Match Analysis: Rafał Haratyk vs Bartosz Leśko – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 111, Lightweight Division, KSW Event Venue (Exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

Rafał Haratyk faces Bartosz Leśko in a light heavyweight MMA bout at KSW 111. Both fighters are relatively evenly matched stylistically, but Haratyk enters with a stronger recent record and better grappling statistics, making him a slight favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

• Haratyk has demonstrated consistent performance improvements in his last five fights with a 4-1 record, utilizing dominant grappling and strong striking, while Leśko shows a 2-3 record with vulnerabilities in takedown defense.
• No previous encounters between Haratyk and Leśko have been recorded, adding an element of unpredictability but favoring the fighter with more recent success and better ranked opponents.
• Neither fighter reports recent injuries or camp disruptions, suggesting both will be at full fitness.
• The fight is held in a neutral venue without crowd bias. Travel and climate conditions do not appear to disadvantage either athlete significantly.
• Haratyk is motivated to cement his rising status in KSW's light heavyweight division aiming for a title shot, whereas Leśko appears motivated to bounce back from recent losses but may be under psychological pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Haratyk -180, Leśko +150, Draw +1200	Haratyk	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Haratyk -1.5 (+150), Leśko +1.5 (-180)	Haratyk -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds (-130), Under 3.5 rounds (+110)	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Haratyk to win by method (finish or decision), under 3.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Haratyk wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Bartosz Leśko vs Maciej Rozanski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Bartosz Leśko and Maciej Rozanski is set to take place on March 8, 2025. Maciej Rozanski, with a record of 15-5-0, faces Bartosz Leśko, who has a record of 14-5-2. Both fighters have shown strong skills in their respective careers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Maciej Rozanski has a slight edge in experience, with notable wins against various opponents. Bartosz Leśko, however, is younger and might have an advantage in terms of speed and agility.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between the two fighters, making this a first encounter.
• No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The fight's venue and crowd could influence the fighters' performance, but specific details are not provided.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the competitive nature of MMA and the importance of each match for their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Maciej Rozanski is slightly favored due to his experience.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Maciej Rozanski