKO/KO in Round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Inglesson de Lara vs. Bruno Henrique Prediction	Inglesson de Lara Win	-200	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Levan Kirtadze vs. Baysangur Makaev Prediction	Baysangur Makaev Win	-175	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Kevin Dolvik vs. John Oldenqvist Prediction	Kevin Dolvik Win	-170	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +274

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $74.87