Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Orlando City SC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-24
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Geodis Park, Nashville, USA

Game Overview

Nashville SC and Orlando City SC face off in an MLS matchup at Geodis Park with both teams closely ranked—Nashville 3rd and Orlando City 4th. Nashville has been strong defensively with 31 goals conceded and 9 clean sheets, while Orlando has a decent defensive record but slightly weaker goalkeeping save percentage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nashville SC holds a 14-5-8 record averaging 1.74 points per game with a +13 goal differential (44 scored, 31 conceded). Orlando City SC stands at 13-8-6, conceding more goals and with a slightly inferior save percentage (69.0% vs Nashville's 69.3%).
• Recent head-to-head meetings suggest a competitive matchup with Nashville holding a slight edge at home. Both teams have shown balanced play in their encounters this season.
• No specific injury reports available, suggesting both teams likely field near full strength squads including starting goalies Joe Willis (Nashville) and Pedro Gallese (Orlando).
• Home advantage favors Nashville SC playing at Geodis Park. Current form shows some inconsistencies with Nashville having recent losses on the road but strong at home, while Orlando’s away form is moderate.
• Nashville SC is pushing to consolidate their high rank with important MLS playoff implications, motivating a strong home performance. Orlando City SC aims to keep pace with Nashville for top table positioning, adding to their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nashville SC: -110, Orlando City SC: 260, Draw: 285	Nashville SC	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Nashville SC -0.5: -114, Orlando City SC +50: -116	Nashville SC -0.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -152, Under 2.5: 114	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nashville SC 11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nashville SC to win on the moneyline, with the match finishing under 2.5 goals and Nashville covering the -0.5 spread

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-24
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Ceará in a Brasileirão Betano match where Grêmio currently ranks 15th and Ceará 10th. Recent encounters and their current standings show Ceará with a slight edge in form and points, but Grêmio plays at home, which is a strong factor.

Key Factors to Consider

• Grêmio has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches but a poor defense conceding 25 goals. Ceará has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 19 and conceding 19, indicating better balance and recent results.
• Historical H2H is balanced with 6 wins each and 2 draws in 14 encounters, though Ceará won their last meeting 2-0. At home, Grêmio tends to perform better but has struggled defensively against Ceará.
• There is no publicized major injury impacting either side significantly that would alter the core line-ups.
• Playing at Arena do Grêmio provides a home advantage for Grêmio. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral and not favoring any side.
• Both teams are mid-table with Ceará slightly better positioned, possibly giving Ceará more motivation to maintain or improve league standing; Grêmio aims to leverage home advantage to gather crucial points.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Grêmio: 101, Draw: 212, Ceará: 305	Grêmio	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Grêmio -0.5: 102, Ceará +50: -122	Grêmio -0.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102	Under 2 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Grêmio 25%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Grêmio win; Spread: Grêmio -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Lucas Bahdi vs Roger Gutierrez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-24
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Caribe Royale Orlando, Orlando

Game Overview

Lucas Bahdi, an undefeated 31-year-old rising lightweight star with 19-0 record and strong knockout power, faces Roger Gutierrez, a more experienced but less consistent opponent at 29-6-1 with solid resilience. Bahdi’s agility, speed, and higher recent ranking versus Gutierrez’s experience and reach advantage set the stage for a tactical contest over 10 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahdi shows dominant form with 19 straight wins, 15 by knockout, and top 10 rankings across major boxing bodies. Gutierrez has mixed results with 6 losses but holds a solid knockout rate and stamina.
• No direct prior matchups between Bahdi and Gutierrez available; analysis relies on their contrasting profiles and styles.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• The fight is held in Orlando, potentially neutral ground; no notable external disruptions or conditions are expected.
• Bahdi is motivated to maintain his undefeated status and climb rankings; Gutierrez aims to re-establish himself against a top contender, adding competitive drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -600, away: +400	Lucas Bahdi	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Bahdi -2.5 rounds: -125, Gutierrez +2.5 rounds: +105	Bahdi -2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over 8.5 rounds: -110, under 8.5 rounds: -110	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lucas Bahdi -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lucas Bahdi at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lucas Bahdi to win by decision

Predicted Score: Lucas Bahdi wins by unanimous decision, 97-93