Match Analysis: Krzysztof Jotko vs Marek Mazuch – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: Oktagon 74, Prague

Game Overview

The middleweight bout at Oktagon 74 features veteran Krzysztof Jotko against rising contender Marek Mazuch. Jotko’s extensive UFC experience and durable record contrast with Mazuch’s younger but less tested profile in top-tier competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jotko holds a solid 26-6 record with consistent performances against high-level opponents, recently maintaining good form; Mazuch stands at 9-3 with promising but less frequent high-profile fights.
• No prior matchup exists between these two fighters, making this an initial tactical encounter without psychological edge.
• No reported injuries for either fighter, both expected to enter the bout fully healthy.
• Fight taking place in Oktagon MMA’s home environment with Jotko as the slight favorite; local support and travel impact minimal.
• Jotko motivated to prove veteran dominance and potentially return to bigger promotions; Mazuch eager to make a statement and climb the ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jotko -600, Mazuch +350	Krzysztof Jotko	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Jotko -1.5	Jotko -1.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Krzysztof Jotko -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Krzysztof Jotko at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Krzysztof Jotko win

Predicted Score: Jotko wins by 2nd round TKO

Match Analysis: Kamil Oniszczuk vs David Zawada – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: OKTAGON MMA Event

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Kamil Oniszczuk and David Zawada at OKTAGON 74, featuring two experienced fighters with notable striking power and experience across multiple promotions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kamil Oniszczuk has shown steady form across ACA, Bellator, and Babylon MMA with strong all-around skills; David Zawada has 12 knockouts in 19 wins including 6 early finishes, indicating high finishing capability.
• This will be their first career matchup with no prior fights against each other.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Both fighters are competing in their prime without significant external distractions; event held in a neutral venue for both.
• Both fighters enter motivated to prove themselves in OKTAGON MMA; Oniszczuk aiming to solidify his status, Zawada leveraging UFC experience for a breakthrough.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kamil Oniszczuk: -170, David Zawada: +130	Kamil Oniszczuk	★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread	Not specifically available; implied spread -1.5 for Oniszczuk	Kamil Oniszczuk to win by at least 2 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Standard 1.5 rounds total	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kamil Oniszczuk -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kamil Oniszczuk at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kamil Oniszczuk to win on Moneyline

Predicted Score: Kamil Oniszczuk wins by decision or late stoppage after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Kerim Engizek vs Mick Stanton – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-08
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: Oktagon 74, Europe (Exact venue unspecified)

Game Overview

Middleweight bout featuring Kerim Engizek and Mick Stanton on August 8, 2025, in Oktagon 74. Engizek enters as the moneyline favorite with odds around -260, reflecting his aggressive striking and experience, while Stanton offers a strong grappling and endurance game as the underdog at +175.

Key Factors to Consider

• Engizek has shown consistent aggressive striking and recent solid form, outweighing Stanton's grappling-oriented style and slightly less recent momentum.
• No prior head-to-head matchups found indicating no direct past encounter to influence the psychological or tactical approach.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are likely at full fitness.
• The fight is scheduled in Europe under the Oktagon promotion where Engizek has previously fought with strong fan support; no significant travel or acclimatization disadvantage noted.
• Engizek appears motivated to maintain his favorite status and climb rankings, while Stanton aims to upset the favorite and prove his standing, adding incentive but favoring the more experienced Engizek.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kerim Engizek -260, Mick Stanton +175	Kerim Engizek	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Not explicitly provided, typical middleweight spread approx. Engizek -1.5 rounds	Kerim Engizek -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	No precise line available; estimate approx. 2.5 rounds total	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kerim Engizek -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kerim Engizek at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kerim Engizek to win by Moneyline

Predicted Score: Kerim Engizek wins by decision or late stoppage before round 3

Match Analysis: Mark De La Rosa vs Dominik Humburger – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-08
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: Undisclosed MMA venue

Game Overview

Middleweight MMA bout between Mark De La Rosa and Dominik Humburger with De La Rosa favored by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mark De La Rosa has the edge in recent form with a solid record and consistent fighting style, whereas Dominik Humburger is an aggressive fighter with a strong regional championship background but less exposure at the highest level.
• No prior head-to-head meetings between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Both fighters appear motivated with no known external distractions; fight is part of a major MMA promotion and scheduled in a neutral environment.
• Mark De La Rosa likely motivated to maintain UFC-level reputation; Dominik Humburger driven by opportunity to establish himself on bigger stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mark De La Rosa: -320, Dominik Humburger: +210	Mark De La Rosa	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Not provided explicitly; estimate -1.5 rounds spread for De La Rosa	Mark De La Rosa -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	No explicit odds provided; estimated total rounds set at 2.5	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mark De La Rosa -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mark De La Rosa at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark De La Rosa to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Mark De La Rosa wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-08
• Time: 8:00 AM UTC
• Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights host the Penrith Panthers in a Round 23 NRL match. Panthers enter as strong favourites based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and superior squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

• Penrith Panthers display strong recent form with consistent wins, superior fitness, and tactical execution. Newcastle Knights have been competitive but generally fall short against top-tier teams like the Panthers.
• Historical data and simulations give Panthers around 80% chance to beat the Knights, usually by a moderate margin. Panthers have held dominance in recent matchups, especially at Newcastle's home ground.
• No critical injury updates indicate significant absences impacting either side, suggesting both squads likely near full strength.
• Match played at McDonald Jones Stadium favors Knights slightly due to home advantage, but Panthers’ mental and tactical edge likely neutralizes this factor.
• Panthers motivated to maintain top-tier momentum heading into finals, while Knights aim to challenge but face a tough test against a dominant side.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Newcastle Knights: 305, Penrith Panthers: -400, Draw: 2400	Penrith Panthers	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Newcastle Knights +12.5: -120, Penrith Panthers -12.5: -110	Newcastle Knights +12.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115	Under 44.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Penrith Panthers 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 44.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win by a margin within 1-12 points, in a controlled, tactical match likely scoring below or near total set line.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 24 – Newcastle Knights 18