Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Stony Brook Seawolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-29
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Game Overview
San Diego State Aztecs open their 2025 season as heavy favorites hosting the Stony Brook Seawolves. San Diego State is projected as a much stronger team on both sides of the ball, with expectations of a dominant performance at home in a likely high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego State enters with an improved offense compared to previous years and a strong recent form in covering spreads. Stony Brook lacks comparable defensive strength and is expected to struggle stopping the Aztecs' rushing attack.
- No recent direct matchups available, but historical performance and program strength heavily favors San Diego State.
- No major reported injuries to key players affecting either team at this time.
- Game is at San Diego State's home stadium, Snapdragon Stadium, with outdoor conditions favorable for offense. No adverse weather or travel issues noted.
- Season opener for both; San Diego State motivated to start strong against an overmatched opponent. Stony Brook faces a tough road challenge which may impact morale.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego State Aztecs: -1050, Stony Brook Seawolves: +660 | San Diego State Aztecs | β β β β β 92% |
Spread | San Diego State Aztecs: -18.5 -110, Stony Brook Seawolves: +18.5 -110 | San Diego State Aztecs -18.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | Over: 53.5 -110, Under: 53.5 -110 | Over 53.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego State Aztecs -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 53.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego State Aztecs to win straight up, cover the -18.5 spread, and the game to go over 53.5 total points.
Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 42 – Stony Brook Seawolves 17