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FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: MEWA Arena, Mainz, Germany

Game Overview

The upcoming Bundesliga match features home side FSV Mainz 05 hosting Bayer Leverkusen at the MEWA Arena. Both teams have competitive histories and are motivated to secure points as the season nears its conclusion. The match is scheduled for 17 May 2025 at 13:30 UTC and is expected to be tightly contested given the recent form and stakes involved.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FSV Mainz 05 have shown solid home form in recent Bundesliga matches, while Bayer Leverkusen have generally maintained strong away performances. Leverkusen typically exhibit a more attacking style, but Mainz's defensive organization at home can pose challenges. Recent matches indicate balanced momentum with both teams capable of scoring and defending effectively.
  • In the last season, Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen played twice, with results evenly matched and no dominant winner emerging. Historically, the encounters have been competitive, with neither side having a significant edge at home or away, suggesting a closely contested fixture.
  • Current lineups and probable lineups suggest no major injury concerns reported for either side, allowing both teams to field near-full-strength squads. This allows for a robust tactical battle without significant player availability disadvantages.
  • No adverse weather or external disruptions are expected for the match day at MEWA Arena. The stadium atmosphere and home crowd support for Mainz could be a factor in boosting their performance. The timing of the match in late spring usually presents favorable playing conditions.
  • Both sides have strong motivation to secure maximum points late in the Bundesliga season. Mainz aims to strengthen their position in the table, while Bayer Leverkusen looks to maintain or improve their standing for potential European competition qualification, increasing the competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen: 200, FSV Mainz 05: 115, Draw: 300 FSV Mainz 05 to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bayer Leverkusen: 25 -108, FSV Mainz 05: -0.25 -112 FSV Mainz 05 -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3.25 -105, Under: 3.25 -115 Under 3.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FSV Mainz 05 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering recent form, head-to-head balance, and home advantage for Mainz, the prediction leans toward a narrow victory for FSV Mainz 05 but a draw is also a strong possibility given the close competitive history.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BayArena, Leverkusen, Germany

Game Overview

Bayer Leverkusen (2nd in the Bundesliga) hosts Borussia Dortmund (5th in the Bundesliga) in a crucial late-season match. Leverkusen faces a defensive challenge against a Dortmund side that won their last encounter by a significant margin. Both sides boast top scorers (P. Schick for Leverkusen and S. Guirassy for Dortmund, each with 19 goals), promising an attacking spectacle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leverkusen holds a higher league position (2nd vs 5th), but Dortmund's attacking power and recent 4-goal win in the last meeting show their threat. Leverkusen is strong at home but will be tested defensively.
  • In their most recent encounter, Dortmund won convincingly, possibly providing a psychological edge.
  • No major injury updates available in current reports; both teams likely near full strength.
  • No significant weather or pitch issues reported. Both teams have ample recovery time before this fixture.
  • Leverkusen fighting for a Champions League spot or higher; Dortmund pushing for European qualification and potentially revenge for earlier losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen: 160, Borussia Dortmund: 145, Draw: 295 Borussia Dortmund slight favorite based on recent form and head-to-head result Medium-High (65%)
Spread Bayer Leverkusen: 0 (-102), Borussia Dortmund: 0 (-118) Pick'em, slight lean to Dortmund on the Asian Handicap Medium (60%)
Over/under Over 3.25: 100, Under 3.25: -120 Slight lean to Over 3.25 goals due to both teams' attacking strength Medium (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Borussia Dortmund -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This match is poised to be a high-tempo, open game with attacking firepower on both sides. Dortmund's recent dominance in head-to-head, combined with Leverkusen's strong home record and defensive vulnerabilities, suggests a closely contested match. The over/under market is expected to be competitive, given both teams' scoring capabilities.

Predicted Score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Borussia Dortmund


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SC Freiburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 4, 2025
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany

Game Overview

SC Freiburg, currently ranked 4th in the Bundesliga, will host Bayer Leverkusen, ranked 2nd, on May 4, 2025. The match is expected to be intense as both teams vie for crucial points in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Freiburg has been strong at home, winning 10 of their last 16 home matches. Bayer Leverkusen has secured 3 wins in their last 6 away fixtures.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics are not fully detailed, but Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen have a competitive history.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could impact the game but are not detailed.
  • Bayer Leverkusen is highly motivated to maintain their 2nd place position, while Freiburg seeks to close the gap with a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen: 125, SC Freiburg: 210, Draw: 255 Bayer Leverkusen to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Bayer Leverkusen: -0.25 -108, SC Freiburg: 25 -112 Bayer Leverkusen to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bayer Leverkusen at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen is favored to win due to their stronger league position and recent away performance.

