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Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Spotify Camp Nou

Game Overview

FC Barcelona hosts Athletic Bilbao in the 13th round of the 2025/26 La Liga season at Spotify Camp Nou. Barcelona is currently 2nd in the league with strong recent performances, whereas Athletic Bilbao sits 7th. Barcelona has a better recent form and home advantage. Recent head-to-heads show Barcelona winning the last 3 meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has scored 17 goals in their last 5 matches but failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 consecutive games. Athletic Bilbao have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches, with Alex Berenguer creating most big chances and Maroan Sannadi leading shots on target per match. Barcelona’s top scorer Lewandowski has 7 goals in 9 matches.
  • Barcelona has won the previous 3 matches against Athletic Bilbao, including a 3-0 win on May 25, 2025, and a 2-0 win in the Spanish Supercopa earlier this year, indicating recent dominance.
  • Both of Barcelona’s wingers are expected to be available for the match after Raphinha returned to training, though one midfielder remains unavailable. No significant injuries reported for Athletic Bilbao.
  • The match takes place at Spotify Camp Nou, giving Barcelona home advantage. Supporters and fan engagement are high with events organized such as the Barcelona fan gathering at Smithfield Hall NYC ahead of this and other matches.
  • Barcelona’s motivation is high to maintain pressure on Real Madrid at the top of the table, while Athletic Bilbao looks to improve from their mid-table position and disrupt Barcelona’s momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -230, Athletic Bilbao: 525, Draw: 395 Barcelona win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Barcelona -1.25: -108, Athletic Bilbao +1.25: -112 Barcelona -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win in a competitive but possibly high-scoring match due to defensive vulnerabilities and attacking firepower on both sides.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo

Game Overview

Celta Vigo hosts Barcelona in a La Liga clash at Estadio de Balaídos. Barcelona enters as strong favorites, boasting a superior league position and attacking firepower. Celta Vigo, sitting mid-table, will look to leverage home advantage and recent competitive head-to-head results to challenge the visitors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona sits 5th in La Liga with 25 points from 11 matches, showing strong attacking form (26 shots on goal, 7 goals scored in recent games) and solid midfield control. Celta Vigo is 12th with 13 points, struggling defensively (15 goals conceded, 3 clean sheets) but showing flashes of offensive potential. Barcelona's recent form includes a 4-3 win over Celta Vigo, highlighting their attacking edge.
  • Barcelona leads the all-time head-to-head with 17 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses. In the last 5 meetings, Barcelona has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 1. The most recent match ended 4-3 in favor of Barcelona, indicating a trend of high-scoring, competitive encounters.
  • No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • Barcelona recently unveiled their renovated Camp Nou, which may boost morale and confidence. Celta Vigo's home advantage at Estadio de Balaídos could play a role, but Barcelona's away form remains strong.
  • Barcelona is motivated to maintain their top-five position and close the gap on league leaders. Celta Vigo seeks to improve their mid-table standing and avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -155, Celta Vigo: 370, Draw: 330 Barcelona Not available
Spread Barcelona: -1, Celta Vigo: 1 Barcelona -1 Not available
Over/under Over: 3.25, Under: 3.25 Over Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is favored to win, but Celta Vigo's home advantage and recent competitive results suggest a tight match. Expect Barcelona to control possession and create chances, but Celta Vigo may score. A high-scoring game is likely given both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Celta Vigo 2-3 Barcelona


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Barcelona vs. Elche CF Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Elche CF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Camp Nou, Barcelona

