Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-30
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Beogradska Arena, Belgrade
Game Overview
EuroLeague matchup between home side KK Crvena zvezda and visiting Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano, two evenly matched teams with recent competitive history.
Key Factors to Consider
- KK Crvena zvezda has a balanced recent form with 5 wins and 5 losses, showing resilience at home. Olimpia Milano has a similar record but slight edge in recent encounters, demonstrating offensive power.
- In the last six EuroLeague encounters, Olimpia Milano leads 4-2, including a close 82-80 win in March 2025 and a high-scoring 101-86 victory in December 2024. Home advantage has not been decisive given these results.
- No significant injury reports impacting key players for either team at this time.
- Match played at a large-capacity arena (25,000 seats) favoring home crowd energy for Crvena zvezda; no unusual external disruptions reported.
- Early season game; both teams motivated to establish strong starts. Olimpia Milano may carry more urgency after narrowly losing the previous meeting.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -168 (Crvena zvezda), +147 (Milano) | KK Crvena zvezda | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | -110 on both sides | KK Crvena zvezda -3.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | -110 Over/Under 164.5 | Under 164.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | KK Crvena zvezda -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 164.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 164.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: KK Crvena zvezda to win; Spread: KK Crvena zvezda -3.5; Over/Under: Under 164.5 points
Predicted Score: KK Crvena zvezda 83 – Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano 78