Match Analysis: Aleksandar Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 6:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC 321, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Light heavyweight bout featuring Aleksandar Rakic and Azamat Murzakanov. Both fighters are closely matched on paper with nearly even odds, but Murzakanov has recent momentum and finishing power advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Murzakanov is undefeated in UFC with 6 straight wins, 5 by KO/TKO. Rakic has suffered 2 KO/TKO losses in his last 3 fights.
• No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Rakic and Murzakanov.
• No significant injury reports disclosed for either fighter leading up to this bout.
• Fight location in Abu Dhabi is neutral ground. Murzakanov has shown strong fight finishes early in bouts, which can influence pace and strategy.
• Murzakanov is motivated to maintain his perfect UFC record and showcase his finishing ability, while Rakic seeks redemption after recent KO losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aleksandar Rakic: -108, Azamat Murzakanov: -112	Azamat Murzakanov	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Aleksandar Rakic +3.5: -170, Azamat Murzakanov -3.5: 125	Azamat Murzakanov -3.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -115	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Azamat Murzakanov -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Azamat Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Azamat Murzakanov wins by 2nd round TKO

Match Analysis: Brendson Ribeiro vs Azamat Murzakanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 7, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Game Overview

Azamat Murzakanov and Brendson Ribeiro face off in a light heavyweight bout at UFC 316. Murzakanov is undefeated with a record of 14-0, while Ribeiro brings a 17-7 record to the fight. Murzakanov is favored due to his striking power, while Ribeiro's grappling skills could pose a challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Murzakanov's undefeated record and recent knockout win against Alonzo Menifield highlight his striking prowess. Ribeiro's grappling strength, demonstrated in his submission victory over Diyar Nurgozhay, could be a significant factor if the fight goes to the ground.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight venue and crowd may not significantly impact the fighters, given both are experienced competitors.
• Murzakanov seeks to maintain his undefeated status, while Ribeiro aims to upset and gain momentum in his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-625 for Murzakanov, +455 for Ribeiro	Murzakanov	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	-3.5 for Murzakanov (-475), +3.5 for Ribeiro (300)	Murzakanov	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds (+124), Under 1.5 rounds (-160)	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Azamat Murzakanov -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Azamat Murzakanov is likely to win due to his strong striking ability and undefeated record.

Predicted Score: Murzakanov by KO in Round 1

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison Prediction	Kayla Harrison -5.5	-310	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Bruno Silva vs. Joshua Van Prediction	Joshua Van Win	-650	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Brendson Ribeiro vs. Azamat Murzakanov Prediction	Azamat Murzakanov -3.5	-475	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -118

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $36.95