Game Overview

Barcelona hosts Elche CF in La Liga Round 11. Barcelona is heavily favored, with a dominant head-to-head record and superior form. Elche has struggled away from home and has never beaten Barcelona in their last 13 meetings. Barcelona is dealing with several key injuries, but their squad depth remains strong. Elche is also missing some key players, which could further hamper their chances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has won 12 of their last 13 meetings with Elche, with only one draw. They have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches but have not kept a clean sheet in 7 games. Elche is in mixed form and has not won an away game recently. Barcelona's recent results include wins over Olympiacos (6-1) and Girona (2-1), but also losses to Real Madrid (2-1) and Sevilla (4-1).
  • Barcelona leads the head-to-head record with 12 wins, 0 losses, and 1 draw in the last 13 meetings. The last few matches have seen Barcelona win by margins of 4-0, 3-0, 2-1, and 3-2. Elche has never beaten Barcelona in these encounters.
  • Barcelona is missing Andreas Christensen, Pedri, Joan Garcia, Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Dani Olmo, Gavi, and Raphinha due to injuries. Elche is missing Bambo Diaby, Grady Diangana, and Héctor Fort. These absences could impact both teams' defensive stability and attacking options.
  • Barcelona will have home advantage at Camp Nou, which is a significant factor given their strong home record and Elche's poor away form. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for a La Liga match in November.
  • Barcelona will be highly motivated to maintain their position in the league and continue their dominance over Elche. Elche will be looking to end their losing streak against Barcelona and improve their away record, but their motivation may be dampened by their recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -400, Elche CF: 1200, Draw: 460 Barcelona ★★★★★ 95%
Spread Barcelona: -2, Elche CF: 2 Barcelona -2 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over: 3.5 -108, Under: 3.5 -112 Over 3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is expected to win this match comfortably, given their superior form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. Elche's recent struggles and lack of success against Barcelona make it highly unlikely they will secure a positive result. The most likely outcome is a Barcelona victory by a margin of 2 or more goals.

Predicted Score: Barcelona 3-1 Elche CF


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Real Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Santiago Bernabéu

Game Overview

El Clásico match between Real Madrid and Barcelona in the Spanish La Liga, a highly competitive and historic rivalry match. Real Madrid currently leads the league with 24 points (8-0-1 record), while Barcelona is close behind with 22 points (7-1-1). The game is expected to be intense and pivotal for both teams' title aspirations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid is in strong form with 8 wins, no losses, and 1 draw in their last 9 league games and has scored multiple goals recently, featuring top scorers like Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior. Barcelona also performs well but has slightly fewer points, with key players Raphinha and Robert Lewandowski contributing goals and assists. Recent matches between both teams have been high scoring and closely contested.
  • The last five encounters have seen Barcelona winning 4 of them, including a recent 4-3 and 3-2 victories in La Liga and Copa del Rey respectively. Real Madrid last defeated Barcelona over a year ago with a 2-1 win in a friendly. This history suggests a slight edge to Barcelona in recent direct clashes but Real Madrid's home advantage and current league lead balance this.
  • No specific injury information available from current data, but both teams are expected to field strong squads given the importance of the match.
  • Match held at Real Madrid's home ground, Santiago Bernabéu, with ticket sales exclusively online. No notable external disruptions reported. The high-profile nature may increase pressure but also motivation.
  • Both teams highly motivated for this fixture to maintain or advance title challenges. Real Madrid wants to extend their lead, while Barcelona aims to close the gap. Historical rivalry adds additional competitive tension.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: 225, Real Madrid: 104, Draw: 290 Real Madrid to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Barcelona: 50 -125, Real Madrid: -0.5 105 Real Madrid -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3.5 -102, Under: 3.5 -118 Over 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tightly contested match likely with a slight edge to Real Madrid given home advantage and current form. Expect a high-scoring game reflecting recent results and attacking strengths of both sides.

Predicted Score: 3-2


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Barcelona vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 18 Oct 2025
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Olímpic Lluís Companys, Barcelona, Spain

Game Overview

Barcelona, currently ranked second in La Liga, is set to face Girona, who are fighting to escape relegation. The match promises to be intense with Barcelona seeking to continue their strong performance and Girona hoping to upset the odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has been performing well this season, with key players like Robert Lewandowski and Raphinha contributing significantly. Girona, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency and is positioned 18th in the league.
  • Historically, Barcelona has a strong head-to-head record against Girona, with recent matches often ending in significant wins for Barcelona. However, Girona has managed some notable upsets in recent years.
  • No specific injury updates are available for this match. However, both teams will likely field their strongest lineups to maximize their chances.
  • External factors like weather and crowd support could play a role, but given the match's location at Olímpic Lluís Companys, Barcelona is likely to have a significant home advantage.
  • Barcelona is highly motivated to maintain their position near the top of the league, while Girona is driven to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -580, Girona: 1250, Draw: 715 Barcelona to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona: -2 -120, Girona: 2 100 Barcelona to cover ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 4 -106, under: 4 -114 Over 4 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is expected to win, given their strong form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Barcelona 3, Girona 1


