Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia
Game Overview
Melbourne Storm hosts Sydney Roosters in a pivotal NRL matchup at their home ground. Both teams have a competitive history, but Storm hold a notable home advantage and recent form edge.
Key Factors to Consider
Melbourne Storm have won 33 of 52 meetings against Sydney Roosters historically, showing dominance. Recently, Storm defeated Roosters 34-30 in July 2025, indicating good form. Both teams have been scoring near the predicted total points range.
Storm lead overall H2H with 33 wins to Roosters' 19. Recent clashes are closely contested but favor Melbourne at home.
No significant injury reports for either side that would impact starting key players, maintaining a balanced competition.
Melbourne home field advantage is significant with a large supportive crowd expected. Weather conditions forecast are neutral, unlikely to affect gameplay.
Melbourne Storm is motivated to consolidate top ladder position; Roosters aiming to break into finals contention, adding competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Melbourne Storm: -152, Sydney Roosters: 132, Draw: 2000
Melbourne Storm moneyline
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Melbourne Storm -2.5: -115, Sydney Roosters +2.5: -115
Melbourne Storm -2.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115
Over 44.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Melbourne Storm -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 44.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Melbourne Storm moneyline, Melbourne covering the spread, and total points going over 44.5 for best expected value based on current odds and matchup dynamics.
Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Sydney Roosters 20
The New Zealand Warriors face the Parramatta Eels in NRL Round 26 at Go Media Stadium, with the Warriors favored to continue their superior season form against a struggling Eels side.
Key Factors to Consider
New Zealand Warriors hold a strong season record of 10-5, with recent form showing some inconsistency (LWWLL), while Parramatta Eels have had a challenging season at 5-10 and uneven recent results (WLLWL). Warriors have a 67% win rate overall compared to the Eels' 33%.
Historically, Parramatta leads the H2H with 7 wins to Warriors' 3 in their last 10 encounters, but the current season momentum strongly favors the Warriors, and recent simulations give Warriors a 62% chance to win this match.
No significant injury updates reported for either team impacting key players for this fixture.
Playing at home in Go Media Stadium provides a home-ground advantage to the Warriors, including crowd support and familiarity with conditions.
The Warriors are motivated to solidify a top-four finish while the Eels look to avoid missing the playoffs, increasing pressure on Parramatta. Warriors have more confidence from recent positive results.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -164, away: 142, draw: 2100
Home
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
home: -110, away: -120
Home -4.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
over: -110, under: -120
Over 44.5
★★★☆☆ 66%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New Zealand Warriors 1264%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 44.5 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1264% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The New Zealand Warriors to win straight up, cover the -4.5 spread, with the total points going Over 44.5.
San Diego State Aztecs open their 2025 season as heavy favorites hosting the Stony Brook Seawolves. San Diego State is projected as a much stronger team on both sides of the ball, with expectations of a dominant performance at home in a likely high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
San Diego State enters with an improved offense compared to previous years and a strong recent form in covering spreads. Stony Brook lacks comparable defensive strength and is expected to struggle stopping the Aztecs' rushing attack.
No recent direct matchups available, but historical performance and program strength heavily favors San Diego State.
No major reported injuries to key players affecting either team at this time.
Game is at San Diego State's home stadium, Snapdragon Stadium, with outdoor conditions favorable for offense. No adverse weather or travel issues noted.
Season opener for both; San Diego State motivated to start strong against an overmatched opponent. Stony Brook faces a tough road challenge which may impact morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego State Aztecs: -1050, Stony Brook Seawolves: +660
San Diego State Aztecs
★★★★★ 92%
Spread
San Diego State Aztecs: -18.5 -110, Stony Brook Seawolves: +18.5 -110
San Diego State Aztecs -18.5
★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under
Over: 53.5 -110, Under: 53.5 -110
Over 53.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego State Aztecs -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 53.5 24%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego State Aztecs to win straight up, cover the -18.5 spread, and the game to go over 53.5 total points.
Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 42 – Stony Brook Seawolves 17
Wisconsin Badgers host Miami (OH) RedHawks in the season opener. Wisconsin is a heavy favorite with a 17.5-point spread, yet Miami (OH) comes off a strong recent history including a 9-5 record last season and a MAC championship appearance. Total points are set at a relatively low 39.5, indicating expectations of a defensive, lower-scoring affair.
Key Factors to Consider
Wisconsin finished 5-7 last season with below-average scoring (22.6 PPG) and decent defense (23.1 PPG allowed). Miami (OH) completed a 9-5 campaign and won the Arizona Bowl, scoring 24.1 PPG and allowing only 18.8 PPG, showing a stronger defense and slight offensive edge.
Recent head-to-head data is limited, but given Miami (OH)'s strong MAC performance against comparable competition and Wisconsin's struggles, Miami has a credible chance to perform competitively against a stronger conference opponent.
No specific injury data reported for either team at this time.
The game is at Wisconsin's home field, Camp Randall Stadium, a significant advantage. Wisconsin's large favorite status is reflected in heavy moneyline and spread odds.
As season openers, both teams aim to set a positive tone. Miami (OH) seeks to prove itself against Big Ten opposition, while Wisconsin aims to recover from a lackluster previous year.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -900, away: +600
Wisconsin Badgers
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
home: -108, away: -112, line: 17.5
Miami (OH) +17.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
over: -112, under: -108, total: 39.5
Under 39.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Wisconsin Badgers 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 39.5 35%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 39.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Wisconsin Badgers moneyline for a secure win; expect the game to stay under 39.5 total points; however, due to the large spread and Miami's solid defense, avoid the spread bet.
