Match Analysis: Bartosz Szewczyk vs Dawid Kasperski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Warsaw, Poland

Game Overview

The light heavyweight MMA bout between Bartosz Szewczyk and Dawid Kasperski is part of KSW 109, scheduled to take place in Warsaw. Szewczyk enters with a record of 8 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw, showing considerable experience, while Kasperski is unbeaten at 2-0, indicating potential but less ring-tested. The fight is a classic clash of an experienced veteran versus an undefeated rising prospect.

Key Factors to Consider

• Szewczyk has fought ten professional bouts with mixed results (8-4-1), demonstrating durability and solid striking but occasional susceptibility to losses. Kasperski, despite a limited pro record (2-0), exhibits power and athleticism typical of a prospect making waves in the division.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Szewczyk and Kasperski to analyze.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout have been identified.
• The fight occurs in Warsaw, likely giving Szewczyk some home advantage as a Polish native. The event is promoted by KSW, a major European organization known for competitive matchmaking.
• Szewczyk aims to reinforce his standing and shake off recent losses, while Kasperski looks to extend his undefeated streak and establish himself as a top contender in the light heavyweight class.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bartosz Szewczyk: -270, Dawid Kasperski: 180	Bartosz Szewczyk	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Bartosz Szewczyk: -1.5, Dawid Kasperski: +1.5	Bartosz Szewczyk to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: 2.5 rounds -110, under: 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bartosz Szewczyk 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bartosz Szewczyk at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bartosz Szewczyk is favored to win due to greater experience and home advantage, but the relatively short fighting history of Kasperski leaves room for upset potential.

Predicted Score: Bartosz Szewczyk wins via unanimous decision or late-round TKO in round 3

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Bartosz Szewczyk vs. Dawid Kasperski Prediction	Bartosz Szewczyk Win	-270	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Piotr Kuberski vs. Radoslaw Paczuski Prediction	Piotr Kuberski Win	-350	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Michal Gniady vs. Viktor Cervinsky Prediction	Viktor Cervinsky Win	-140	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +202

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $60.41

Match Analysis: Damian Piwowarczyk vs Bartosz Szewczyk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-21
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Liberec, Czech Republic

Game Overview

Damian Piwowarczyk and Bartosz Szewczyk face off in a light heavyweight bout at KSW 103. Piwowarczyk is favored with odds of -210, while Szewczyk is at 160.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damian Piwowarczyk is favored, suggesting a stronger recent performance. Bartosz Szewczyk competes in the light heavyweight division of Dana White's Contender Series, indicating a high level of skill.
• No previous head-to-head data is available for these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Liberec, Czech Republic, which might not significantly favor either fighter.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes of competing in KSW.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-210 for Damian Piwowarczyk, 160 for Bartosz Szewczyk	Damian Piwowarczyk	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Not specified	Damian Piwowarczyk	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Not specified	Over	★★★☆☆ 50%

Predicted Outcome

Damian Piwowarczyk is predicted to win due to being favored by the odds.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Damian Piwowarczyk.