Match Analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: MHP Arena, Stuttgart, Germany
Game Overview
This Bundesliga match features VfB Stuttgart hosting Borussia Monchengladbach. Stuttgart is coming off an opening day loss and sits near the bottom of the table, eager to secure a first win at home. Gladbach earned a draw in their opener and aims to continue their unbeaten start.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stuttgart has shown vulnerability early this season but has strong historical home form versus Gladbach and demonstrated offensive potential. Gladbach has been inconsistent but secured a draw in their opening match, showing resilience.
- Historically, Stuttgart has a slight upper hand with 19 wins out of the past 46 meetings. Gladbach won the most recent league meeting 2-1 but has not claimed consecutive wins against Stuttgart in the Bundesliga since 2017.
- No major injury reports for either team currently affecting starting lineups significantly.
- Home advantage for Stuttgart at MHP Arena is notable; no adverse weather or other disruptive external factors reported.
- Stuttgart is highly motivated to bounce back after opening day defeat and improve league standing. Gladbach seeks their first win to build momentum early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Borussia Monchengladbach: +375, VfB Stuttgart: -162, Draw: +345 | VfB Stuttgart | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Borussia Monchengladbach +1: -118, VfB Stuttgart -1: -102 | VfB Stuttgart -1 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105 | Over 3.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | VfB Stuttgart 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
VfB Stuttgart to win (Moneyline), spread -1 (Stuttgart), over 3.25 goals
Predicted Score: 3-2