Match Analysis: Darragh Kelly vs Bakhtiyar Abdulaev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-26
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: PFL Europe 3, Nantes, France
Game Overview
Darragh Kelly, a heavily favored fighter with dominant recent performances in PFL Europe, goes up against underdog Bakhtiyar Abdulaev, who has shown potential but less consistent results at this level.
Key Factors to Consider
- Darragh Kelly has demonstrated strong finishing skills and control in his last three fights, winning decisively without significant damage. Abdulaev has mixed recent form, with some solid wins but also questionable defense and endurance.
- No previous meeting between Kelly and Abdulaev, so no direct comparison exists; analysis relies on stylistic matchups and recent performance trends.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the contest, indicating both are likely at peak physical condition.
- The fight takes place on European soil in PFL Europe 3, with Kelly possibly having a slight home continent advantage and stronger fan support.
- Kelly appears highly motivated to advance his standing in the PFL Europe lightweight division, whereas Abdulaev seems motivated but faces higher pressure as the clear underdog.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kelly -650, Abdulaev +440 | Kelly | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Kelly -1.5 rounds -300, Abdulaev +1.5 rounds +220 | Kelly -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Darragh Kelly -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Darragh Kelly at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Darragh Kelly to win via moneyline
Predicted Score: Kelly wins by TKO in round 2