Predicted Score: Bayer Leverkusen 3, SC Freiburg 1


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Bayer Leverkusen vs. Augsburg Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BayArena

Game Overview

Bayer Leverkusen hosts Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash. Leverkusen, trailing league leaders Bayern Munich by 8 points, seek to strengthen their position. Augsburg, 10th with 43 points, remain unbeaten in their last 8 Bundesliga away games in 2025[4]. Leverkusen are undefeated in 23 of their last 25 head-to-head matches[3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last 5 league games (3 wins, 2 draws). Augsburg have drawn their last two matches (vs Frankfurt and a prior draw)[4].
  • Leverkusen dominate historically: 20 wins in 29 meetings, Augsburg with 2 wins[4]. Recent form includes Leverkusen's 2-0 win in their last encounter[5].
  • No specific injury updates available from current data.
  • Augsburg's strong away resilience (8 unbeaten) contrasts with Leverkusen's home advantage and historical dominance[3][4].
  • Leverkusen aim to close the gap on Bayern Munich; Augsburg seek mid-table stability[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leverkusen -275 | Draw 400 | Augsburg 700 Leverkusen Win 75% (reflecting historical dominance but accounting for Augsburg’s away form)
Spread Leverkusen -1.25 (-118) | Augsburg +1.25 (-102) Leverkusen -1.25 (win by 2+ goals) 60% (Leverkusen’s recent draws and Augsburg’s defensive away record limit margin confidence)
Over/under Over 2.75 (+100) | Under 2.75 (-120) Under 2.75 Goals 55% (augmented by Augsburg’s low-scoring recent draws and Leverkusen’s controlled play)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen 444%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bayer Leverkusen at 444% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leverkusen win, likely 2-0 or 2-1, given their historical edge and Augsburg's away resilience[3][4].

Predicted Score: 2-0 (Leverkusen)


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 26, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Augsburg Prediction Bayer Leverkusen -275 444%
Brighton and Hove Albion vs. West Ham United Prediction Brighton and Hove Albion -157 159%
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC Prediction Houston Dynamo 105 109%

Combined Odds: +358 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $91.52

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FC St. Pauli vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg, Germany

Game Overview

FC St. Pauli, positioned 15th in the Bundesliga, hosts Bayer Leverkusen who sit 2nd in the table. St. Pauli aims to avoid a season series sweep by Leverkusen. Leverkusen is the stronger side statistically with a prolific attack led by Patrik Schick, the league's top scorer, while St. Pauli struggle near the lower end of the standings but showed resilience with recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leverkusen holds a dominant position with 63 goals scored and 31 conceded this season, compared to St. Pauli's 25 goals for and 34 against. Leverkusen's recent form includes solid wins and draws, while St. Pauli has had mixed results with some key victories but also losses and draws. Leverkusen's defense is more robust, with 8 clean sheets compared to St. Pauli's 6.
  • This season, FC St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen have met once, with Leverkusen securing the upper hand. Historically, Leverkusen consistently outperforms St. Pauli, reflecting their superior league standings and squad quality.
  • St. Pauli's key player Jackson Irvine is out due to a stress reaction in his left foot. Bayer Leverkusen has Nathan Tella questionable due to a head injury but may play if cleared. Other Leverkusen players like Hermoso, Terrier, and Belocian are sidelined.
  • The match will be played at Millerntor-Stadion under mild weather conditions around 54-58°F, favorable for both teams. Home advantage could slightly favor St. Pauli, but Leverkusen's overall strength overshadows this.
  • St. Pauli is motivated to avoid a season sweep and improve their league standing, aiming to capitalize on home support. Leverkusen, chasing the Bundesliga title, is motivated to extend their lead and maintain pressure on Bayern Munich.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline bayer_leverkusen: -145, fc_st_pauli: 400, draw: 290 Bayer Leverkusen to win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread bayer_leverkusen_-0.75: -112, fc_st_pauli_+75: -108 Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over_2.5: 100, under_2.5: -120 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen is favored to win the match given their superior form, squad quality, and league position. However, St. Pauli's home advantage and fighting spirit could keep the match competitive.

