Match Analysis: Bahia vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-10
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Fluminense in a critical Brasileirão Serie A fixture with Bahia currently 4th and Fluminense 9th in the standings. Bahia are in better recent form and stronger at home, while Fluminense struggles on the road and has some key injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia's recent form is solid with 8 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses overall and a strong 6-2-0 record at home. Fluminense has a weaker 7-2-7 record overall, with only 2-1-5 away, indicating struggles on the road.
• Historical data and recent H2H slightly favor Bahia, who have a better goal difference and higher league position. Wincomparator places Bahia win probability at about 54%, with Fluminense at 27% and Draw at 19%.
• Fluminense is reportedly missing some key players affecting both defense and attack, undermining their away performance. Bahia's injury situation is comparatively stable.
• The match is at Bahia's home stadium, where they have a strong home record. Fluminense's recent travel and fatigue from international fixtures may affect performance.
• Bahia, being higher in the table and solidifying a top-4 position, are highly motivated. Fluminense, mid-table with inconsistent form, have less immediate pressure but need points to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match will end with under 2 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

The match features mid-table Serie A Brazil teams Sport Recife and Bahia, both having started the season with draws. Sport Recife plays at home, leveraging their familiarity with Ilha do Retiro, but Bahia enters as slight favorites according to bookmaker consensus.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams have shown solid defensive organization with low scoring in early matches—Sport Recife 0-0 and Bahia 1-1 draws. Recent form is balanced without wins or losses, indicating a closely matched contest ahead.
• Historically, head-to-head matches between these teams tend to be tight with low scoring and frequent draws. This suggests a competitive game unlikely to yield a runaway result.
• No significant injuries reported that critically weaken either squad, implying both teams can field close to full-strength sides.
• Home advantage for Sport Recife at Ilha do Retiro and neutral weather conditions expected, with no notable external disruptions.
• Early season points are critical for both teams to improve league positioning. Bahia’s slight current favoritism may boost their confidence, but Sport Recife’s home motivation is also high.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

The highest expected value play is a Bahia moneyline win at attractive odds due to slight favoritism and better moneyline value compared to the draw. The spread play favors Bahia -0.25 as they are slight favorites, and a cautious under 2.25 goals bet fits the low scoring trends.

Predicted Score: 1-1

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-27
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia, currently 6th in the Brazil Campeonato standings, hosts Juventude, who sit 18th, at Arena Fonte Nova. Bahia have home advantage and better recent form. Juventude struggle to score and concede frequently, making Bahia strong favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia has shown consistent form, climbing to 6th place with solid wins at home. Juventude ranks low in 18th with poor away results and multiple losses in recent matches.
• In their recent two meetings last season, Bahia won both encounters, showcasing clear dominance over Juventude.
• No major injuries reported for either side affecting key starters, implying both teams near full strength.
• Match played at Bahia's home ground Arena Fonte Nova, giving them support and familiar conditions. No weather or travel issues expected.
• Bahia motivated to consolidate their top 6 position for potential continental qualification, while Juventude fight to avoid relegation but with low confidence coming off poor form.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to end under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0

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Parlay Odds Calculation

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-19
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Governador Placido Castelo

Game Overview

Fortaleza hosts Bahia in a Brazilian Serie A match where Bahia currently shows stronger recent form and statistical superiority. Fortaleza is enduring a significant slump, including consecutive home losses, while Bahia comes with momentum from a series of wins and draws.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fortaleza has lost their last five matches, have the worst recent home form with 4 straight home defeats, and have conceded 19 goals this season, close to the worst defensive record in the league. Bahia is undefeated in their last five games, winning four, and has better overall points position and defensive record.
• The last 16 matches between these teams are tightly contested with Bahia slightly ahead: 7 wins for Bahia, 6 for Fortaleza, and 3 draws. Bahia have won 3 of the last 4 fixtures, indicating current dominance.
• No notable injury information was reported that would heavily affect the lineups or strategies for either side.
• Bahia recently played a Copa Sudamericana match and drew 0-0, indicating good squad fitness and competitive sharpness. Fortaleza’s morale is likely low due to prolonged poor form.
• Bahia is motivated to consolidate their upper-table position and maintain their unbeaten run, while Fortaleza is fighting to halt a downward spiral, but their poor recent results diminish their confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win with over 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-2

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-16
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia and Internacional are set to face off in a highly competitive Brasileirão Serie A match. Bahia has shown strong home form recently, while Internacional seeks to challenge this dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia has been performing well at home, winning several recent matches, while Internacional has shown inconsistent form away from home.
• Historical matchups between the two teams are relatively balanced, but Bahia's recent home victories give them an edge.
• No significant injury reports for either team have been noted in recent sources.
• Arena Fonte Nova provides Bahia with a strong home advantage due to fan support.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points in the league standings, with Bahia seeking to maintain their home dominance and Internacional looking to upset their hosts.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is favored to win due to their strong home performance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Bahia 2, Internacional 1

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bahia Home Stadium

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Atletico Mineiro in a closely matched Serie A game with both teams in solid form. Bahia has a strong home record with four consecutive wins, while Atletico Mineiro is unbeaten in their last eight games showing resilience on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia has won 6 of 12 matches scoring 14 goals with strong offensive output at home. Atletico Mineiro holds 5 wins and 5 draws in 12 matches, scoring 13 goals and showing consistent form.
• The H2H is balanced with both teams having 5 wins each and 4 draws in their last 14 encounters. Bahia has been especially strong at home with only one loss versus Atletico Mineiro in the last 12 meetings.
• No major injury concerns reported currently for either side, enabling both teams close to full strength.
• No significant external factors such as weather or travel fatigue reported that could heavily impact the match.
• Bahia motivated to maintain strong home form and climb the table, Atletico Mineiro motivated to extend unbeaten streak and gain points away.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win on the moneyline with an expected tight goal margin, favoring an under 2.25 goals total given both teams' recent defensive solidity and tactical approaches.

Predicted Score: 1-0