Match Analysis: Badreddine Diani vs Amir Fazli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
The welterweight semifinal matchup in the PFL MENA 3 tournament features Morocco's Badreddine Diani (9-3-0) against Iran's Amir Fazli (7-3-0). Both fighters have solid records with Diani favored heavily by bookmakers. This fight carries high stakes as the winner advances to the tournament final.
Key Factors to Consider
- Badreddine Diani has demonstrated consistent performance recently, boasting a 9-3 record with a strong PFL presence. Amir Fazli holds a respectable 7-3 record with notable knockout power but less overall recent success against top-tier opponents.
- This appears to be their first recorded matchup. No direct H2H data available to influence prediction.
- No reported injuries or weight issues; both fighters made the welterweight limit successfully at official weigh-ins.
- The fight takes place in Riyadh, a neutral venue, but with Diani having regional support as a Moroccan competitor in the MENA league. Both fighters have shown motivation to win and advance.
- High stakes in a PFL semifinal mean both fighters are highly motivated. Diani’s recent push toward a PFL title likely gives him an edge in mental preparation and focus.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Badreddine Diani: -405, Amir Fazli: +320 | Badreddine Diani | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | -1.5 (-140) Badreddine Diani | Badreddine Diani by more than 1.5 rounds or dominant finish | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds (-120), Under 2.5 rounds (+100) | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Badreddine Diani -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Badreddine Diani at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Badreddine Diani to win by moneyline
Predicted Score: Badreddine Diani wins by TKO in Round 2