Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-08
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal
Game Overview
The Montreal Alouettes (5-2) host the Edmonton Elks (1-6) on August 8, 2025. Montreal has a strong winning record this season and will play at home, while Edmonton struggles with just one win so far. The game is expected to be competitive but favors the Alouettes given recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Montreal Alouettes demonstrate solid form with a 5-2 record, showing effective offense and defense. Edmonton Elks have struggled with a 1-6 record, facing challenges in both scoring and defense, leading the West division's lowest standings.
- Recent encounters favor Montreal, especially at home. Edmonton has been unable to secure many victories against the Alouettes in recent matchups, indicating a historical edge for Montreal.
- No critical injury reports were found that would significantly impact either team's key starters for this match, suggesting both teams will deploy near full strength rosters.
- Home advantage strongly benefits Montreal, with expected fan support and familiar conditions at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium. Weather and other factors for August 8 are not indicated as adverse or impactful.
- Montreal aims to consolidate playoff positioning with their 5-2 record, while Edmonton is motivated to avoid a further slide with only one win, seeking to upset on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Edmonton Elks: 164, Montreal Alouettes: -200 | Montreal Alouettes to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Edmonton Elks: +4.5 -115, Montreal Alouettes: -4.5 -105 | Montreal Alouettes to cover -4.5 spread | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 51.5 -110, Under: 51.5 -110 | Over 51.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montreal Alouettes -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Montreal Alouettes are favored to win due to superior season performance, home field advantage, and historical head-to-head dominance.
Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 30 – 21 Edmonton Elks