Match Analysis: Darragh Kelly vs Bakhtiyar Abdulaev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-26
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: PFL Event Venue (Exact venue not specified)
Game Overview
This lightweight bout in the 2025 PFL season features Darragh Kelly, an undefeated Irish fighter known as "The Moville Mauler," against Bakhtiyar Abdulaev. Kelly holds an 8-0 career record and is currently 1-0 in PFL, demonstrating strong submission and decision wins recently. Abdulaev's detailed fight record is not available in the provided data, but betting odds strongly favor Kelly.
Key Factors to Consider
- Darragh Kelly has displayed consistent dominance with multiple submission finishes and decisions in high-profile promotions like Bellator and PFL, maintaining an undefeated record. His recent fights show strong grappling and conditioning under SB Ireland team. Abdulaev's performance data is limited, making Kelly's known strengths a substantial advantage.
- No direct head-to-head records between Darragh Kelly and Bakhtiyar Abdulaev are documented in the provided data.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
- The fight is part of the PFL 2025 season where Kelly is aiming to maintain his unbeaten streak. Kelly's motivation is high after submitting Mike Hamel in the semifinals earlier this year. Abdulaev's external motivation and background information are not detailed in the current data.
- Kelly appears strongly motivated and confident, coming off a submission win in the PFL semifinals. Abdulaev's motivation level is unclear due to limited available information.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Darragh Kelly: -650, Bakhtiyar Abdulaev: 440 | Darragh Kelly to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Darragh Kelly: -1.5, Bakhtiyar Abdulaev: +1.5 | Darragh Kelly by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: Even, Under 2.5 rounds: Even | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Darragh Kelly -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Darragh Kelly at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Darragh Kelly is predicted to win by submission or decision given his undefeated record, grappling proficiency, and superior fight experience in major promotions. Abdulaev is an underdog despite the odds, but limited data on him reduces confidence in his chances.
Predicted Score: Darragh Kelly wins by submission in round 3