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UC Irvine Anteaters vs. New Mexico St Aggies Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: UC Irvine Anteaters vs New Mexico St Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya

Game Overview

The New Mexico State Aggies (4-0) visit the UC Irvine Anteaters (3-3) with both teams looking to assert dominance early in the season. UC Irvine is the favorite at home, favored by 4.5 points in a game with an over/under set at 141.5. New Mexico State has a perfect record so far, while UC Irvine is coming off a mixed start with 3 wins and 3 losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico State is undefeated (4-0) showing strong form and momentum, while UC Irvine is 3-3 with recent struggles including a poor covering record against the spread (0-4 in last 5 ATS). UC Irvine has home-court advantage.
  • Specific recent head-to-head stats are not detailed, but New Mexico State has shown consistency, while UC Irvine has faltered versus the spread and on the road.
  • No specific injury reports available; both teams expected to field full or near-full rosters.
  • Game location at Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya provides a neutral-ish but home-likely environment for UC Irvine. Public betting heavily favors UC Irvine (100% of bets, 0% money on New Mexico State), suggesting strong public confidence but potential bookmaker caution.
  • New Mexico State aims to extend their undefeated streak and prove strength on the road. UC Irvine seeks to solidify their record at home and bounce back from inconsistent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Mexico St Aggies: +142, UC Irvine Anteaters: -170 UC Irvine Anteaters win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread New Mexico St Aggies: +4.5 at -115, UC Irvine Anteaters: -4.5 at -105 UC Irvine Anteaters -4.5 cover ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 141.5 at -105, Under: 141.5 at -115 Over 141.5 points ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UC Irvine Anteaters -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 141.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 141.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Backing UC Irvine to win and cover the 4.5 spread with a moderately high confidence, considering home advantage and odds movement favoring them despite New Mexico State's undefeated record.

Predicted Score: UC Irvine Anteaters 74 – New Mexico State Aggies 67


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Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Winthrop Eagles Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Winthrop Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Pinnacle Bank Arena, Lincoln, Nebraska

Game Overview

The Nebraska Cornhuskers, undefeated at 6-0, face the Winthrop Eagles (3-3) in a college basketball matchup. Nebraska is heavily favored due to their perfect season start and recent narrow win over Kansas State. Winthrop aims to leverage their recent 80-62 win against Jackson State but face a tough challenge on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nebraska is dominating with a 6-0 record, averaging 101 points per game while conceding 70.8 (425 points in 6 games). Winthrop is balanced at 3-3 but recently won convincingly against Jackson State and struggles defensively, allowing 76.6 points on average over the last five games.
  • There is no detailed recent head-to-head data provided, but Nebraska is favored by 16.5 points, reflecting strong recent performances and home advantage.
  • No specific injury updates available for either team at this time.
  • The game is played at Nebraska’s home arena, Pinnacle Bank Arena, granting them home-court advantage. Betting markets strongly favor Nebraska, with moneyline odds at -2500 reflecting a 96% implied winning chance by sportsbooks.
  • Nebraska is motivated to maintain their perfect season and defend their home court. Winthrop seeks to upset and build on recent momentum from a notable road victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nebraska Cornhuskers: -2500, Winthrop Eagles: 1100 Nebraska Cornhuskers ★★★★★ 96%
Spread Nebraska Cornhuskers: -16.5 -110, Winthrop Eagles: +16.5 -110 Nebraska to cover the spread with a 60% confidence ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 165.5 -110, Under: 165.5 -110 Under 165.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nebraska Cornhuskers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 165.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 165.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nebraska Cornhuskers are predicted to win, but with a moderately lower final margin than the spread suggests due to Winthrop's recent competitiveness and resilience on defense.