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Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Olímpic Lluís Companys, Barcelona, Spain

Game Overview

This La Liga match features Barcelona, currently 2nd in the league, hosting Real Sociedad, who hold 16th place. Barcelona is in strong form with recent high-scoring wins, while Real Sociedad is struggling with only one win this season and poor away performances. The match is pivotal for Sociedad to gain momentum and avoid relegation fears, whereas Barcelona aims to solidify their position near the top.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has won six consecutive league games, scoring at least three goals in each, showing attacking dominance and strong home form with 9 wins in their last 11 La Liga matches at this stadium. Real Sociedad has only one win this season, suffering five losses and scoring struggles in away matches.
  • Historically, Barcelona holds a decisive advantage with 24 wins against Real Sociedad's 7 wins and 5 draws. Recent encounters favor Barcelona, including a 4-0 win earlier this year and a 2-0 win in May 2025.
  • No specific injury data for key players was found in the search results, suggesting both teams may have near full fitness available.
  • Barcelona is preparing for an upcoming UEFA Champions League match, which may influence squad rotation or playing intensity. The home venue has traditionally been favorable for Barcelona’s style and results.
  • Barcelona is highly motivated to maintain pressure on the league leaders. Real Sociedad faces pressure to escape relegation-threatened positions and must take points to build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -355, Real Sociedad: 1100, Draw: 425 Barcelona to win ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Barcelona: -1.75 -115, Real Sociedad: 1.75 -105 Barcelona to win by at least 2 goals ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over: 3.5 -120, Under: 3.5 100 Over 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is strongly favored to win, with an expectation of a high-scoring game due to their attacking form and Real Sociedad's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly away from home.

Predicted Score: Barcelona 4 – 1 Real Sociedad


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Oviedo vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo, Spain

Game Overview

Real Oviedo, currently ranked 17th in La Liga, hosts Barcelona, who are 2nd in the standings, at the Carlos Tartiere stadium. Barcelona enters the match as clear favorites given their strong league position and recent performances, while Oviedo struggles near the relegation zone. The game is part of the 2025-26 La Liga season and will feature key offensive players from both sides attempting to influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has shown dominant form with a recent 3-0 win against Getafe and has multiple players contributing to goals and assists, including forwards F. Torres (4 goals) and Raphinha (3 goals). Oviedo has had a poor start with only 3 points from four matches, reflecting struggles both offensively and defensively.
  • Historically, Barcelona has a significant edge over Oviedo, winning most past encounters and often controlling the match. Oviedo has rarely troubled Barcelona and tends to perform defensively when hosting but rarely secures points against this opponent.
  • There is no specific injury information available for either team as of the current data, suggesting both teams will likely field strong lineups.
  • Playing at Carlos Tartiere could provide Oviedo some home advantage, but Barcelona’s squad depth and quality heavily favor an away victory.
  • Barcelona aims to maintain their high league position and build momentum towards the title race, while Oviedo is motivated to gain crucial points to escape relegation worries, possibly increasing their defensive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -390, Oviedo: 800, Draw: 575 Barcelona Win ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Barcelona -1.75: -112, Oviedo +1.75: -108 Barcelona -1.75 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105 Over 3.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is predicted to win comfortably, likely by at least a two-goal margin, based on form, quality, and odds.

Predicted Score: Barcelona 3 – 0 Oviedo


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Barcelona vs. Getafe Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Getafe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff, Barcelona, Spain

