Match Analysis: Austin Vanderford vs Ramiz Brahimaj – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

UFC 320 welterweight clash, with both fighters seeking momentum in the division. Vanderford, 35, is the slim favorite, facing off against Brahimaj, 32, in what promises to be a striking-focused matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vanderford (13-2) is riding a two-fight win streak and holds a better striking output (4.08/min, 63% accuracy vs. Brahimaj’s 2.14/min, 45% accuracy). Vanderford is also more defensively sound (51% strike defense vs. Brahimaj’s 43%) and absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute (2.66 vs. 3.81)[1]. Brahimaj, though, is dangerous on the ground, with a submission-heavy resume, but Vanderford’s wrestling background and better takedown defense make him less likely to be caught.
• No prior matchups. Vanderford holds a superior record and has faced higher-caliber opposition.
• No public reports of injuries pre-fight.
• Fight takes place at altitude in Vegas; both fighters have fought nationally but no obvious edge. No major external distractions reported for either fighter.
• Vanderford is aiming to solidify contender status at 170 lbs, while Brahimaj urgently needs a win to avoid three straight losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vanderford -300 / Brahimaj +250	Vanderford wins	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 1.5 -210 / Under 1.5 +180	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Austin Vanderford 166%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Austin Vanderford at 166% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderford wins by unanimous decision, utilizing superior striking and defensive fundamentals with minimal risk of being finished by Brahimaj.

Predicted Score: Vanderford wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Match Analysis: Austin Vanderford vs Nikolay Veretennikov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

Austin Vanderford, a skilled Bellator Middleweight fighter, faces Nikolay Veretennikov in a highly anticipated MMA match. Vanderford's strong background in wrestling and Brazilian jiu-jitsu could give him an edge, but Veretennikov's recent performances might pose a challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Austin Vanderford has a strong MMA record with 11 wins and 2 losses, showcasing his versatility in knockouts and submissions. His experience in Bellator and grappling competitions could be crucial.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Austin Vanderford and Nikolay Veretennikov, making this a first encounter.
• No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The match's venue and crowd could influence the fighters' performance, but specific details are not provided.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes of the match and the opportunity to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Austin Vanderford: 118, Nikolay Veretennikov: -138	Austin Vanderford	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Not Provided	Austin Vanderford	★★★☆☆ 50%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -105	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Austin Vanderford is expected to win due to his experience and skillset.

Predicted Score: Austin Vanderford wins by decision