Predicted Score: Nebraska Cornhuskers 79 – Winthrop Eagles 74


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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Orlando Magic Prediction NBA in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 1:10 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Game Overview

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Orlando Magic in a matchup where the visitors enter as slight favorites despite playing on the road. This contest features two teams with contrasting recent form, with Orlando showing strong recent performance while Philadelphia has struggled. The Magic hold a significant all-time advantage in the head-to-head series, though the 76ers won their most recent meeting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Orlando Magic have dominated recent play, posting a 7-3 record in their last 10 games with impressive offensive efficiency (119.9 PPG, 47.6 FG%, 84.6 FT%). However, they struggle on the road, showing a 3-7 record in their last 10 away games with concerning defensive issues (119.0 PPG allowed). Philadelphia 76ers have faltered significantly, winning only 1 of their last 5 games while averaging 109.6 PPG with poor defense (116.0 PPG allowed). The 76ers are in a clear downward trajectory, though playing at home provides some advantage.
  • Orlando Magic maintain a dominant all-time record against Philadelphia, winning 83 of 137 regular season games (60.6%). In their last 5 matchups, Orlando has won 4 games. However, the 76ers won the most recent meeting 136-124 at home. At Xfinity Mobile Arena, the 76ers have won 7 of the past 10 head-to-head contests, suggesting home court advantage heavily influences this series.
  • Injury information is not available in the provided data. Current roster health status should be verified from official team sources before finalizing bets.
  • This is a midweek matchup on a Wednesday morning (UTC), which may impact player performance and recovery. The 76ers are playing at home, which historically provides them significant advantage against Orlando. The Magic's poor road record (3-7 in last 10) is a critical negative factor despite their overall strong form.
  • Philadelphia faces mounting pressure to reverse their poor form, having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Playing at home provides strong motivation for a turnaround performance. Orlando will be motivated to prove their recent success translates to road performances, though their away record suggests this is their primary weakness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Orlando Magic: -122 | Philadelphia 76ers: 102 Orlando Magic ML ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Orlando Magic -1.5 (-115) | Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 (-105) Orlando Magic -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 56%
Over/under Over 228.5 (-110) | Under 228.5 (-110) Over 228.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Orlando Magic -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 228.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 228.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This matchup presents a classic scenario where overall team strength (Orlando) conflicts with situational factors (Philadelphia's home court, Orlando's road struggles). While Orlando's recent form is superior, their 3-7 road record and Philadelphia's home advantage create sufficient uncertainty. The tight moneyline odds accurately reflect the competitive nature of this contest. Philadelphia's recent struggles are concerning, but home games historically provide them with an edge against Orlando. The prediction leans slightly toward Orlando's quality, but with moderate confidence given the conflicting indicators.

Predicted Score: Orlando Magic 115, Philadelphia 76ers 112


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Missouri Tigers vs. South Carolina St Bulldogs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs South Carolina St Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO

Game Overview

Missouri Tigers, undefeated at 6-0 and ranked first nationally in field goal percentage (57.6%), host South Carolina State Bulldogs, who are 0-5 and struggling offensively. Missouri is coming off a dominant 102-68 win over South Dakota, while South Carolina State narrowly lost 82-81 in their last outing. The matchup features a significant talent and efficiency gap, with Missouri favored by over 30 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri is averaging 93.2 points per game and shooting 57.6% from the field, the best in the nation. They are also strong defensively, limiting opponents to 39.7% shooting. South Carolina State averages just 64.5 points per game and shoots 32.1% from three-point range. Their defense has allowed high scoring in recent games, and they have lost all five contests by double digits except one.
  • No recent head-to-head matchups are available between Missouri and South Carolina State. Missouri’s dominance in efficiency and scoring should give them a clear advantage in this first meeting.
  • No injury reports are available for either team at this time.
  • Missouri is playing at home in Mizzou Arena, where they have a perfect record this season. South Carolina State is 0-4 away from home and has struggled on the road. The game is scheduled for late night/early morning UTC, which may affect travel and rest for the visiting Bulldogs.
  • Missouri is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and national ranking. South Carolina State is seeking their first win of the season and will be looking to compete despite the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Missouri -1000, South Carolina State +600 Missouri Tigers ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Missouri Tigers -33.5 -110, South Carolina St Bulldogs 33.5 -110 Missouri Tigers -33.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 160.5 -110, Under 160.5 -110 Over 160.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 160.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 160.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri is expected to win decisively due to their superior offensive efficiency, defensive strength, and home-court advantage. South Carolina State is likely to struggle to keep the game close, with Missouri covering the large spread and the total likely to go over.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 95, South Carolina State Bulldogs 65


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Austin Peay Governors vs. Northern Illinois Huskies Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Austin Peay Governors vs Northern Illinois Huskies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, TN

