Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Game Overview
Calgary Stampeders host Winnipeg Blue Bombers in a CFL matchup where both teams have similar records (Calgary 5-3, Winnipeg 4-3). Both starting quarterbacks, Vernon Adams Jr. and Zach Collaros, are expected to play, promising a competitive and quality game. Calgary is favored by about 4.5 points with the total set near 51.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Calgary has been strong this season with a 5-3 record and home advantage. Winnipeg has been solid as well but struggled in a recent road game and is seeking revenge after a previous narrow loss to Calgary.
- Calgary won the recent matchup at McMahon Stadium despite Winnipeg's statistical advantages in first downs and yardage. Winnipeg is historically strong at home with a dominant home record but must adjust playing in Calgary.
- Both teams are expected to have their starting quarterbacks back, improving offensive efficiency. No major injuries reported affecting the key positions.
- Game played in Calgary, favoring the Stampeders. Weather and other external factors have no notable impact expected.
- Winnipeg motivated by revenge after a recent loss and will aim for a bounce-back performance. Calgary wants to maintain momentum at home and redeem their last poor showing against Ottawa.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Calgary -220, Winnipeg +180 | Calgary Stampeders | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Calgary -4.5 (-115), Winnipeg +4.5 (-105) | Calgary Stampeders -4.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 (-105), Under 51.5 (-115) | Over 51.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 51.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Calgary Stampeders to win moneyline and cover the spread; the total score is expected to go over 51.5 points
Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 21