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New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, USA

Game Overview

New York City FC (NYCFC) hosts Columbus Crew SC in an MLS matchup at Citi Field. NYCFC has a slightly better defensive record but lower points per game, while Columbus shows strong recent form and a slightly better goal differential, creating a balanced contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Columbus Crew currently has 44 points with a solid defensive save rate of 60.4% and ranks 6th in MLS, while NYCFC has 38 points with a higher save percentage of 71.8% but lower overall points per game (1.58). Columbus averages 2.06 goals per game versus NYCFC’s 1.50, but NYCFC has a better shutout percentage at 29.2%.
  • Recent head-to-head data and expert predictions lean slightly towards New York City FC with a 39% win probability, but overall results are mixed without clear dominance from either side.
  • No significant injury or suspension news reported for either side affecting key players or lineups for the match.
  • Game played at Citi Field, giving NYCFC home advantage. Both teams have good motivation levels late in the MLS season to secure playoff positions.
  • Columbus Crew, being higher in the table and showing strong recent form with consecutive wins, have a marginal motivation edge; NYCFC also motivated to improve their standings given tight competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Columbus Crew +172, New York City FC +143, Draw +255 Columbus Crew β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Columbus Crew +50 -182, New York City FC -0.5 +136 New York City FC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 -167, Under 2.5 +125 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 46%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Columbus Crew to win on the moneyline, NYCFC to cover the spread, and under 2.5 goals total.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union faces Toronto FC in an MLS Eastern Conference clash with Philadelphia highly favored at home. The Union are in strong form, ranking 4th in expected goals and maintaining a solid defensive record. Toronto FC struggles this season, positioned 25th overall and with poor away performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union boasts a strong season with 50 points from 25 matches, averaging 2.00 points per game, scoring 43 goals and conceding 24. Toronto FC has struggled with only 5 wins, scoring 25 goals and conceding 32, ranking near the bottom of the league.
  • Recent matchups have favored Philadelphia, who have been dominant at home against Toronto. Toronto FC has had difficulty scoring and winning on the road versus the Union.
  • No significant injury information suggests key players are missing on either side; both goalkeepers, Andre Blake and Sean Johnson, are expected to start.
  • Philadelphia plays at home in favorable conditions at Subaru Park. No notable external disruptions have been reported that could affect match dynamics.
  • Philadelphia Union is motivated to maintain their playoff positioning and form against a struggling Toronto side with less at stake, increasing the home side's motivation

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Union: -212, Toronto FC: 530, Draw: 350 Philadelphia Union β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Philadelphia Union (-1.5): 120, Toronto FC (+1.5): -161 Philadelphia Union -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -164, Under 2.5: 122 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline, with the match likely finishing with total goals going over 2.5.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Fortaleza vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil SΓ©rie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: EstΓ‘dio Governador PlΓ‘cido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza faces Botafogo in a BrasileirΓ£o match at Fortaleza's home ground. Botafogo is currently mid-table in 7th, showing stronger form and historical superiority, while Fortaleza struggles near relegation at 18th.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo has won 4 and drawn 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring an average 1.6 goals and conceding 0.6 per game. Fortaleza's recent form is weaker with 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring and conceding roughly 1.2 goals per match each.
  • In their last 10 matches, Botafogo leads with 5 wins to Fortaleza's 2, and 3 draws. Botafogo averages 1.5 goals per H2H game, Fortaleza 0.8. Historically Botafogo has dominated the matchup.
  • No critical injury information is available, indicating near full squads for both sides.
  • Match is played at Fortaleza's home stadium, which could provide moderate home advantage despite their poor league standing.
  • Fortaleza is likely motivated by relegation-threatened status to secure points, while Botafogo aims to consolidate a top-half position and possibly challenge for higher spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: 1.8, Fortaleza: 1.75, Draw: 2.05 Botafogo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Botafogo 0: -110, Fortaleza 0: -110 Fortaleza 0 (Draw No Bet) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.02, Under 2.25: 1.22 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Botafogo at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo moneyline win, Fortaleza +0 spread, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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New England Revolution vs. D.C. United Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs D.C. United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Game Overview