Game Overview

The Austin Peay Governors host the Northern Illinois Huskies in an NCAA basketball matchup. Austin Peay is considered the home favorite with a solid season start and slight edge in recent performances. Northern Illinois has shown competitive resilience, but both teams have comparable overall records and no recent head-to-head meetups in the last three seasons.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Austin Peay Governors hold a 3-3 overall record with a 1-0 home record this season, showing moderate offensive efficiency but a recent loss that could motivate a bounce back. Northern Illinois Huskies are also 3-3 overall but 1-3 away with a slightly less efficient shooting percentage, and defensive lapses have been evident in some games.
  • No recent head-to-head matchups in the past three seasons; historical data between these teams is sparse and dated with little direct relevance to current form or roster changes.
  • No significant injury reports available for key players on either team prior to the match. Both squads appear near full strength.
  • Game is played at a neutral-style venue for Austin Peay, boosting their home advantage. Weather and travel have negligible impact given the indoor setting and scheduled timing.
  • Austin Peay plays on home court with a chance to solidify early season momentum and maintain an undefeated home record. Northern Illinois seeks to improve poor away performance and counter a favored opponent, likely increasing competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin Peay Governors: -335, Northern Illinois Huskies: 245 Austin Peay Governors to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Austin Peay Governors: -7.5 -113, Northern Illinois Huskies: +7.5 -113 Austin Peay Governors to cover -7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 147.5 -112, under: 147.5 -114 Under 147.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin Peay Governors -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 147.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Austin Peay Governors are favored to win this matchup both outright and against the spread, based on home advantage, better recent form, and solid defensive stats. Expected game pace is moderate with a total score near the betting line.

Predicted Score: Austin Peay Governors 75 – Northern Illinois Huskies 67


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North Texas Mean Green vs. Eastern Washington Eagles Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs Eastern Washington Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Tuesday, November 25, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UNT Coliseum, Denton, Texas

Game Overview

The Eastern Washington Eagles travel to face the North Texas Mean Green in a college basketball matchup featuring a significant talent and form disparity. North Texas enters as heavy favorites with a 4-2 record and strong home performance (3-0 at home), while Eastern Washington struggles with a 1-5 record and remains winless on the road (0-5). This game represents a crucial opportunity for North Texas to maintain momentum at home, while Eastern Washington seeks to break their devastating five-game road losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Texas demonstrates superior overall performance with a 4-2 record and has outscored opponents 419-371 for a net point differential of +48. The Mean Green are particularly dominant at home with a 3-0 home record. Eastern Washington's 1-5 record masks deeper issues: they've been outscored 456-511 (net -55) and hold an abysmal 0-5 road record. North Texas has gone 4-1 against the spread in their last five games, showing consistent ability to cover lines, while the Eagles have been unreliable favorites for bettors. I. Moses leads Eastern Washington with 18.5 PPG on 48.8% shooting, while J. Stevenson contributes 14.5 PPG for North Texas.
  • No recent head-to-head history is provided in available data, suggesting this may be an infrequent matchup between non-conference opponents. The significant gap in current form suggests North Texas would be favored in any historical analysis as well.
  • No injury information is available in the provided data. Injury status should be verified through team announcements before finalizing bets.
  • North Texas enters with positive momentum, riding a one-game winning streak. Eastern Washington is on a one-game losing streak and has not won a road game this season. The home-court advantage in Denton is substantial, with North Texas undefeated at home while Eastern Washington remains winless on the road. Public betting sentiment shows 100% of bets on North Texas, indicating overwhelming confidence in the favorites.
  • North Texas is motivated to extend their home dominance and maintain their winning record. Eastern Washington desperately needs a road victory to salvage their season and break a catastrophic 0-5 away record. The psychological pressure on the Eagles is significant given their extended struggles away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline North Texas -800 | Eastern Washington +550 North Texas Mean Green ★★★★★ 92%
Spread North Texas -11.5 (-112) | Eastern Washington +11.5 (-108) North Texas -11.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 140.5 (-115) | Under 140.5 (-105) Under 140.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Texas Mean Green 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 140.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 140.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Texas Mean Green will defeat Eastern Washington Eagles with strong probability of covering the spread. The combination of superior team metrics, flawless home record, Eastern Washington's complete inability to win on the road, and recent form trends all favor the Mean Green decisively. North Texas should win comfortably, likely by 12-15 points.

