Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Rodolfo Vieira, a highly skilled Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist and 35-year-old orthodox fighter, faces Tresean Gore, a younger 31-year-old switch fighter known for his striking, in a middleweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 108.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vieira holds a superior career record (10-3) compared to Gore (6-3) and demonstrates higher striking accuracy (55% vs 46%) and better defensive metrics, allowing fewer significant strikes per minute (4.40 vs 8.16). Gore shows durability but less effective defense.
• No previous head-to-head matchup between Vieira and Gore, making this their first encounter.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both athletes should be at full health.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for Vieira with possibly minimal travel disruption; Gore may have less experience fighting at this location but no clear disadvantage.
• Vieira, at 35, aims to reinforce his UFC standing and capitalize on his grappling dominance before potential age regression, whereas Gore, younger and termed 'Mr. Vicious,' seeks to build momentum ascending the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rodolfo_Vieira: -198, Tresean_Gore: 164	Rodolfo Vieira	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Rodolfo_Vieira_-3.5: -140, Tresean_Gore_+3.5: 100	Rodolfo Vieira -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_1.5: -145, under_1.5: 114	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rodolfo Vieira -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Vieira to win via submission or decision

Predicted Score: Vieira wins by submission or decision after 2-3 rounds

Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Danny Silva – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Kevin Vallejos, a 23-year-old featherweight with a 15-1 record, faces Danny Silva, a 28-year-old with a 10-1 record. Vallejos is favored with odds around -425 to -440, while Silva is the underdog at +330. Vallejos is shorter (5'7") but slightly younger, with a good defensive rate, while Silva is taller (5'11") and lands more significant strikes per minute but absorbs more as well.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vallejos has a higher win count and demonstrated a better defensive fight style, absorbing fewer strikes per minute (5.70 vs 7.96). Silva lands more strikes per minute (7.36) but is less defensively sound. Vallejos' recent form shows strong consistency and a higher finishing rate.
• No known prior matchups between the two fighters, making direct H2H data unavailable.
• No reported injuries to either fighter going into the bout, both appear fully prepared.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a standard environment with no altitude or extreme conditions favoring either fighter.
• Vallejos enters as a young rising contender aiming to cement his status, likely increasing motivation. Silva, with a slightly older age and fewer fights, is motivated to upset the favorite but may face pressure against the favored Vallejos.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos -425, Danny Silva +330	Kevin Vallejos	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Kevin Vallejos -3.5 (-225), Danny Silva +3.5 (165)	Kevin Vallejos -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-110), Under 2.5 (-120)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Vallejos to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins by unanimous decision

Match Analysis: Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Rafael Estevam (13-0) is an undefeated up-and-coming fighter with a strong striking defence and efficient significant strike accuracy, facing veteran Felipe Bunes (14-7) who has more striking volume but less defensive prowess. Estevam's youth, defensive skills, and technical precision make him a strong favorite, while Bunes' experience and aggression represent a threat.

Key Factors to Consider

• Estevam maintains an undefeated record (13-0) showing consistent dominance with a 57% striking accuracy and solid defense, absorbing only 2.94 significant strikes per minute. Bunes, with a 14-7 record, delivers high output at 4.49 significant strikes per minute but absorbs 7.86 strikes, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.
• No previous head-to-head matchups between Rafael Estevam and Felipe Bunes have occurred, making this a fresh competitive encounter.
• No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter as of the fight date, suggesting both competitors are at full capacity.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, an environment where Estevam has performed comfortably in past bouts. No adverse travel or acclimation factors noted.
• Estevam aims to preserve his undefeated record and solidify his rising contender status, providing high motivation. Bunes seeks to revitalize his career with a win against a top prospect, bringing strong motivation despite being the underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -550, away: 410	Rafael Estevam	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	home: -195, away: 140, line: 3.5	Rafael Estevam -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over: -154, under: 120, line: 2.5	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rafael Estevam -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 28%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Estevam to win decisively on the moneyline, covering the -3.5 spread, with a fight likely finishing under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Estevam wins by TKO late in Round 2