Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-16
- Time: 5:10 PM UTC
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Detroit Tigers face off in the final game of their three-game series. The Tigers currently lead the AL Central with a 10-7 record, while the Brewers are at 9-9 in the NL Central. In their previous game, the Brewers won 5-0, snapping a three-game skid with a strong pitching performance by Quinn Priester and company.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Tigers have been strong this season, but the Brewers have shown resilience, especially at home. The Brewers recently broke a skid with a shutout win, while the Tigers are coming off a tough loss.
- The series is currently tied, with each team taking a decisive victory. The Tigers won 9-1 in the first game, while the Brewers responded with a 5-0 shutout.
- No recent significant injuries reported for either team.
- Home advantage could play in favor of Milwaukee, given their 6-3 home record this season.
- Both teams are highly motivated to win and secure the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -142 (Milwaukee), 120 (Detroit) | Milwaukee Brewers | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | -1.5 (Milwaukee) +142, 1.5 (Detroit) -170 | Milwaukee Brewers (cover) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over 8 -115, Under 8 -105 | Under 8 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win based on their strong home performance and recent momentum.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5, Detroit Tigers 2