Predicted Score: North Texas 72, Eastern Washington 59


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Arizona St Sun Devils vs. Washington St Cougars Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Arizona St Sun Devils vs Washington St Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lahaina Civic Center, Maui, HI

Game Overview

This matchup features the Arizona State Sun Devils hosting the Washington State Cougars in the semifinals of the Southwest Maui Invitational. Both teams are coming off competitive performances, with Arizona State showing resilience in close games and Washington State relying on a high-powered offense but struggling defensively. The game is expected to be fast-paced, with both teams capable of scoring but also vulnerable on defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arizona State is averaging 71.6 possessions per game (100th in adjusted tempo), indicating a fast-paced style. They recently won a tight game against Texas as a seven-point underdog. Washington State is averaging 81.3 points per game (175th in scoring offense) but ranks poorly in defensive efficiency (268th) and effective field goal percentage defense (345th). They have gone over the total in four of six games, largely due to defensive lapses.
  • Arizona State leads the all-time series 46-42, including a 73-61 home win in the most recent matchup on February 24, 2024. The Sun Devils have shown a consistent edge in recent meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • The game is being played at a neutral site (Lahaina Civic Center), which may slightly reduce Arizona State's home-court advantage. The venue is known for its intimate atmosphere, which can influence team performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to advance in the tournament, with Arizona State looking to build on their recent momentum and Washington State aiming to overcome their defensive struggles and make a deep run.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona St Sun Devils: -275, Washington St Cougars: 220 Arizona St Sun Devils Not available
Spread Arizona St Sun Devils: -6.5 -115, Washington St Cougars: 6.5 -105 Arizona St Sun Devils Not available
Over/under Over: 158.5 -115, Under: 158.5 -105 Over Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arizona St Sun Devils -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 158.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 158.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arizona State is favored to win this game, given their recent form and head-to-head advantage. However, Washington State's offensive capabilities and the fast-paced nature of the game suggest a high-scoring contest. The Sun Devils are likely to cover the spread, and the total is expected to go over.

Predicted Score: Arizona State 85, Washington State 78


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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Miss Valley St Delta Devils Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs Miss Valley St Delta Devils – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Reed Arena, College Station, TX

Game Overview

Texas A&M Aggies (4-2) host Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-6) in an NCAA Men's Basketball game. Texas A&M is coming off a dominant 109-68 home win and has won 2 straight games, while Mississippi Valley State has lost 5 straight and struggles offensively with a 69.3 points per game average. The match is expected to be lopsided, reflecting Texas A&M's superior form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas A&M shows strong offensive output, averaging around 89 points in their last 3 games and holding a 4-1 home record. Mississippi Valley State has a poor 1-6 start, scoring just 69.33 points per game with a negative point differential of -124. Texas A&M outperforms the Delta Devils in field goal percentage and rebounds.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data available, but Texas A&M dominates in recent matchups and is favored heavily in all betting markets, reflecting historical and current team strengths.
  • No significant injuries reported for key players from either team as of the latest updates.
  • Home-court advantage strongly favors Texas A&M at Reed Arena. The Aggies have a strong fan presence that may affect momentum. Mississippi Valley State has been on a poor road stretch, losing all five away games this season.
  • Texas A&M aims to maintain momentum and improve their SEC standing after recent big wins. Mississippi Valley State looks to break a 5-game losing streak, likely fighting morale issues and fatigue.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas A&M: -450, Miss Valley St: +350 Texas A&M to win ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Texas A&M: -42.5 (-105), Miss Valley St: +42.5 (-115) Texas A&M to cover -42.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over: 153.5 (-105), Under: 153.5 (-115) Over 153.5 total points ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 153.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas A&M Aggies are heavily favored to win convincingly due to superior performance, home advantage, and motivation. Expect Texas A&M to cover the large spread and the game total to go over 153.5 points.

