Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Game Overview
AZ Alkmaar hosts Groningen in an early-season Eredivisie match where AZ is favored based on home strength, recent performances, and squad quality. Groningen looks to overcome a mixed recent record and tougher away challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
- AZ Alkmaar has shown strong home form and consistent attacking output, while Groningen has had inconsistent results recently, with less defensive solidity on the road.
- Historically, AZ Alkmaar dominates head-to-head meetings against Groningen, especially at home, with a high frequency of home wins and multiple goals scored.
- No significant injuries reported for AZ Alkmaar; Groningen has minor fitness concerns but no confirmed absences impacting starting lineup severely.
- Match is held at AZ's home ground with strong fan support; no adverse weather or travel complications expected.
- AZ aims to start the season strongly to build momentum and secure European qualification spots, while Groningen's motivation is moderate but hampered by tougher away fixtures.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AZ_Alkmaar: -197, Groningen: 475, Draw: 335 | AZ Alkmaar | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | AZ_Alkmaar_-1: -118, Groningen_+1: -102 | AZ Alkmaar -1 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over_2.75: -110, Under_2.75: -110 | Over 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AZ Alkmaar 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Home win for AZ Alkmaar with a convincing margin
Predicted Score: 3-1