Taiyilake Nueraji is favored strongly due to superior agility and striking speed, while Kiefer Crosbie brings resilience and a strong ground game. Nueraji likely aims to keep the fight standing, whereas Crosbie's best chance lies in takedowns and ground control.
Key Factors to Consider
Nueraji has shown consistent form with improvements in striking and footwork, recently opening as -330 and moving towards -440, signaling confidence from sharp money. Crosbie remains a +340 underdog, indicating lower recent performance metrics.
No recorded head-to-head fights; this is their first matchup, so style clash analysis is key.
No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear healthy coming into the bout.
Fight takes place in a neutral UFC venue with no apparent external distractions or altitude concerns. Both fighters motivated by career progression.
Nueraji benefits from a desire to confirm status as a top contender with speed and striking fundamentals shining. Crosbie motivated to prove ground game efficacy against a high-level striker.
Location: Fortitude Music Hall, Fortitude Valley, Australia
Game Overview
The lightweight boxing match between Jake Wyllie and Youssef Dib features Wyllie as a heavy favorite due to his aggressive style and knockout power, while Dib brings an undefeated record and strong defensive skills. The fight is set for 10 rounds at a 135-pound limit.
Key Factors to Consider
Wyllie has demonstrated strong recent form and knockout capability, which likely pressured bookmakers to value him as a strong favorite. Dib remains undefeated with solid technical skill and defense, making him a resilient opponent.
No previous head-to-head matches recorded, so direct matchup data is unavailable.
No public reports of injuries affecting either fighter, indicating both are likely entering in peak condition.
The bout taking place in Australia might provide a slight home advantage for Wyllie, including crowd support and familiarity with venue conditions.
Wyllie, as the favorite, has motivation to justify expectations and maintain momentum, while Dib has strong incentive to cause an upset and preserve his undefeated status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -450, away: +320
Jake Wyllie
★★★★☆ 79%
Spread
home: -1.5 (-290), away: +1.5 (+230)
Jake Wyllie -1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
over_7.5: +110, under_7.5: -130
Under 7.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jake Wyllie -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Jake Wyllie at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jake Wyllie to win by decision
Predicted Score: Jake Wyllie wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds
A closely matched lightweight MMA bout featuring Hayisaer Maheshate's defensive grappling and boxing versus Gauge Young's aggressive striking and power. Both fighters have shown solid form recently, making this a competitive and tactical fight.
Key Factors to Consider
Gauge Young has shown aggressive striking and finishing ability, while Maheshate exhibits strong defensive skills and durability. Recent form indicates balanced momentum with neither fighter dominating.
No direct past meetings between the two, making this a fresh tactical matchup without prior psychological advantage.
No reported injuries or notable physical issues for either fighter entering the bout, indicating both should perform near peak.
Neutral venue and typical preparation conditions; no external disturbances or advantages reported.
Both fighters motivated to make statement wins; Young looking to confirm his favored status, Maheshate aiming to upset the odds and prove his tactical skills.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Gauge Young: -110, Hayisaer Maheshate: -110
Gauge Young
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Gauge Young -1.5 (-110)
Gauge Young -1.5
★★★☆☆ 57%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -165, Under 2.5 +135
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 66%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gauge Young -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 46%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gauge Young to win via decision
Predicted Score: Gauge Young wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds
The Sydney Roosters enter as strong favorites against the Parramatta Eels, with recent form, head-to-head dominance, and injury status favoring the Roosters in this Round 25 NRL clash.
Key Factors to Consider
Sydney Roosters have a superior recent form, holding a 54% win rate this season and better consistency in their last 5 games (WWLWL) compared to the Eels' poor run (LLLWL).
Historically, Roosters lead convincingly with 8 wins to the Eels' 3 in their last 11 encounters; this includes recent clashes at Bankwest Stadium favoring the Roosters.
No major injuries reported for the Roosters; Parramatta Eels have some key players doubtful, weakening their attacking and defensive capabilities.
Playing at Bankwest Stadium usually benefits the home Eels; however, this factor is mitigated somewhat by the Roosters' strong away performances and Parramatta's inconsistent home record.
Roosters are motivated to secure a top finals spot, while Eels are fighting to avoid bottom standings, adding to the Roosters' edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Parramatta +255, Sydney Roosters -315, Draw +2300
Sydney Roosters
★★★★☆ 77%
Spread
Parramatta +8.5 (-110), Sydney Roosters -8.5 (-120)
Sydney Roosters -8.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 46.5 (-145), Under 46.5 (110)
Over 46.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sydney Roosters 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 46.5 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sydney Roosters to win straight up, cover the spread (-8.5), and the total points to go over 46.5
Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – Parramatta Eels 16
Lone'er Kavanagh and Charles Johnson face off in a UFC prelims Flyweight bout featuring contrasting styles: Kavanagh with precise striking and Johnson with strong submission grappling. Both fighters have solid records and recent form suggests Kavanagh's stand-up edge may outweigh Johnson's ground threats.
Key Factors to Consider
Kavanagh holds a slight recent form advantage with more dominant striking performances and better odds movement favoring him. Johnson is resilient with multiple submission wins but has shown less consistency in recent UFC bouts.
No prior recorded H2H matchups. Styles suggest Kavanagh aims to keep fight standing while Johnson seeks ground opportunities.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
Fight takes place during UFC prelims with standard environment and no known disruptions. Both fighters motivated to improve rankings.
Kavanagh appears more motivated given recent odds improvements and striking confidence. Johnson will rely on experience but is underdog psychologically.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -205, away: 170
Lone'er Kavanagh
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
home: -120, away: 100
Lone'er Kavanagh -1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
over: -395, under: 280
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Lone'er Kavanagh -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 128%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 128% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lone'er Kavanagh to win by decision
Predicted Score: Decision win for Lone'er Kavanagh after 3 rounds
This UFC lightweight matchup features Zhu Rong, a strong favorite with superior striking power, facing Austin Hubbard, a durable and adaptable striker with solid recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Zhu Rong has shown consistent dominance recently, opening at -350 and closing near -252, reflecting solid market confidence. Rong has KO potential and ability to finish fights early. Hubbard remains credible with toughness and pace management but has not displayed same finishing power.
No prior head-to-head exists between Zhu Rong and Austin Hubbard, placing emphasis on current form and styles rather than direct matchup data.
No reported injuries or visible physical disadvantages for either fighter leading into this bout.
The fight environment is neutral; both fighters are equally motivated with no travel or home advantage. Betting markets show movement favoring Zhu Rong.
Zhu Rong looks motivated to solidify his top contender status with a statement win. Hubbard aims to maintain UFC relevance but is a clear underdog, which may affect psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Zhu Rong -252, Austin Hubbard +212
Zhu Rong
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
-1.5 rounds for Zhu Rong -120, +1.5 rounds for Austin Hubbard +100
Zhu Rong -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds -245, Under 2.5 rounds +195
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Zhu Rong 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 83%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Zhu Rong to win via moneyline, fight to go under 2.5 rounds