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Austin FC vs. Houston Dynamo Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX

Game Overview

Austin FC hosts Houston Dynamo in an MLS regular season matchup. Austin FC has a slightly better season record but marginally negative goal difference, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Houston Dynamo struggles on the road but has shown recent winning form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Austin FC holds a 9-6-8 record and has conceded 26 goals at about 1.13 goals per game, with an effective save percentage of 75.2%. Houston Dynamo has a 7-6-11 record and concedes more goals, with a negative goal difference of -9. Austin has a slightly better point average and home advantage.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor Austin FC slightly due to home advantage; however, matches have been closely contested with many draws and narrow wins.
  • No major injuries reported affecting key starters for either side ahead of the match.
  • Playing at home benefits Austin FC, and no significant weather or scheduling disadvantages reported. Motivation may come from Austin looking to improve playoff positioning.
  • Austin FC is motivated to consolidate mid-table standings and improve home form. Houston Dynamo aims to gain points on the road but has shown inconsistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC 116, Houston Dynamo 234, Draw 236 Austin FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Austin FC -0.5 at 111, Houston Dynamo +50 at -147 Austin FC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 at -106, Under 2.5 at -123 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin FC 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Austin FC at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Austin FC to win on the moneyline, Austin FC to cover the -0.5 spread, match total under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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D.C. United vs. Austin FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: D.C. United vs Austin FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Audi Field, Washington, D.C.

Game Overview

MLS 2025, Week 23. 18th-placed Austin FC (8-6-8, 30 pts) are pushing for a playoff spot in the Western Conference, fresh off a win, and are riding a 100% record against D.C. United, who are in deep last place (4-7-13, 19 pts) and mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. Austin FC’s 75.8% save rate and strong goalkeeping (Brad Stuver) contrast sharply with D.C. United’s leaky defense (63.7% save rate, 1.88 goals conceded/game) and lack of offensive threat (0.79 points/match).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Austin FC is in better form, having just beaten LA Galaxy on the road and showing above-average defensive numbers. D.C. United, mired in a three-game losing streak, has the league’s worst goal difference (-25), a poor expected goals metric, and has conceded the third-most goals in MLS. Austin FC averages 1.15 goals/game, allows 1.41 goals/game, and has a strong +9 goal difference; D.C. United averages a league-low 20 goals for, allows 45, and has just 4 clean sheets in 24 games.
  • Austin FC has a 100% record against D.C. United, having won all previous meetings.
  • No significant injury updates available in the sources provided.
  • Game is at D.C. United’s home ground, but Audi Field has not provided much of an advantage for the struggling hosts.
  • Austin FC is fighting for a playoff spot, while D.C. United is already eliminated and playing with little to no stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC +170, D.C. United +154, Draw +238 AUSTIN FC (AWAY) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Austin FC 50 (-196), D.C. United -0.5 (+145) AUSTIN FC (0.5) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-116), Under 2.5 (-114) UNDER 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 53%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin FC 46%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Austin FC at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Austin FC, despite being on the road, is the clear value play due to superior form, goalkeeping, and motivation. D.C. United lacks the defense and attacking efficiency to slow them down.

Predicted Score: D.C. United 0 – Austin FC 1


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LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: LA Galaxy vs Austin FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: LA Galaxy Home Stadium

Game Overview

This MLS matchup features LA Galaxy hosting Austin FC, two competitive teams with contrasting recent forms and motivation levels. LA Galaxy have a slight edge playing at home with better recent performance while Austin FC is struggling for consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LA Galaxy show stronger recent form, higher probabilities of winning by multiple goal margins and a projected goals average of around 1.56 compared to Austin FC's 1.05. LA Galaxy have a 25.3% chance of winning by 2+ goals, reflecting offensive strength.
  • Historically, LA Galaxy tend to have the upper hand at home versus Austin FC with higher likelihoods of winning by 1-3 goal margins. Austin FC's best winning margin probability is 1 goal at about 15.99%.
  • No significant injury updates reported that drastically affect either squad’s starting lineup or key players, maintaining baseline team strengths.
  • Match played at LA Galaxy's home stadium provides them a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are standard and should not impact the game significantly.
  • LA Galaxy are motivated to capitalize on home advantage to boost their MLS standings. Austin FC will aim to upset but their recent inconsistency reduces confidence in an away win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LA Galaxy 100, Austin FC 255, Draw 280 LA Galaxy β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread LA Galaxy -0.5 @ 100, Austin FC +50 @ -120 LA Galaxy -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75 -102, Under 2.75 -118 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LA Galaxy 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: LA Galaxy at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LA Galaxy to win outright on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderate to high scoring game expected but likely under the 2.75 goals threshold.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Austin FC vs. New England Revolution Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Austin FC vs New England Revolution – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX, USA