Game Overview

Barcelona, currently 2nd in La Liga, hosts 5th placed Getafe in a key early-season match. Barcelona is undefeated in their last 10 matches and has an impressive head-to-head record against Getafe, having not lost in their last 9 meetings. Getafe has shown competitive form but lacks consistency against top sides. This game is expected to feature Barcelona's strong attacking play against Getafe's resilient defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches and maintains strong attacking and creative stats, led by players like Raphinha and Ferran Torres. Getafe has scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, with Adrián Liso notable for shots on target. Barcelona also shows strength in creating big chances through Luis Milla.
  • Barcelona dominates recent encounters with 21 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses versus Getafe historically. In the last season, Barcelona remained unbeaten against Getafe (5 wins, 4 draws).
  • No major injury reports are available for this match; both squads are expected to field strong lineups.
  • The match is held at Barcelona's home ground, Estadi Johan Cruyff, providing them a significant home advantage. Weather and referee data are not specified but no known external disruptors are evident.
  • Barcelona aims to maintain momentum and to assert dominance early in the season to challenge for the title. Getafe looks motivated to climb higher in the standings but faces a daunting task against a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -450, Getafe: 1200, Draw: 500 Barcelona win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona: -1.75 -118, Getafe: 1.75 -102 Barcelona to cover -1.75 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 3 -115, Under: 3 -105 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is highly favored to win this match by leveraging their superior squad depth, home advantage, and dominant recent form.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Barcelona vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Barcelona and Valencia is scheduled for September 14, 2025, at the smaller Estadi Johan Cruyff instead of the usual Camp Nou due to ongoing preparations at the latter. Barcelona, despite considerable squad absences in midfield, remain dominant favorites with a strong recent record against Valencia. Valencia enters in good physical shape without injuries, fielding a stable squad aiming to upset the home side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona holds an impressive recent head-to-head record, including a 7-1 league win and other comfortable victories this season, though their midfield options are limited due to missing key players like Gavi and Frenkie de Jong. Valencia has no injuries and has shown decent form, relying on attacking players like Danjuma and Lopez to challenge Barcelona’s defense.
  • In their last five meetings, Barcelona won four games heavily (one 7-1, another 5-0) and drew once against Valencia. This dominance underscores Barcelona’s tactical and quality superiority over Valencia in recent matches.
  • Barcelona is missing Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Gavi, Alejandro Balde, and Frenkie de Jong. Robert Lewandowski is being managed cautiously due to a recent hamstring problem. Valencia reports no injuries, giving the away coach significant squad selection flexibility.
  • The match venue change to the Estadi Johan Cruyff, with a much smaller 6,000 capacity compared to Camp Nou, may reduce the typical home atmosphere advantage for Barcelona. This has been a point of fan frustration but remains a fixed factor.
  • Barcelona has strong motivation to maintain their winning start in La Liga and reinforce their title credentials early. Valencia seeks to build on solid squad fitness and cause an upset to gain early points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -475, Valencia: 1000, Draw: 600 Barcelona win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona: -2 -112, Valencia: +2 -108 Barcelona to cover -2 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 3.5 -122, Under: 3.5 +102 Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is heavily favored to win due to historical dominance, current form, and squad quality despite the midfield absences and smaller venue. Expect a Barcelona victory, though the reduced stadium atmosphere could slightly narrow the margin.

Predicted Score: Barcelona 4 – 1 Valencia


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Rayo Vallecano, currently 8th in La Liga, host Barcelona, the reigning champions and 2nd in the league, in a La Liga matchup. Barcelona seek to maintain their perfect start with three wins from three matches, while Rayo have accumulated three points from two games. Historically, Barcelona dominate the head-to-head with 16 wins in 21 matches, compared to Rayo's 3 wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona is in strong form with two wins from two matches and has scored 23 goals in their last five outings. Rayo Vallecano has shown competitive play with three points but has suffered a recent home defeat to Athletic Club. Barcelona's squad is well-rested with a full week of preparation, unlike Rayo which may rotate their squad due to recent fixtures.
  • Out of 21 meetings since 2011, Barcelona have won 16 matches against Rayo, who have only 3 wins and 2 draws. Barcelona have won the last three consecutive matches against Rayo, including recent 1-0 and 3-0 victories.
  • No specific injury news provided in available data; expected lineups will be clearer closer to kickoff.
  • The pitch at Estadio de Vallecas is reportedly in poor condition, which could impact the playing style and possibly slow the game, potentially benefiting the home side against the technically superior Barcelona.
  • Barcelona is motivated to continue their strong start to defend the La Liga title and maintain top position. Rayo Vallecano, playing at home, will look to upset the champions and improve their league standing with a positive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -250, Rayo Vallecano: 575, Draw: 420 Barcelona win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona -1.25: -120, Rayo Vallecano +1.25: 100 Barcelona -1.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.25: -112, Under 3.25: -108 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is favored to win due to superior form, squad quality, and historical dominance. A competitive game is expected, but Barcelona should secure all three points.

Predicted Score: Rayo Vallecano 1 – 2 Barcelona


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