Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs New Orleans Privateers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Avron B. Fogelman Arena in the Devlin Fieldhouse, New Orleans, LA
Game Overview
The Tulane Green Wave host the New Orleans Privateers in a non-conference matchup at Devlin Fieldhouse. Tulane enters the game undefeated at 3-0, riding a strong offensive start and a dominant home record. New Orleans, meanwhile, is 2-1 but has struggled defensively, allowing 83.5 points per game. The Green Wave are favored by double digits, with the total set at 154.5 points. Both teams are coming off recent wins, but Tulane has shown superior shooting and rebounding, while New Orleans has been inconsistent on the road and in night games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane is averaging 76.7 points per game on 49.3% shooting, ranking 91st nationally in field goal percentage. They allow just 68.3 points per game and have forced tough shots, limiting opponents to 40.2% shooting. New Orleans scores 68.0 points per game on 38.7% shooting and allows 83.5 points per game. The Privateers have been outrebounded and have struggled defensively, particularly on the road. Tulane’s backcourt, led by Rowan Brumbaugh (21.3 ppg) and Tyler Ringgold (13.7 ppg), has been efficient and turnover-conscious. New Orleans relies on Coleton Benson (16.0 ppg) and Jakevion Buckley (12.5 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 5.0 apg), but their defense has been porous.
- Tulane has won each of its last seven games at Devlin Fieldhouse. New Orleans has lost 12 of its last 13 games following a road loss and has lost the first half in 18 of its last 20 road night games against non-conference opponents. Tulane has lost each of its last three games following a road win, but this is not a factor in this matchup as Tulane is at home.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Tulane’s home arena, which has been a fortress for the Green Wave. The venue is known for its strong home support, and Tulane has a clear advantage in familiarity and crowd energy. The game is scheduled for a Friday night, which may affect team preparation and travel for New Orleans.
- Tulane is motivated to maintain its undefeated record and build momentum for the season. New Orleans is looking to bounce back from a recent road loss and prove its competitiveness against a higher-level opponent. Tulane’s recent blowout wins and strong home record suggest high confidence, while New Orleans may be seeking a statement win to boost morale.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Orleans Privateers: 490, Tulane Green Wave: -675 | Tulane Green Wave | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | New Orleans Privateers: 10.5 -108, Tulane Green Wave: -10.5 -112 | Tulane Green Wave -10.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -105, Under: 154.5 -115 | Under | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane is expected to win and cover the spread, with a predicted final score of 84-66. The Green Wave’s superior shooting, rebounding, and home-court advantage should be decisive. The total is likely to stay under, as both teams have recent trends of low-scoring night games and Tulane’s defense has been effective in limiting opponents’ scoring.
Predicted Score: Tulane Green Wave 84, New Orleans Privateers 66