Match Analysis: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Série A match between Bahia and Vasco da Gama at Bahia's home ground, Arena Fonte Nova. Bahia currently ranks higher in the league and has shown stronger recent performance compared to Vasco da Gama.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and ranks 7th in the league standings, showing consistent attacking strength and chance creation, led by Éverton Ribeiro. Vasco da Gama has scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches, holding a lower league position (12th) with some defensive vulnerabilities, having failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 consecutive games.
• Historically, the head-to-head is competitive with Bahia leading slightly: Bahia has won around 9-11 games, Vasco da Gama 7-10, and 5-6 draws out of the last 21 matches. Matches tend to be close but Bahia has a minor advantage overall.
• No specific injury data provided in the sources for either side, indicating an expected full or near-full squad availability for both teams.
• Bahia plays at home with fan support at Arena Fonte Nova, which historically benefits them. There are no unusual external conditions reported that could significantly affect match dynamics.
• Bahia is motivated to secure points to strengthen their top-half position, while Vasco da Gama aims to improve their league standing from 12th place, making this a vital match for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is favored to win based on home advantage, better current form, and a positive head-to-head record. The match is expected to be competitive but with a slight edge to Bahia to secure all three points.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-20
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Fortaleza in a crucial Brazilian Serie A encounter at Arena Fonte Nova. Bahia currently sits 5th in the league, showcasing stronger form and higher points, while Fortaleza struggles around 19th position. The match is significant as Bahia aims to consolidate their top-table status, while Fortaleza fights to escape relegation zones.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia holds a positive form with 15 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, scoring 42 goals and conceding 38. Fortaleza’s form is weaker: 7 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, with 28 goals for and 45 against. Bahia’s home form is solid compared to Fortaleza’s generally poor away results.
• Historically, the teams are fairly evenly matched: over their last 16 meetings, Bahia and Fortaleza each won 6 times, with 4 draws. Recent encounters show Bahia slightly stronger, including a 2-1 home win and a 1-1 draw earlier in the 2025 season.
• Current detailed injury updates for key players are not available in the provided data, limiting assessment of squad availability.
• No significant external factors such as weather, referee issues, or off-field controversies were mentioned. Venue and scheduling favor the home team Bahia with familiar playing conditions.
• Bahia is motivated to secure points to maintain or improve their top-5 league standing, with potential continental competition implications. Fortaleza battles relegation threats, increasing their urgency but possibly under pressure playing away.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is favored to win due to form, home advantage, and historical head-to-head results. A tight game is expected, but Fortaleza is likely to struggle against Bahia’s stronger attack and more stable defense.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Bahia

Match Analysis: Internacional vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

The match between Internacional and Bahia in the Brazilian Serie A is set at Estádio Beira-Rio with Internacional playing at home. Both teams have had a mixed season with Internacional struggling in mid-table, while Bahia has shown competitive form and sits higher in the standings. The two teams last met on October 22, 2025, with Bahia winning 1-0 at home. Historically, Internacional holds a stronger head-to-head record against Bahia.

Key Factors to Consider

• Internacional is positioned 14th currently and has faced recent challenges, including a loss to Vitória on November 5, 2025. Bahia ranks 5th and has demonstrated better overall form. Internacional's recent games tend to have under 2.5 goals, indicating a defensively cautious approach. Bahia has injuries to key players Caio Alexandre, Erick Pulga, Joao Paulo, and Éverton Ribeiro, which might weaken their attacking options. Internacional also faces absences through suspension and injuries (Johan Carbonero suspended, several injured including Braian Aguirre).
• Historically, Internacional leads the head-to-head with 14 wins compared to Bahia's 4, with 6 draws. The latest encounter was a Bahia 1-0 win at Arena Fonte Nova, showing competitive parity.
• Bahia missing Caio Alexandre, Erick Pulga, Joao Paulo, Éverton Ribeiro (injuries). Internacional missing Johan Carbonero (suspension), Braian Aguirre, Lucca Drummond, Richard, Sergio Rochet (injuries).
• Playing at home at Estádio Beira-Rio gives Internacional a home advantage, though recent form and injury issues lessen its impact. Weather or pitch conditions were not specified and assumed neutral.
• Internacional, facing poor recent results and mid-table pressure, is motivated to gain points at home. Bahia, with higher table position and recent head-to-head success, aims to consolidate their standing and continue gaining wins.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

The game is expected to be tightly contested with a slight edge to Internacional due to home advantage and historical superiority. However, Bahia's current form and previous win against Internacional suggest a close match likely ending in a narrow victory for Internacional or a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-05
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

The 32nd round match of the 2025 Campeonato Brasileiro features Atletico Mineiro hosting Bahia. Atletico Mineiro seeks to escape the lower part of the table with only one win in their last five matches, while Bahia fights to consolidate their position in the top 5. The match takes place at Arena MRV, with Atletico having home advantage and some key players returning from suspension, although their head coach Sampaoli is suspended.