Game Overview

Austin FC hosts New England Revolution in a key MLS clash. Austin FC is favored at home with a solid recent form and home advantage, while New England Revolution is an underdog with some injury concerns and slightly lower scoring stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Austin FC has a stronger recent form, scoring consistently and maintaining good defensive shape. New England Revolution has slightly less offensive output and some key players unavailable, reducing their potency.
  • Recent encounters generally favor Austin FC at home with a narrow winning margin. Matches tend to be competitive but with Austin FC having a slight edge in goal differential.
  • New England Revolution has notable absences impacting midfield creativity and attacking options. Austin FC's injury list is light, keeping the squad relatively fresh.
  • Playing at home in Austin provides Austin FC with familiar conditions and strong fan support. Weather and pitch conditions favor the home side further.
  • Austin FC aims to solidify their playoff positioning and capitalize on home advantage. New England is fighting to climb the standings but faces an uphill battle given current squad fitness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC -109, New England Revolution 275, Draw 270 Austin FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Austin FC -0.5 -114, New England Revolution +50 -116 Austin FC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -118, Under 2.5 -112 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin FC 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Austin FC to win moneyline; Austin FC to cover -0.5 spread; Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX

Game Overview

Austin FC hosts Los Angeles FC in a pivotal MLS Western Conference clash at Q2 Stadium. Both teams enter with contrasting recent forms and styles β€” Austin FC showing home strength and efficiency despite less possession, and Los Angeles FC known for strong attacking play but recent defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Austin FC has a mixed recent form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 6 matches, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1.17 per game. They are particularly strong at home, scoring 2 goals and conceding 1 per match on average. Los Angeles FC has scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches but has failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 consecutive games, indicating defensive fragility.
  • Out of 12 recent encounters, Los Angeles FC leads with 7 wins, Austin FC has 3 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The last meeting on March 15, 2025, ended in a 1-0 Austin FC win despite LAFC dominating possession and chances, showcasing Austin's efficiency and resilience.
  • No specific injury data available from current sources; lineups and injury updates expected closer to match time.
  • The match is played at Austin FC's home ground, Q2 Stadium, where they have a strong home record. Weather or other external conditions are not reported as influential currently.
  • This game is crucial for both teams' postseason ambitions. Austin FC aims to capitalize on home advantage and disrupt LAFC's attacking flow. Los Angeles FC seeks to rebound from defensive lapses and assert their attacking pedigree.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC: 185, Los Angeles FC: 145, Draw: 250 Austin FC to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Austin FC: 105, Los Angeles FC: -125 Los Angeles FC with 0 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles FC 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Los Angeles FC at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Austin FC's strong home metrics and demonstrated efficiency against LAFC in their last meeting, combined with LAFC's defensive struggles, a narrow Austin FC victory is the most likely outcome, though a draw is possible given LAFC's attacking threat.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 5, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 5, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Portland Timbers vs. New England Revolution Prediction Portland Timbers 100 76%
Charlotte FC vs. Orlando City SC Prediction Charlotte FC 160 56%
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC Prediction Los Angeles FC 145 23%

Combined Odds: +1174 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $254.8

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Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, USA

