Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-03
- Time: 5:41 PM UTC
- Location: loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida
Game Overview
The Miami Marlins host the New York Yankees in a closely matched MLB contest where the Yankees are slight favorites on the moneyline. Miami has momentum from winning the first two games of this series and has a solid pitching performance from Edward Cabrera starting. New York has a better overall record this season but has struggled somewhat recently on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami holds a 54-55 season record with a 4.39 ERA pitching staff and decent offense led by Kyle Stowers and Agustin Ramirez. Yankees have a 60-51 record, averaging 5.19 runs scored per game but allowing 4.69 runs on the road, with recent away form weaker (0-3 in last 3 away games).
- Miami won the first two games this series with high scoring first game (13-12) and strong pitching in the second (2-0). The teams have been competitive all season with Yankees holding a slight edge overall but Miami currently leads momentum.
- No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups or starting pitchers for either team.
- Game at Miamiβs home park, loanDepot Park, known for moderate hitting conditions. Weather conditions expected to be neutral with no significant impact.
- Marlins appear motivated to continue their winning streak and improve standings in NL East, while Yankees seek to stay above .500 and maintain playoff push despite recent away struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Miami Marlins: +100, New York Yankees: -118 | Miami Marlins | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Miami Marlins +1.5: -176, New York Yankees -1.5: +146 | Miami Marlins +1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 8: -112, Under 8: -108 | Over 8 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Miami Marlins 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami Marlins moneyline win
Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 5 – New York Yankees 4