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri (Neutral Site)
Game Overview
Nebraska Cornhuskers open their 2025 season against the Cincinnati Bearcats in a neutral-site game at Arrowhead Stadium. Nebraska is favored due to offseason momentum, an anticipated breakout sophomore QB, and stronger defensive depth, while Cincinnati aims to show progress after a disappointing prior season.
Key Factors to Consider
Nebraska enters with a 7-6 record and a bowl win last season, showing upward trajectory with new talent and a strong offensive line; Cincinnati struggled last year with a 4-8 record and five straight losses to finish the season, but has upgraded offensive talent and seeks improvement.
No recent direct matchups available for 2025; historical contests favor Nebraska for their Big Ten pedigree and recent program stability, but Cincinnati's rise in past years suggests a competitive game.
Nebraska lost key defensive linemen Ty Robinson and Nash Hutmacher, potentially weakening run defense; Cincinnati's injury status unclear but expected to be mostly healthy with improved offensive line consistency.
Neutral site at NFL-caliber Arrowhead Stadium, which levels home-field advantage; national broadcast on ESPN increases stakes and motivation; favorable weather expected.
Nebraska aims to solidify its comeback under coach Matt Rhule building on bowl success and enter playoff contention; Cincinnati faces pressure under coach Scott Satterfield to prove Big 12 competitiveness, making this a crucial early test.
Season opener featuring favored UAB Blazers hosting Alabama State Hornets. UAB enters with a strong offense expectation and home-field advantage, while Alabama State is a heavy underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams 0-0 as season opener. UAB had a stronger offensive output last season, scoring about 3.5 points more per game. Defensive metrics also favor UAB. Alabama State's recent form is less robust with less impactful offensive stats.
Limited recent matchups or H2H data available. Historical advantage likely to UAB given higher conference stature and recent form.
No significant injury reports available for either team at kickoff.
Game played at Protective Stadium in Birmingham, UAB's home, a location favorable for them with minimal travel fatigue. Weather conditions not expected to impact heavily.
Season opener at home gives UAB strong motivation to assert dominance early. Alabama State seeks upset but faces tough odds.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
UAB Blazers: -1000, Alabama State Hornets: 640
UAB Blazers
★★★★★ 91%
Spread
UAB Blazers: -110, Alabama State Hornets: -110
UAB Blazers -17.5
★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under
Over 53.5: -110, Under 53.5: -110
Under 53.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
UAB Blazers -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 53.5 34%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UAB Blazers to cover the -17.5 spread and win comfortably. Expect game total to be under 53.5 points reflecting a solid UAB defense limiting Alabama State scoring.
Predicted Score: UAB Blazers 31 – 13 Alabama State Hornets
Location: Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Game Overview
The Minnesota Golden Gophers enter as heavy favorites over the Buffalo Bulls with a 17.5-point spread, reflecting their stronger defense and home advantage. The total points line is set at 44.5, suggesting a moderately scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
Minnesota scored 26.2 PPG (79th nationally) and allowed 16.9 PPG (9th nationally) last season, finishing 8-5 and winning the Duke's Mayo Bowl. Buffalo scored 28.8 PPG (59th) and allowed 26.4 PPG (80th), finishing 9-4 and winning the Bahamas Bowl.
Recent matchups favor Minnesota defensively, with no major upset trends noted. Buffalo enters a significant underdog position historically in matchups with Minnesota.
No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect the matchup.
Game is at Minnesota's home stadium, providing a strong home-field advantage. Weather forecast and other external factors appear neutral with no expected impact.
Both teams begin the season 0-0 with Buffalo motivated to prove themselves as underdogs; Minnesota aims to start strongly at home to validate their favored status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Buffalo Bulls: +625, Minnesota Golden Gophers: -950
Minnesota Golden Gophers
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Buffalo Bulls: +17.5 -110, Minnesota Golden Gophers: -17.5 -110
Minnesota Golden Gophers -17.5
★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under
Over 44.5: -110, Under 44.5: -110
Under 44.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Minnesota Golden Gophers -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 44.5 24%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota will win convincingly, covering the 17.5-point spread and keeping the total under 44.5 points.
Predicted Score: Minnesota Golden Gophers 28 – Buffalo Bulls 10
Opening game of the 2025 season featuring the Houston Cougars hosting the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks. The Cougars are heavy favorites but have struggled recently as a Big 12 newcomer, while Stephen F. Austin is a strong FCS team with returning talent.
Key Factors to Consider
Houston finished last season with four wins and showed upset potential but are underdogs in their conference overall. Stephen F. Austin had a 7-5 record in 2024, with a potent offense led by QB Sam Vidlak and a solid returning defense.
No recent documented direct matchups available, but given the division gap (FBS vs FCS) Houston is typically expected dominant historically.
No major injuries reported for either team entering this matchup.
Game at Houston’s home stadium with warm weather (87°F), negligible rain and light wind, likely favoring the home side. Public money heavily favoring Houston.
Houston eager to start season strong in year two of Big 12 transition, seeking to prove competitiveness; Stephen F. Austin motivated to show FCS strength against FBS opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -2100, away: +1000
Houston Cougars
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
home: -110, away: -110
Houston Cougars -22.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
over: -105, under: -115
Under 55.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Houston Cougars -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 55.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Houston Cougars to cover the -22.5 point spread with total points under 55.5
Predicted Score: Houston 38 – Stephen F. Austin 14