Game Overview

Seattle Sounders FC hosts Austin FC in an MLS matchup at Lumen Field. Seattle, currently ranked 6th in the league, seeks to rebound after a recent 3-goal loss, while Austin FC, 7th in standings, aims to capitalize on their recent form and possibly inflict another heavy defeat. Both teams have similar standings, making this a closely contested encounter expected to be decided by fine margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seattle Sounders FC have a recent record of 1-3-3, with 6 points in the season, scoring 25 goals but conceding heavily in certain matches. Austin FC is similarly ranked close behind Seattle and have shown resilience, with top scorers like A. Rusnak contributing 7 goals and 3 assists, while Seattle’s leading scorer B. Vazquez has 5 goals. Seattle’s home form at Lumen Field is a critical advantage.
  • The historical data between Seattle Sounders FC and Austin FC shows closely matched encounters. Recent meetings have seen both teams winning and losing, highlighting a competitive rivalry. Austin inflicted a recent 3-goal loss on Seattle, indicating potential psychological edge going into this game.
  • No specific injury reports are provided in the current data, implying both teams are likely near full strength, which will contribute to a highly competitive match.
  • Playing at home in the iconic Lumen Field, Seattle will benefit from strong home crowd support which can boost team morale and performance. Weather conditions are typical for Seattle in late June, likely mild and favorable for soccer.
  • Seattle Sounders FC will be motivated to avoid back-to-back heavy defeats and secure crucial home points to improve their standing. Austin FC, having recently defeated Seattle comprehensively, will be motivated to replicate that success and solidify their position above Seattle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC: 440, Seattle Sounders FC: -160, Draw: 310 Seattle Sounders FC to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Austin FC: 75 @ +105, Seattle Sounders FC: -0.75 @ -125 Seattle Sounders FC -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Sounders FC -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Seattle's home advantage and motivation to bounce back, alongside Austin's recent strong showing against Seattle, the match is predicted to be closely contested with Seattle narrowly edging a win.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Seattle Sounders FC


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – June 28, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
D.C. United vs. Nashville SC Prediction Nashville SC -0.25 -125 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC Prediction Seattle Sounders FC -0.75 -125 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Toronto FC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction Portland Timbers -0.25 102 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +554

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $130.9

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Austin FC vs. New York Red Bulls Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Austin FC vs New York Red Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Q2 Stadium, Austin, USA

Game Overview

Austin FC hosts New York Red Bulls in a crucial MLS clash. Both teams are ranked 7th in their respective conferences. The Red Bulls are riding a three-game winning streak but have struggled away from home, while Austin FC looks to capitalize on home advantage. This match represents a battle between a team seeking a rare four-game run and another aiming to solidify its playoff credentials[1][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • New York Red Bulls are in strong form with three consecutive wins, yet have historically performed poorly on the road. Austin FC is reliable at home but has had inconsistent results recently. Both teams are equally ranked, setting up a potentially tight contest[1][5].
  • Recent head-to-head matches have been competitive, with mixed results. No clear historical dominance for either team based on available data[5].
  • No major injuries reported for either squad as of the latest previews. Both teams appear to be at near full strength[2][5].
  • The match will be played at Q2 Stadium, a venue known for its intense atmosphere and home support, which may favor Austin FC. Weather is expected to be typical for June in Austin, unlikely to impact play[5].
  • The Red Bulls are highly motivated to extend their streak and prove their away form. Austin FC is eager to climb higher in their conference and push for a playoff spot[1][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC: 115 | Draw: 235 | New York Red Bulls: 245 Austin FC or Draw favored, but value on draw given odds and context 65% Austin FC or Draw, 35% New York Red Bulls
Spread Austin FC: -0.25 (Asian Handicap) -118 | New York Red Bulls: 25 -102 Austin FC to cover (win or push), but risk of push on draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -115 | Under 2.25 -105 Under 2.25 goals likely in a tight, defensive game β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin FC -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

With the Red Bulls on a strong run but historically poor away form, and Austin FC solid at home, this match is likely to be closely contested. The home team has a slight edge due to venue and current form, but a draw or narrow home win is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Austin FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls


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Colorado Rapids vs. Austin FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 8, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, USA

Game Overview

This MLS match between Colorado Rapids and Austin FC is crucial for both teams' playoff hopes. Colorado Rapids, currently sitting at 8th, faces Austin FC, who are at 10th. The match is a part of the ongoing MLS season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Colorado Rapids have shown strong away performances but are at home for this match. Austin FC is coming off a tough loss and is looking to bounce back.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available, but both teams have had challenging schedules.
  • No recent injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the game, but no specific data is available.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colorado Rapids: 112, Austin FC: 230, Draw: 250 Colorado Rapids to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Colorado Rapids: -0.5 107, Austin FC: +50 -141 Colorado Rapids to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -115 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Colorado Rapids 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Colorado Rapids at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current standings and recent performances, Colorado Rapids might have an edge, but Austin FC's determination to climb the table could make it competitive.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Colorado Rapids


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