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AZ Alkmaar vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 3:45 PM UTC
  • Location: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Game Overview

AZ Alkmaar hosts PSV Eindhoven in a pivotal Eredivisie clash. Both teams are in strong form, with AZ boasting five consecutive league wins and PSV riding a five-game winning streak domestically. PSV is chasing the league leaders, while AZ remains unbeaten at home. The match promises high intensity, attacking football, and significant implications for the title race.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar has shown remarkable consistency with five straight league victories, but suffered a 3-1 loss in the Europa Conference League midweek. PSV Eindhoven is dominant, winning five consecutive Eredivisie matches and averaging over 3 goals per game. PSV also drew 1-1 in the Champions League midweek, showing resilience.
  • Recent H2H meetings are tight, with the last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw. PSV has won 16 of the last 20 meetings, but AZ has been competitive at home, with several draws and narrow losses.
  • No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are at full strength, with key attackers like Dennis Man (PSV) in excellent form.
  • AZ is playing at home with strong crowd support. PSV is traveling after a midweek European fixture, but their squad depth and recent form suggest fatigue will not be a major factor.
  • PSV is chasing the league leaders and cannot afford to drop points. AZ is determined to maintain their unbeaten home record and challenge for European spots. Both teams are highly motivated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 195, away: 111, draw: 300 PSV Eindhoven ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 PSV Eindhoven -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 100, under: -120 Over 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven will win a high-scoring match, with both teams finding the net. AZ will push forward, but PSV's superior attacking quality and depth will prove decisive.

Predicted Score: 2-3


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Sparta Rotterdam vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

Game Overview

AZ Alkmaar are clear favorites according to recent form, while Sparta Rotterdam are below average in both performance and head-to-head record. AZ’s attacking efficiency and superior historical results against Sparta make them the team to back.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar are in strong form, winning three of their last five away matches and sitting above average in attack and defense. Sparta Rotterdam have only won twice at home this season and are considerably lower on both goals scored and conceded per match than AZ[1][4].
  • AZ Alkmaar absolutely dominate the historical matchup, winning 20 of the last 29 meetings and outscoring Sparta 65:23 overall. Sparta have only three wins in 29 attempts, with AZ winning the majority even away from home[4].
  • No major injury news reported (current available data does not indicate key absences).
  • No major external factors reported—standard Eredivisie conditions expected.
  • AZ Alkmaar are firmly in contention for European qualification, giving them an edge in motivation over a Sparta side who are more likely fighting to avoid a relegation battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +305, away: -136, draw: +315 AZ Alkmaar to win ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread home: +75 (-115), away: -0.75 (-105) AZ Alkmaar to cover (-0.75) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: 3 (-122), under: 3 (+102) Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: AZ Alkmaar at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar are the stronger side by both recent and historical metrics, and the moneyline and spread offer value against a relatively weak Sparta Rotterdam.

Predicted Score: 1-3 AZ Alkmaar[8]


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AZ Alkmaar vs. FC Utrecht Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs FC Utrecht – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 3:45 PM UTC
  • Location: AFAS Stadion

Game Overview

AZ Alkmaar hosts FC Utrecht in a crucial Eredivisie match on October 26, 2025. AZ Alkmaar is in third place with 18 points, while FC Utrecht is eighth with 13 points. Recent performances have been mixed for both teams, making this match pivotal for their campaigns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar has a strong home record and recent form, while FC Utrecht struggles on the road.
  • No recent head-to-head data provided, but generally, AZ Alkmaar is favored due to their home advantage.
  • No specific injury reports are noted that would significantly impact the match odds.
  • Weather or crowd factors are not mentioned as relevant.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with AZ Alkmaar seeking to maintain their position and Utrecht aiming to climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -168 for AZ Alkmaar, +385 for FC Utrecht, +330 for Draw AZ Alkmaar ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -1 at 102 for AZ Alkmaar, +1 at -122 for FC Utrecht AZ Alkmaar -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3 at -102, Under 3 at -118 Over 3 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the match.

