Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (78-64) visit the Baltimore Orioles (66-76) in the final game of their three-game series. Dodgers are favored with Clayton Kershaw starting, known for strong performances, while Orioles counter with Tomoyuki Sugano who has been solid but less dominant. Orioles have already won two close games in this series at home, showing resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
Dodgers have a better overall record and pitching consistency with Kershaw (9-2, 3.28 ERA), whereas Orioles have struggled overall but have won five games in a row including two in this series. Orioles pitching staff's ERA is higher (4.66) and offense moderate with .241 batting average.
Orioles have taken the first two games of the series narrowly, indicating recent momentum despite being underdogs. Dodgers have historically dominated but recent H2H form favors Orioles.
No critical injuries reported for either team that affect starting pitchers or key hitters based on available info.
The game is played at Camden Yards, Orioles’ home field, giving them a slight home-field advantage. Weather or other external factors not reported as significant.
Orioles, out of playoff contention, are motivated to finish strong and spoil Dodgers’ series sweep hopes. Dodgers aim to maintain momentum for a playoff push, playing their ace pitcher to close the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
134
Baltimore Orioles
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
-118
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
-114
Under 9
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 17%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.7% (Kelly Criterion)
The San Diego Padres host the Baltimore Orioles in an MLB matchup where the Padres are favored at home. Both teams have shown mixed form, but the Padres hold a slight advantage given their home performance and recent head-to-head outcomes.
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres have a 76-63 record with a strong 60.6% winning rate as favorites this season. The Orioles hold a 63-76 record, winning only 41.7% of games as underdogs with odds similar to today’s (+138). The Padres have a solid ATS (against the spread) record of 75-62, while the Orioles are below .500 at 65-71 ATS.
Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Padres, who typically outperform the Orioles at PETCO Park. Baltimore has struggled to cover runs against San Diego’s pitching staff in prior meetings.
No significant reported injuries for either side impacting starting rotations or key offensive players for this specific game.
The game’s location at PETCO Park favors strong pitching and defense. Weather conditions expected to be typical for San Diego in September with no rain or extreme wind to influence gameplay.
Padres are motivated to secure wins down the stretch for playoff positioning, while Orioles are in a rebuilding phase with less playoff pressure, likely focusing on player development.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Padres -164, Orioles +138
San Diego Padres
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Padres -1.5 +125, Orioles +1.5 -150
San Diego Padres -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -102, Under 8.5 -120
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres moneyline win; Padres to cover -1.5 spread; total runs under 8.5
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4 – Baltimore Orioles 2
The San Francisco Giants host the Baltimore Orioles in a pivotal late-season MLB matchup at Oracle Park. The Giants enter as favorites with slightly better recent form and home field advantage, while the Orioles seek an upset to bolster their postseason positioning. Both teams feature key offensive weapons and solid pitching rotations, making this a competitive and strategically significant contest.
Key Factors to Consider
The Giants have shown moderate consistency as favorites this season, winning 51.2% of such games and displaying a 53% win rate in home contests. Baltimore, as underdogs on the road, win approximately 40.7% of their games at moneyline odds longer than +120. Recent Giants form is stronger, having won their last meeting and several recent home games.
The Giants hold a narrow advantage in recent head-to-head matchups, including a win in their last encounter. The Orioles have been competitive but are slightly behind in overall win probability with 47.6% compared to 52.4% for the Giants according to model projections.
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitching or main offensive contributors, sustaining balanced lineup and rotation strength on both sides.
Game played in Oracle Park favors the Giants with familiar conditions and crowd support. Weather is expected to be typical late August with no severe external impacts forecasted.
The Giants have motivation to solidify playoff seeding as a Wild Card contender, while the Orioles aim to gain momentum and disrupt division races. Both sides have strong incentives but Giants’ home advantage adds motivational edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles: +118, San Francisco Giants: -138
San Francisco Giants
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Baltimore Orioles +1.5: -184, San Francisco Giants -1.5: +152
San Francisco Giants -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5: +100, Under 8.5: -122
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Francisco Giants 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Giants to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to finish under 8.5 runs.
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
The Boston Red Sox, currently wild card contenders with a 74-60 record, face the struggling Baltimore Orioles (60-73) at Camden Yards. Boston starts ace Garrett Crochet (14-5, 2.38 ERA), while Baltimore counters with Cade Povich (2-7, 5.13 ERA). The Red Sox have strong pitching and slightly better offensive metrics, making them favorites in this matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston holds a better season record and pitching stats (3.67 ERA, 1.28 WHIP) compared to Baltimore's 4.68 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Baltimore has lost 6 of their last 7 games, while Boston is motivated to maintain wild card positioning.
Boston won 3 out of their last 5 meetings versus Baltimore. In the current series, Baltimore dropped the first three games but had led late in one, showing fight despite losses.
Boston is missing key players such as Josh Winckowski, Triston Casas, and others on 60-day IL. Baltimore has no major recent injury reports impacting the starting lineup for this game.
The game is played at Camden Yards, a hitter-friendly park, but the starting pitching matchup favors the Red Sox. Weather and other factors appear normal.
Boston is fighting for a wild card spot with the Yankees and needs a win. Baltimore, last in AL East and with poor recent form, has less to play for but could be dangerous playing at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-180
Boston Red Sox
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
-104
Boston Red Sox -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
-105
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox moneyline
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4, Baltimore Orioles 2