Match Analysis: Indiana St Sycamores vs Ball State Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Hulman Center, Terre Haute, IN
Game Overview
The Indiana State Sycamores host the Ball State Cardinals in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Both teams are coming off mixed results early in the season, with Indiana State holding a 3-2 record and Ball State at 2-2. Indiana State has shown solid home form, while Ball State has struggled to cover spreads and maintain offensive consistency. The game is scheduled for 7:00 PM EST at the Hulman Center.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana State averages 73.2 points per game and allows 74.2, holding opponents to 42.6% shooting. Ball State averages 69.0 points and allows 68.0, holding opponents under 70 in three of four games. Indiana State dominates the glass with 37.6 rebounds per game compared to Ball State's 29.8, giving the Sycamores more second-chance opportunities. Ball State shoots 45.5% overall and 37.3% from three, while Indiana State shoots 42.0% overall and only 27.4% from three.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Indiana State is 2-0 at home this season, including a recent win over Louisiana Tech. Ball State is 1-0 away. The game is being played at Indiana State's home venue, which may provide a slight advantage.
- Indiana State is looking to build momentum after a strong home win, while Ball State seeks to rebound from two consecutive losses and improve their road performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ball State Cardinals: 330, Indiana St Sycamores: -430 | Indiana St Sycamores | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Ball State Cardinals: 7.5 -102, Indiana St Sycamores: -7.5 -120 | Indiana St Sycamores -7.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 151.5 -110, Under: 151.5 -110 | Under 151.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana St Sycamores -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 151.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana State is favored to win this matchup due to their superior rebounding, home-court advantage, and recent form. Ball State's offensive struggles and poor shooting efficiency suggest a low-scoring game, with Indiana State likely to control the pace and dominate the boards.
Predicted Score: Indiana State 72, Ball State 68