New England Revolution, playing at home, face a mid-to-lower table D.C. United side. New England are slight favorites based on betting odds and home advantage. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, but New England has a stronger offense and better overall standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New England Revolution have had inconsistent recent form but maintain a higher league position, with a stronger attack and defense metrics. D.C. United have struggled with consistency and form, and their away record is weaker.
  • Historically, New England have an advantage in head-to-head matchups, especially at home, with more wins and better goal difference in recent encounters.
  • No major injuries reported for New England Revolution, retaining full strength. D.C. United are missing one midfielder due to injury, slightly weakening their midfield control.
  • Home advantage for New England at Gillette Stadium is significant. Weather is expected to be mild, with no external disruptions or travel fatigue reported.
  • New England are motivated to maintain playoff positioning; D.C. United appear less motivated as they are out of playoff contention and may rotate squad.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New England Revolution: -136, D.C. United: 330, Draw: 295 New England Revolution β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread New England Revolution -0.5: -139, D.C. United +50: 104 New England Revolution -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 goals: -149, Under 2.5 goals: 112 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New England Revolution 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 38%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New England Revolution to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with the match staying under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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CF Montreal vs. Atlanta United FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

CF Montreal hosts Atlanta United in an MLS matchup with both teams struggling for consistency this season. Montreal ranks 25th in MLS with poor defensive stats, while Atlanta also has inconsistent form but a slightly stronger attack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • CF Montreal holds a 4-6-15 record, scoring 23 and conceding 46 goals with a goal differential of -23. Atlanta United is 4-9-11 with 31 points but slightly better recent form and scoring average at 1.38 goals/game. Montreal has a weak defense conceding 1.84 goals per 90 and only 4 clean sheets.
  • Recent matchups between these teams have been competitive but generally low scoring. CF Montreal has shown slight edge at home but Atlanta's away performance against the spread is strong (8-3-0).
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting lineups for either side were found in recent data.
  • The game is played at Montreal's home ground, Stade Saputo, but motivation and team morale appear balanced as both teams aim to improve standings in the league.
  • Montreal, struggling near the bottom of the standings, shows motivation to secure points at home. Atlanta, mid-table, also motivated to avoid losing ground in playoff contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 129, draw: 260, away: 189 CF Montreal β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%
Spread CF Montreal: 123, Atlanta United: -164, spread_line: 50 CF Montreal -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over_2.5: -167, under_2.5: 126 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CF Montreal 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 47%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

CF Montreal moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Stephen Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Stephen Erceg faces Ode Osbourne in a bantamweight UFC fight at UFC Vegas 109. Erceg is favored heavily on the moneyline, with a more precise striking rate and defense. The fight features contrasting styles with Erceg’s orthodox stance and Osbourne’s southpaw approach, both with solid striking records but Erceg showing superior statistical metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Erceg has a 12-4 record, demonstrating consistent performance with 4.45 significant strikes landed per minute at 46% accuracy and 52% strike defense. Osbourne’s 13-8 record includes a respectable 3.20 strikes landed per minute at 40% accuracy but poorer defense at 46%.
  • No direct prior matchups between Erceg and Osbourne, making this a stylistic matchup based on their respective fight metrics and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are in optimal physical condition.
  • Both fighters are competing in the UFC Apex in Las Vegas; no travel or venue disadvantage is evident. Erceg’s younger age (30 vs 33) and recent betting market support suggest higher confidence in his current form.
  • Erceg may have higher motivation to maintain/improve ranking given his favored status and younger career stage. Osbourne, as the underdog, may be motivated to upset but lacks supporting recent momentum indicators.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erceg -600, Osbourne +425 Stephen Erceg β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Not explicitly provided for spread, typical UFC spread -1.5 rounds for Erceg around -150 Stephen Erceg -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 -160, Under 1.5 +130 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stephen Erceg -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 38%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stephen Erceg to win by decision

Predicted Score: Erceg wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Jean Matsumoto vs. Miles Johns Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jean Matsumoto vs Miles Johns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The UFC Featherweight matchup features Jean Matsumoto, a 25-year-old Brazilian fighter with a 16-1 record, fighting orthodox stance and known for high volume striking but weaker defense. He faces Miles Johns, a 31-year-old American with a 15-3 record, also orthodox, who is more precise and defensively sound. Both fighters weigh 135 lbs and have similar height and reach, making it a competitive bout where striking accuracy and defense will be key.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matsumoto boasts a higher output rate of significant strikes at 5.18/min compared to Johns' 3.16/min but with less accuracy (41% vs 44%). Johns excels at defense, allowing only 2.65 significant strikes/min with a 67% defense rate, whereas Matsumoto allows 5.40/min with 45% defense.
  • No previous fight history between them; this is their first encounter, making adaptability during the fight a factor.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight held at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral location with no home advantage; both fighters seem motivated by career progression at this main card event.
  • Matsumoto aims to maintain his near-perfect record and prove striking dominance; Johns wants to leverage his experience and defensive skills to upset the younger fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jean Matsumoto: -298, Miles Johns: 240 Jean Matsumoto β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Jean Matsumoto -3.5: -115, Miles Johns +3.5: -115 Jean Matsumoto -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -298, Under 2.5: 220 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jean Matsumoto -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 92%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean Matsumoto to win by decision, leveraging his striking volume advantage and physical prime despite defensive deficits.

