Rhys McKee vs. Axel Sola Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

this is test

Match Analysis: Rhys McKee vs Axel Sola – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between undefeated UFC newcomer Axel Sola and UFC veteran Rhys McKee, who has struggled in the UFC with a 1-4 record. Sola is favored due to his unbeaten MMA record (10-0-1) and momentum entering the UFC, while McKee shows solid striking volume but poor defense and inconsistent UFC results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sola boasts a perfect MMA record without any losses, suggesting strong form and confidence. McKee has shown striking volume (5.16 significant strikes/min with 44% accuracy) but also absorbs a high number of strikes (7.92/min) with below-average defense (46%), and has only one UFC victory in five bouts.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups exist between McKee and Sola, so historical data is unavailable. This UFC debut gives Sola the mental edge as a fresh, undefeated competitor versus the experienced but struggling McKee.
  • No reported current injuries for either fighter impacting performance or preparation.
  • Fight is in Sola’s UFC debut, a strong motivating factor. The bout takes place in Paris, which is neutral ground for both fighters, limiting home advantage effect.
  • Sola’s motivation is high to make a strong first impression and maintain his unbeaten streak, while McKee is likely motivated to rebound from his UFC struggles but has shown inconsistency recently.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +114, away: -135 away ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home +3.5: -180, away -3.5: +130 away -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over 2.5: -166, under 2.5: +130 under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Axel Sola 39%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Axel Sola at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Axel Sola to win by decision

Predicted Score: Axel Sola wins by decision – UFC standard scoring


0 13