Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN

Game Overview

The Purdue Boilermakers, heavy favorites after a disappointing 1-11 season last year, host the Ball State Cardinals, who went 3-9. Purdue is favored by 17.5 points with a total of 49.5 set on the game. Both teams struggled defensively last season, contributing to a moderately high total point line.

Key Factors to Consider

• Purdue had a poor season scoring 15.8 points/game while allowing 39.9; Ball State scored 25.3 but allowed 40.1. Purdue's offense led by QB Hudson Card showed limited efficiency but has depth. Ball State's ground game was weak last year with 1.6 yds/carry and poor rush defense.
• Ball State managed to cover the spread in recent encounters but struggled to win outright. Purdue's home advantage and deeper roster tilt the balance heavily toward the Boilermakers.
• No significant injury reports for key starters on either team have been indicated leading up to the game.
• Game played at Purdue's home stadium with favorable weather (68°F, low wind, no rain) and strong home crowd support.
• Purdue looks to rebound strongly after a poor prior season on home turf; Ball State seeks an upset but faces a rigid Big Ten defense. Motivational advantage favors Purdue.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -850, away: +575	Purdue Boilermakers	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	home: -110, away: -110	Purdue Boilermakers -17.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	over: -108, under: -112	Under 49.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Purdue Boilermakers -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 49.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Purdue Boilermakers to win straight up and cover the -17.5 spread; game to finish under 49.5 total points

Predicted Score: Purdue 27 – Ball State 7

Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 8, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Victory Field

Game Overview

This matchup features Indiana Hoosiers at home against Ball State Cardinals. The Hoosiers have historically dominated the Cardinals at Victory Field, but both teams are looking for strong performances this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Indiana started the season 12-12 but have shown resilience against ranked opponents. Ball State is 13-12 this season and has been competitive.
• Indiana has a solid record against Ball State at Victory Field, winning 4 of their last 6 meetings.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at Victory Field, a neutral venue, but Indiana has more experience playing here.
• Both teams are motivated to perform well to enhance their chances in the NCAA tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ball State: 180, Indiana: -238	Indiana Hoosiers	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Ball State: +2.5 -130, Indiana: -2.5 100	Indiana Hoosiers -2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over: 15 -115, Under: 15 -115	Under 15	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ball State Cardinals -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 15 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 15 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Indiana Hoosiers are favored to win due to their strong past performances at Victory Field.

Predicted Score: Indiana Hoosiers 7, Ball State Cardinals 4

Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 7, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Millett Hall

Game Overview

Miami (OH) RedHawks host Ball State Cardinals in an NCAA Men's basketball match. The RedHawks have a strong record, while the Cardinals have struggled this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Miami (OH) RedHawks have a superior record at 22-8, while Ball State Cardinals are 14-16. This performance gap suggests Miami (OH) has an advantage in overall team strength.
• In their previous meeting, Miami (OH) won by eight points at Ball State. This recent head-to-head victory indicates Miami (OH) might have an edge in matchups.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team, which means both teams are likely at full strength.
• Home-court advantage could play a role, as Miami (OH) is hosting the game. However, no other external factors seem to significantly impact the matchup.
• Both teams have motivation to win, but Miami (OH) might be more driven given their recent success and home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	-9.5 -110 for Miami (OH), 9.5 -110 for Ball State	Miami (OH) RedHawks	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 149.5 -110, Under 149.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Miami (OH) RedHawks are likely to win due to their stronger record and recent performance against Ball State.

Predicted Score: Miami (OH) RedHawks 78, Ball State Cardinals 69

Match Analysis: Ball State Cardinals vs Central Michigan Chippewas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 5, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Worthen Arena

Game Overview

The Ball State Cardinals host the Central Michigan Chippewas in a crucial Mid-American Conference matchup. Ball State recently secured a comeback win over Central Michigan, showcasing their resilience and strong second-half performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ball State has shown strong second-half performances, particularly in their recent win over Central Michigan. Central Michigan, however, has been competitive on the road against Ball State, with a 5-1 ATS record in their last six visits.
• In their last meeting, Ball State edged Central Michigan 82-80, thanks to Jeremiah Hernandez's clutch free throws. Central Michigan has historically performed well against Ball State on the road.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home-court advantage could play a role for Ball State, but Central Michigan's road performance against them is noteworthy.
• Both teams are motivated to secure conference wins, but Ball State's recent victory might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	Ball State +2.5 -105, Central Michigan -2.5 -115	Ball State +2.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over_under	Over 147 -105, Under 147 -115	Over 147	★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Ball State Cardinals to win outright.

Predicted Score: Ball State 75, Central Michigan 72

Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bowling Green, Ohio

Game Overview

The Bowling Green Falcons host the Ball State Cardinals in a crucial Mid-American Conference matchup. Both teams are looking to secure better seeding in the conference tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ball State has shown strong offense, recently defeating Bowling Green 91-69. Bowling Green, however, has struggled with consistency, particularly in shooting efficiency.
• Ball State has had recent success against Bowling Green, winning their last meeting convincingly. However, Bowling Green has shown the ability to compete closely in past games.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home-court advantage could play a significant role for Bowling Green, but Ball State's recent form might counteract this.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their conference standings, but Ball State's recent performance suggests they might have an edge in momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not Available	Ball State Cardinals	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Ball State +2 -115, Bowling Green -2 -105	Ball State +2	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 148.5 -110, Under 148.5 -110	Over 148.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Ball State Cardinals to win outright.

Predicted Score: Ball State 75, Bowling Green 72

Match Analysis: Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: John E. Worthen Arena

Game Overview

The Ball State Cardinals host the Buffalo Bulls in a MAC matchup. Ball State is favored by 9.5 points, with a moneyline of -500 for the Cardinals and +395 for the Bulls. The over/under is set at 151.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ball State has a 13-13 record, while Buffalo is 8-18. Ball State has been performing better recently, especially at home, where they are on a three-game winning streak. Buffalo's offense has struggled, particularly in their last two games.
• Historically, Buffalo has a slight edge in head-to-head matchups, but recent trends favor Ball State, especially at home.
• There are no reported injuries for Buffalo heading into this game.
• The game is being played at Ball State's home venue, which could provide an advantage for the Cardinals.
• Ball State is motivated to continue their home winning streak, while Buffalo seeks to improve their away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-500 (Ball State), +395 (Buffalo)	Ball State	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-9.5 -115 (Ball State), 9.5 -105 (Buffalo)	Ball State	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 151.5 -110, Under 151.5 -110	Under	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Ball State is likely to win due to their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: Ball State 81, Buffalo 71