Predicted Score: Bayer Leverkusen 2 – 1 FC St. Pauli


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction Real Madrid Win -150 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
FC St. Pauli vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 -112 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Fluminense vs. Vitoria Prediction Fluminense Win -170 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +401

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $100.21

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Bayer Leverkusen vs. Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 12, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BayArena, Leverkusen, Germany

Game Overview

Bayer Leverkusen, currently second in the Bundesliga with 62 points, is set to host Union Berlin, who are in 13th place with 33 points. The match promises to be intense, with Bayer Leverkusen aiming to maintain their strong form and Union Berlin fighting to avoid relegation. Both teams have shown potential for high-scoring matches recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bayer Leverkusen have been consistent at home, winning 14 of their last 21 home matches. Union Berlin has struggled away, losing 3 of their last 6 away games across all competitions.
  • Bayer Leverkusen have never been beaten by Union Berlin in their last 8 encounters. Union Berlin has never won against Bayer Leverkusen at the BayArena.
  • No specific injury report provided, but this factor may influence the match dynamics.
  • The match is crucial for Bayer Leverkusen's pursuit of the top spot, while Union Berlin seeks to solidify their mid-table position.
  • Bayer Leverkusen remains highly motivated to catch up with Bayern Munich, while Union Berlin's recent form suggests they are determined to avoid relegation and improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -305 for Bayer Leverkusen, 750 for Union Berlin, 440 for the draw Bayer Leverkusen to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -1.5 for Bayer Leverkusen at -108, +1.5 for Union Berlin at -112 Bayer Leverkusen to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 3 at 102, Under 3 at -122 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen is likely to win due to their strong home record and motivation to maintain a high position in the league.

Predicted Score: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Union Berlin


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1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-05
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Voith-Arena

Game Overview

Bayer Leverkusen, second in the Bundesliga standings, faces 1. FC Heidenheim, who ranks 16th. Leverkusen is favored due to their strong season form, including a recent 3-1 win over VfL Bochum, while Heidenheim seeks to capitalize on their home advantage after beating VfL Wolfsburg 1-0.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bayer Leverkusen excels with an average of 2.3 goals per game and a +28 goal differential. 1. FC Heidenheim struggles offensively, averaging 1.2 goals per match, but has shown resilience defensively.
  • Bayer Leverkusen has dominated head-to-head matches, winning both encounters last season and recently beating Heidenheim 5-2. Heidenheim managed only one win against Leverkusen in their four meetings.
  • There is no specific information on key injuries for either team, but Heidenheim had concerns with Marvin Pieringer in a previous match.
  • The Voith-Arena home advantage might boost Heidenheim's morale, but Leverkusen's form suggests they can overcome it.
  • Leverkusen is highly motivated to maintain their position in the league, while Heidenheim aims to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 1. FC Heidenheim: +525, Bayer Leverkusen: -225, Draw: +390 Bayer Leverkusen ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread 1. FC Heidenheim: +1.25 -115, Bayer Leverkusen: -1.25 -105 Bayer Leverkusen -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 3: +100, Under 3: -120 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen to win, leveraging their superior form and goal-scoring ability.

Predicted Score: 1. FC Heidenheim 1, Bayer Leverkusen 3


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Bayer Leverkusen vs. VfL Bochum Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-28
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BayArena, Leverkusen

Game Overview

Bayer Leverkusen, currently ranked 2nd in the Bundesliga, hosts VfL Bochum, who are struggling at 18th place. Leverkusen's strong form, led by Patrik Schick's scoring prowess, contrasts sharply with Bochum's recent struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bayer Leverkusen has shown consistent performance with a strong squad, including Patrik Schick and Florian Wirtz. VfL Bochum, however, has struggled with defense, conceding numerous goals.
  • Bayer Leverkusen has generally performed well against VfL Bochum, with recent head-to-head matches favoring Leverkusen.
  • There is no detailed information on significant injuries for either team as of now.
  • Weather conditions or fan support could influence the match, but specific details are not available.
  • Bayer Leverkusen is motivated to maintain a high league position, while VfL Bochum seeks to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -400 (Bayer), 1000 (Bochum), 525 (Draw) Bayer Leverkusen ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -1.75 (Bayer) -112, +1.75 (Bochum) -108 Bayer Leverkusen -1.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 3.25 102, Under 3.25 -122 Over 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen is likely to win this match due to their superior team performance and recent head-to-head results.

Predicted Score: Bayer Leverkusen 3 – 1 VfL Bochum


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