Predicted Score: Jean Matsumoto wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Anthony Hernandez vs. Roman Dolidze Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Anthony Hernandez vs Roman Dolidze – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Anthony Hernandez and Roman Dolidze face off in a UFC middleweight main event, with Hernandez favored after a dominant winning streak, while Dolidze carries solid experience but recent wins of questionable quality.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hernandez is on a 7-fight winning streak with superior recent performances, demonstrating strong endurance, speed, and pressure fighting both standing and on the ground. Dolidze has a 3-fight win streak, but some wins were against injured or less prepared opponents. Hernandez outstrikes Dolidze significantly and absorbs fewer strikes per minute.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Hernandez and Dolidze; stylistically Hernandez’s pressure and high-volume striking could control the bout against Dolidze’s measured striking.
  • No recent reported injuries for either fighter; both appear physically prepared going into the bout.
  • Fight will be held at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no location advantage. Hernandez’s youth and momentum favor him versus the older Dolidze.
  • Hernandez is motivated to maintain an undefeated streak since early career setbacks, seeking to solidify his place as a top middleweight contender. Dolidze aims to prove his ranking merits but may lack the same recent confidence level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hernandez: -345, Dolidze: +275 Anthony Hernandez β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Hernandez -5.5 (-195), Dolidze +5.5 (140) Anthony Hernandez -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 rounds (-130), Under 3.5 rounds (+100) Under 3.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Anthony Hernandez -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Hernandez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Anthony Hernandez wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Christian Rodriguez vs. Andre Fili Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Christian Rodriguez vs Andre Fili – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Christian Rodriguez vs Andre Fili is a featherweight UFC bout featuring a younger, highly accurate striker in Rodriguez against a taller, experienced fighter Fili with a contrasting style and more reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez (12-3) has a higher significant strike accuracy (50%) and defense (54%) compared to Fili's 37% accuracy and 51% defense. Fili lands more strikes per minute (3.84 vs 3.63) but absorbs significantly more (4.15 vs 2.66), indicating Rodriguez is more efficient and durable.
  • No documented previous direct matchup exists between Rodriguez and Fili, making this a stylistic clash rather than familiarity-based contest.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter going into the fight, suggesting both are physically prepared.
  • The fight is at UFC Apex amid a neutral environment favoring no athlete by locationβ€”Rodriguez being younger and possibly hungrier, Fili older but experienced.
  • Rodriguez, at 27, is on the rise with a strong recent form and motivation to climb ranks, while Fili, at 35, may face declining physical attributes despite experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christian Rodriguez: -245, Andre Fili: +200 Christian Rodriguez β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Christian Rodriguez -3.5: 105, Andre Fili +3.5: -140 Christian Rodriguez -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -230, Under 2.5 rounds: 175 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Rodriguez -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 73%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 73% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Rodriguez to win on the moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Christian Rodriguez wins by decision, fight lasting 3 rounds


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Calgary Stampeders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB

Game Overview

Calgary Stampeders host Winnipeg Blue Bombers in a CFL matchup where both teams have similar records (Calgary 5-3, Winnipeg 4-3). Both starting quarterbacks, Vernon Adams Jr. and Zach Collaros, are expected to play, promising a competitive and quality game. Calgary is favored by about 4.5 points with the total set near 51.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Calgary has been strong this season with a 5-3 record and home advantage. Winnipeg has been solid as well but struggled in a recent road game and is seeking revenge after a previous narrow loss to Calgary.
  • Calgary won the recent matchup at McMahon Stadium despite Winnipeg's statistical advantages in first downs and yardage. Winnipeg is historically strong at home with a dominant home record but must adjust playing in Calgary.
  • Both teams are expected to have their starting quarterbacks back, improving offensive efficiency. No major injuries reported affecting the key positions.
  • Game played in Calgary, favoring the Stampeders. Weather and other external factors have no notable impact expected.
  • Winnipeg motivated by revenge after a recent loss and will aim for a bounce-back performance. Calgary wants to maintain momentum at home and redeem their last poor showing against Ottawa.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary -220, Winnipeg +180 Calgary Stampeders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Calgary -4.5 (-115), Winnipeg +4.5 (-105) Calgary Stampeders -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 51.5 (-105), Under 51.5 (-115) Over 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win moneyline and cover the spread; the total score is expected to go over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 21


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