Predicted Score: 3-1 in favor of AZ Alkmaar


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Ajax vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Johan Cruijff ArenA

Game Overview

This highly anticipated Eredivisie match between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar features two strong contenders in the league. Ajax, currently third, has been consistent at home, while AZ Alkmaar trails closely behind in fourth place. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams aiming to solidify their league positions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ajax has a strong home record, while AZ Alkmaar has been relatively consistent but faces a tough test away. Recent form for both teams suggests an evenly matched contest.
  • AZ Alkmaar has been unbeaten in some recent matches against Ajax, but the home advantage for Ajax could shift the momentum.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that could impact the outcome.
  • Home field advantage should aid Ajax, with AZ Alkmaar needing to overcome this to secure a win.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a victory to climb the league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ajax: -107, AZ Alkmaar: +250, Draw: +280 Ajax ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Ajax: -0.5 -105, AZ Alkmaar: +50 -115 Ajax -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 69%
Over/under Over: 3 -115, Under: 3 -105 Over 3 ★★★★☆ 82%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ajax 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ajax at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ajax is favored to win, given their strong home record and the motivation to maintain their position in the league.

Predicted Score: Ajax 2, AZ Alkmaar 1


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NEC Nijmegen vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen (7th place, 9 points) hosts AZ Alkmaar (5th place, 11 points) in an Eredivisie clash where both teams seek vital points. NEC has an aggressive style but inconsistent form, while AZ is unbeaten away and defensively solid.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar demonstrates consistent form with 3 wins and 2 draws, unbeaten away, scoring 12 and conceding 7 goals; NEC Nijmegen has scored 19 but conceded 12 with mixed results and a recent home defeat.
  • Last meetings were closely contested, including a thrilling 3-3 draw. Historically tight matchups suggest competitive, attacking games.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI.
  • Match at NEC's home stadium with normal conditions; no reported adverse environmental factors.
  • Both teams motivated to improve standings; AZ aims to maintain unbeaten run, NEC seeks rebound from recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar: +108, NEC Nijmegen: +189, Draw: +295 AZ Alkmaar ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread AZ Alkmaar -0.25: -110, NEC Nijmegen +25: -110 AZ Alkmaar -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25: -108, Under 3.25: -112 Over 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: AZ Alkmaar at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar to win (Moneyline), AZ Alkmaar -0.25 on spread, Over 3.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1 AZ Alkmaar


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AZ Alkmaar vs. FC Zwolle Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs FC Zwolle – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Game Overview

AZ Alkmaar enters this Eredivisie fixture in strong form, placed 4th with 10 points from four matches, showing offensive efficiency and solid home performance. PEC Zwolle is 12th with 6 points, having mixed results including a recent heavy loss away to Ajax. AZ Alkmaar is favored given their superior recent record, stronger squad form, and historic dominance in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar has three wins and a draw in their last four matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 4, while PEC Zwolle has two wins and two losses, scoring 4 but conceding 5, including a 1-3 defeat to Ajax.
  • AZ Alkmaar has won four of the last five encounters against PEC Zwolle, including a recent 2-0 victory.
  • No major injuries reported affecting starting lineups; both teams appear near full strength.
  • Home advantage strongly favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won their only home match of the season so far. PEC Zwolle faces travel and morale challenges after their recent away defeat.
  • AZ Alkmaar aims to consolidate a top-of-table position early in the season, while PEC Zwolle looks to improve standings after inconsistent results, likely prioritizing defensive caution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ_Alkmaar: -312, Draw: +430, FC_Zwolle: +620 AZ Alkmaar ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread AZ_Alkmaar_-1.5: -111, FC_Zwolle_+1.5: -109 AZ Alkmaar -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over_3.25: -106, Under_3.25: -114 Under 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar will win the match outright, covering at least a 1.5 goal margin, with the match likely to have three or fewer goals overall.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 24, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction Vancouver Whitecaps FC Win -159 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
AZ Alkmaar vs. FC Zwolle Prediction AZ Alkmaar Win -312 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
FC Midtjylland vs. SK Sturm Graz Prediction FC Midtjylland Win -142 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +267

