Match Analysis: Kamil Oniszczuk vs David Zawada – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: OKTAGON MMA event (venue not explicitly stated)

Game Overview

This Middleweight division bout between Kamil Oniszczuk and David Zawada is the main card fight at OKTAGON MMA on August 9, 2025. Oniszczuk is known for his striking ability, while Zawada has an edge in grappling and experience in major promotions. The bout has a strong competitive angle with both fighters having solid records and contrasting strengths.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kamil Oniszczuk has demonstrated strong striking skills and recent performances favor him in betting odds. David Zawada is a seasoned fighter with grappling expertise and significant experience in leading MMA promotions, indicating durability and strategy depth.
• There is no confirmed prior head-to-head matchup data available explicitly. Both fighters come from different backgrounds with contrasting fight styles, which makes the bout stylistically intriguing.
• No publicly reported injuries or fitness issues were indicated for either fighter ahead of the match.
• The fight is held under OKTAGON MMA, a well-regarded European promotion with a strong fan base. No obvious external factors such as location bias or environmental concerns have been noted.
• Both fighters have high motivation to prove themselves — Oniszczuk to solidify his standing via striking dominance, and Zawada to leverage experience and grappling to pull off an upset on major promotional ground.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -170, away: 130	Kamil Oniszczuk	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	oniszczuk_spread: -1.5	Oniszczuk to cover the -1.5 rounds/points spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: 1.9, under_2.5_rounds: 1.9	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kamil Oniszczuk 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kamil Oniszczuk at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kamil Oniszczuk to win by decision or technical knockout, leveraging superior striking, but a cautious approach is warranted given Zawada's grappling skills.

Predicted Score: Oniszczuk wins by unanimous decision or TKO within 3 to 4 rounds

Match Analysis: Kerim Engizek vs Mick Stanton – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-08
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: Prague, Czech Republic

Game Overview

The match between Kerim Engizek and Mick Stanton is a high-stakes quarterfinal in the Tipsport Gamechanger tournament at OKTAGON 74, featuring the undefeated German middleweight champion Engizek with a 15-fight winning streak against the English grappling specialist Mick Stanton, a two-time Cage Warriors champion. Engizek is known for his knockout power, while Stanton relies on his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt and ground game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kerim Engizek is undefeated in OKTAGON and has an impressive 15-fight winning streak, displaying strong striking and KO power. Mick Stanton is a seasoned veteran and grappling expert with a black belt in BJJ and two Cage Warriors titles, making him dangerous on the ground.
• No previous direct fights reported between Engizek and Stanton. The fight represents a classic striker vs grappler clash with contrasting styles.
• No current injury reports for either fighter have been found from available data.
• The fight takes place in Prague for the OKTAGON 74 event, with a substantial prize of 1 million euros creating high motivation and pressure. Both fighters’ legacies and financial incentives add intensity to the bout.
• Engizek aims to extend his undefeated streak and claim the tournament prize, while Stanton, known for confidently calling Engizek his easiest opponent, is highly motivated to upset the champion using his grappling skills.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kerim Engizek: -260, Mick Stanton: 175	Kerim Engizek to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Kerim Engizek -1.5 rounds (-130), Mick Stanton +1.5 rounds (+110)	Kerim Engizek -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kerim Engizek -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kerim Engizek at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction leans slightly toward Kerim Engizek to win by knockout or technical knockout due to his undefeated record and striking dominance. However, Mick Stanton’s grappling and submission skills present a significant threat, making a submission victory a plausible alternate outcome.

Predicted Score: Kerim Engizek wins by KO/TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-08
• Time: 8:00 AM UTC
• Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle, Australia

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights will host the Penrith Panthers, the reigning four-time defending NRL champions, in Round 23 of the 2025 season. The Panthers enter as strong favorites due to their dominance in recent years and superior form, while Newcastle aims to leverage their home advantage at McDonald Jones Stadium.

Key Factors to Consider

• Penrith Panthers have maintained a high winning percentage against Newcastle, with the Panthers winning approximately 63% of recent clashes, including a 25-6 win in April 2025. Newcastle Knights have upset them occasionally, but their recent form shows fewer wins against the Panthers. The Panthers have displayed strong defense and consistent scoring, while Newcastle has struggled to keep pace offensively.
• In the last 30 encounters, Penrith Panthers have won 19 times (63%), Newcastle Knights 10 times (33%), and there has been 1 draw (3%). Recent matches favor the Panthers, who have won key games in 2025 with solid margins.
• No explicit recent injury updates are available in the search results. Absence or presence of key players should be monitored closer to match day for detailed injury impact analysis.
• The match is played at Newcastle’s home ground, McDonald Jones Stadium, which could provide a slight edge in crowd support. Weather conditions and pitch quality data were not found in the current search.
• Penrith Panthers aim to continue their championship dominance, potentially qualifying early for playoffs with a win. Newcastle Knights will be motivated to prove their competitiveness against a top-tier opponent in front of their home fans.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Newcastle Knights: 3.05, Penrith Panthers: 1.25, Draw: 24	Penrith Panthers win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Newcastle Knights +12.5: -120, Penrith Panthers -12.5: -110	Penrith Panthers to cover -12.5 points	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115	Over 44.5 total points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Penrith Panthers -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 44.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers win by a significant margin, given their recent superior form, championship experience, and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – Newcastle Knights 14