Key Factors to Consider

• Atletico Mineiro has struggled recently with just one win in their last five games and managed a 0-0 draw against Internacional last weekend. Bahia won their last match 2-1 against Red Bull Bragantino but have a poor away record with four consecutive losses away and their last away win dating back to August against Corinthians.
• Earlier in the season, Bahia defeated Atletico Mineiro 2-1 at home. The referee Davi De Oliveira Lacerda officiated that match. Atletico has had mixed results under this referee, with several draws and losses including a 3-0 defeat to Fluminense at Maracanã.
• Atletico Mineiro will be missing central defender Vitor Hugo and head coach Jorge Sampaoli due to suspensions. However, Gustavo Scarpa and Guilherme Arana return from suspension. Bahia has no major injury concerns reported.
• The match's timing in the season (late phase) adds pressure for Atletico Mineiro to gain points. The venue, Arena MRV, offers a strong home atmosphere. The referee has previously overseen some Atletico matches with mixed results.
• Atletico Mineiro is motivated to climb away from relegation threats, making these points vital. Bahia aims to secure a top 4 finish and Champions League qualification spots, adding high motivation despite their poor away form.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

A narrow home victory for Atletico Mineiro is predicted based on their home advantage, key player returns, and Bahia's poor away form, although the game could be tight given both teams' recent inconsistencies.

Predicted Score: 1-0

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

The upcoming Campeonato Brasileiro Série A match features Bahia hosting Red Bull Bragantino-SP at Arena Fonte Nova. Bahia currently ranks 5th, showing relatively strong form this season, while Bragantino-SP sits lower at 12th place. The match is important as Bahia aims to consolidate a top position and secure continental qualification spots, whereas Bragantino-SP looks to improve their standing and avoid slipping further down the table.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia has shown consistent performance with a strong home record and a top 5 league position, indicating good form and potential momentum. Bragantino-SP, while mid-table, have struggled away from home and rank 12th, reflecting inconsistent results and defensive vulnerabilities.
• In their recent meetings this season, Bahia has the upper hand in terms of league position and previous encounters. Last season they played twice, with Bahia generally managing better outcomes. The only match so far this season between these teams was contested at Bahia's venue.
• No specific injury reports currently available for either team, suggesting that both squads are likely close to full strength for this fixture.
• The match takes place in Salvador, providing a home advantage to Bahia due to fan support and familiarity with Arena Fonte Nova. There are no reported adverse weather conditions or other external disruptions.
• Bahia is motivated to secure a win to maintain their top league position and qualify for Copa Libertadores. Bragantino-SP is driven to gain points to climb the standings and secure a spot in continental tournaments or at least consolidate mid-table safety, which should influence their tactical approach.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is favored to win this match given their better league position, home advantage, and recent form. The prediction is a home victory but considering Bragantino-SP's potential to challenge, the match might be closely contested.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-26
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

The match between São Paulo and Bahia is a Brazilian Campeonato Série A fixture, scheduled for October 26, 2025, at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi Stadium). São Paulo currently ranks 9th in the league while Bahia is placed 6th. Both teams have a recent head-to-head history with Bahia winning their last encounter 2-1 earlier this season. São Paulo plays at home but Bahia have proven competitive, making this a close contest in the battle for higher league positions.

Key Factors to Consider

• São Paulo has a mixed recent form, positioned 9th, with a moderate win/draw/loss record (2-6-3), while Bahia is slightly better placed at 6th with stronger recent results. São Paulo struggles defensively, as seen in conceding goals against Bahia previously, but have home advantage. Bahia demonstrated attacking efficiency and resilience in their recent win against São Paulo, showing potential to challenge away.
• In the current season, São Paulo and Bahia have played once before, with Bahia winning 2-1 at home. Historically, they are competitive with close matches. The last season also included two games between these clubs, indicating a balanced rivalry with Bahia having the psychological edge due to the recent win.
• Current detailed injury reports are not explicitly available in the data found. No critical injury alerts for key players have been identified for either team before this match.
• The match is a mid-week fixture in the Brazilian Championship's closing stages, with both teams motivated to secure valuable points. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal with no special external disruptions reported. São Paulo hosts the game providing home support, which may influence the dynamics.
• Both sides are motivated to climb league standings and potentially secure spots for continental competitions. Bahia, being higher in the table, will aim to consolidate their position, while São Paulo looks to improve their form and capitalize on home advantage to gain points.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo to win narrowly or the match to be closely contested with possibility of a draw, considering home advantage and Bahia’s recent away performances.

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-22
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Internacional in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A match, with Bahia currently in strong form and superior league position (6th vs Internacional's 15th). Recent matches show Bahia's offense is sharp, but Internacional leads the historic head-to-head. Home advantage, current momentum, and Internacional's recent struggles shape likely outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia is unbeaten in their last five games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, with an 80% Asian Handicap win rate and 80% over on total goals in this span[2]. Internacional, in contrast, has just two wins in their last five, 1.2 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, but has historically performed well against Bahia[2]. Bahia has excelled at home, having won 9 home games this season[7], while Internacional has only two away wins.
• Since 2011, Internacional leads the head-to-head with 14 wins to Bahia’s 4, with 6 draws. Internacional has scored 35 goals in these matches (1.5 per game), while Bahia has scored 21 (0.9 per game)[2]. However, in the most recent five meetings, Bahia has improved, winning four and losing just one, indicating a shift in momentum[2].
• No specific injury news available from provided sources; assume teams are at close to full strength.
• The match is played at Arena Fonte Nova, known to be a strong fortress for Bahia—9 home wins this season[7]. Weather and travel fatigue are not detailed, but home support and pitch familiarity are clear edges for Bahia.
• Bahia is chasing a top-four finish and possible continental qualification. Internacional is flirting with relegation, potentially lifting motivation but also causing pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is favored due to recent form, home advantage, and superior league position. Internacional’s historic dominance is less relevant given recent reversals. Expect Bahia to control the match, but Internacional’s recent head-to-head results (two wins in last five) and occasional attacking threat mean a tight game is likely.

Predicted Score: Bahia 2–1 Internacional