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $73.32

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AZ Alkmaar vs. Feyenoord Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 2:45 PM UTC
  • Location: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar, Netherlands

Game Overview

This Eredivisie clash features home side AZ Alkmaar, currently in solid form, hosting league leaders Feyenoord, who come in with five consecutive wins. Expect a tightly contested, competitive match with both teams motivated to secure three points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar has won their last two league games and shown consistent home performance, while Feyenoord leads the table, having won their last five games with strong attacking displays.
  • In the last 40 encounters, Feyenoord leads with 23 wins versus AZ’s 10, and 7 draws. The most recent match ended 1-0 to Feyenoord away. Overall, Feyenoord have scored 74 goals to AZ’s 46 in these meetings.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that will significantly impact starting lineups or tactics.
  • Both teams are playing under normal conditions at AZ's home stadium without weather or external disruptions expected.
  • Feyenoord aims to maintain top position and extend their winning streak, while AZ seeks to leverage home advantage to close the gap on the table leaders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +133 AZ Alkmaar ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread +106 AZ Alkmaar -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under -109 (Over 2.75) Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Heracles Almelo vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Asito Stadion, Almelo, Netherlands

Game Overview

Heracles Almelo, bottom of the Eredivisie with 0 points after 4 losses, hosts AZ Alkmaar, placed 6th with 7 points and a strong positive goal difference. AZ Alkmaar is undefeated this season and shows strong attacking and defensive form. Heracles struggles particularly in defense, conceding 14 goals while scoring only 1.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heracles Almelo has lost all matches so far, with 1 goal scored and 14 conceded, showing severe defensive weaknesses. AZ Alkmaar is in good form with 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, 7 goals scored and only 3 conceded, highlighting effective offense and defense.
  • The last direct meeting was narrowly won 1-0 by Heracles at home, but this seems an outlier given Heracles' current poor form and AZ's superiority this season.
  • No specific injury reports available, implying no major absences affecting either side significantly.
  • The match is played at Heracles' home stadium, but their poor form diminishes the home advantage. Weather and other conditions are presumed normal.
  • Heracles is motivated to end their losing streak and gain first points, but AZ wants to maintain its strong start and improve league standing, likely giving the visitors higher motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar: -204, Heracles Almelo: 475, Draw: 355 AZ Alkmaar ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread AZ Alkmaar -1: -125, Heracles Almelo +1: 105 AZ Alkmaar -1 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread, with the match going over 3 total goals.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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NAC Breda vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 2:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion

Game Overview

This Eredivisie match features home side NAC Breda hosting AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar is the strong favorite based on recent form, league position, and quality across key metrics. NAC Breda has struggled offensively and defensively, while AZ Alkmaar maintains solid away performances and overall team balance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar dominates possession (58.5%), averages 3.0 goals and concedes 1.5 per game, showcasing strong attacking and controlled play. NAC Breda averages 0.7 goals scored and concedes 2.0, showing defensive vulnerabilities and offensive inefficiency.
  • Historically, AZ Alkmaar has had the upper hand in direct meetings with NAC Breda, typically winning or drawing while keeping NAC's scoring low.
  • No major injuries reported for the key players of either team currently affecting this match.
  • Match played at NAC Breda's home ground. No special external conditions or disruptions impacting the game are noted.
  • AZ Alkmaar is motivated to assert their superiority and maintain early season momentum in a challenging away fixture; NAC Breda seeks to improve poor home results but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar: -181, NAC Breda: +413, Draw: +352 AZ Alkmaar ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread AZ Alkmaar -1: -115, NAC Breda +1: -112 AZ Alkmaar -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3: -115, Under 3: -113 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away win on the moneyline; AZ Alkmaar -1 on the spread; under 3 goals total.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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