Predicted Score: Texas A&M Aggies 95 – 55 Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils


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Indiana Hoosiers vs. Kansas St Wildcats Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Kansas St Wildcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, Bloomington, IN

Game Overview

Indiana Hoosiers (5-0) host Kansas State Wildcats (5-1) in a non-conference matchup. Indiana is undefeated and has been dominant at home, while Kansas State is coming off a narrow loss and has faced tougher competition. The game features contrasting styles: Indiana's slower tempo and strong defense versus Kansas State's high-powered offense and three-point shooting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Indiana is 5-0, averaging 88.2 points per game and allowing just 62.4. They are 15th in defensive efficiency and 8th in opponent eFG%. Kansas State is 5-1, averaging 92.8 points per game and allowing 79.5. The Wildcats have faced three Power 4 teams in their last four games and are 27th in tempo, while Indiana is 248th.
  • No recent head-to-head meetings found; this is a rare non-conference matchup.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • Indiana plays at a much slower pace, which could limit possessions and scoring. Kansas State's top four scorers shoot between 40.9% and 52.0% from three, but Indiana's defense is stout and will try to control the game's tempo.
  • Kansas State is motivated after a last-second loss to Nebraska and will look to prove itself against a top team. Indiana is aiming to extend its home winning streak and remain undefeated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Indiana Hoosiers: -470, Kansas St Wildcats: 360 Indiana Hoosiers ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Indiana Hoosiers: -9.5 -112, Kansas St Wildcats: 9.5 -108 Kansas St Wildcats +9.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 160.5 -112, Under: 160.5 -108 Under 160.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Indiana Hoosiers -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 160.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Indiana is favored due to their strong defense and home-court advantage. Kansas State's offense is potent, but Indiana's slower tempo and defensive prowess should keep the game close and limit scoring. The total is likely to stay under, as Indiana's style will control the pace.

Predicted Score: Indiana 78, Kansas State 74


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Cal Poly Mustangs vs. SE Missouri St Redhawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: Cal Poly Mustangs vs SE Missouri St Redhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 25, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome, Flagstaff, AZ

Game Overview

The Cal Poly Mustangs (3-3) host the SE Missouri State Redhawks (1-4) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Cal Poly is returning home after a 92-85 away win against Utah, while SE Missouri State continues to struggle with a 1-4 record and has lost all three of its road games this season. This game will be broadcast on ESPN+.

Key Factors to Consider

  • SE Missouri State enters with significant struggles: 1-4 record with a -5.3 point differential, 0-4 ATS record, averaging 66 PPG with poor offensive efficiency. They're turning the ball over 12.4 times per game and committing 20.6 fouls nightly. Defensively, they allow 81.0 PPG (307th in D1) and surrender 50.2% from the field. Cal Poly shows stronger form: 3-3 record with a positive point differential, 2-4 ATS, and scoring 81.8 PPG. They connect on 42.5% from the floor (289th) and 36% from three-point range (118th). Cal Poly shoots 68% from free throw while SE Missouri makes only 57.1% at the charity stripe.
  • No prior head-to-head history provided in available data. This is a non-conference matchup between teams from different conferences (Cal Poly from Big West, SE Missouri State independent).
  • No injury information available in the provided search results.
  • The game is played at a neutral court (Flagstaff, AZ) rather than Cal Poly's home venue, which somewhat mitigates their home court advantage. However, Cal Poly is 1-0 at home this season while SE Missouri State is 0-3 on the road. SE Missouri State has lost all six of its last non-conference games, establishing a concerning trend.
  • Cal Poly is motivated by building momentum following their road win against Utah and maintaining their home success. SE Missouri State desperately needs a win to avoid falling further below .500 and to reverse their troubling road record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cal Poly -152 / SE Missouri State +124 Cal Poly Mustangs ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cal Poly -2.5 (-112) / SE Missouri State +2.5 (-108) Cal Poly -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 168.5 (-112) / Under 168.5 (-112) Over 168.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cal Poly Mustangs -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 168.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 168.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cal Poly Mustangs are favored to win this matchup. Multiple analytical indicators support this: Cal Poly's superior record, positive point differential, better shooting percentages, and home court advantage (even in a neutral city). SE Missouri State's 1-4 record combined with their 0-3 road record and 0-6 record against non-conference opponents presents significant red flags. Cal Poly's recent momentum and 3-3 record with 2-4 ATS coverage suggests better value than the struggling Redhawks. The Mustangs should control the game, particularly in the first half where SE Missouri State has struggled in four of their last five neutral venue games.

Predicted Score: Cal Poly 78, SE Missouri State 75


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