Match Analysis: Fabian Edwards vs Dalton Rosta – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament Finals, Hollywood, Florida, USA

Game Overview

The PFL Middleweight Tournament final pits Fabian Edwards against Dalton Rosta in a highly anticipated clash to decide the 2025 PFL Middleweight champion. Both fighters have displayed skill and resilience throughout the tournament, setting up a competitive and strategic matchup expected to run the full five rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fabian Edwards comes with a strong background including previous Bellator title challenges, showcasing durability and effective striking, while Dalton Rosta has demonstrated aggressive grappling and stamina, making this a battle of styles between precise striking and relentless pressure.
• This will be their first direct competitive match, with no prior head-to-head results available, adding an element of unpredictability to the fight.
• No reported significant injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, both entering in peak physical condition as confirmed by recent training updates.
• The fight is the main event at the PFL World Tournament Finals, attracting global attention streamed live on DAZN. Pressure and motivation to claim the title on a big stage could influence performance.
• Fabian Edwards is motivated to claim a tournament title after near misses in Bellator, while Dalton Rosta aims to leverage momentum and youthful energy to secure his first major championship, intensifying the competitive atmosphere.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards: -205, Dalton Rosta: 165	Fabian Edwards	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Fabian Edwards -1.5 rounds: -120, Dalton Rosta +1.5 rounds: 100	Fabian Edwards -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: -110, Under 3.5 rounds: -110	Over 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fabian Edwards at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fabian Edwards is favored to win by decision after a tactical fight, leveraging his experience and precise striking to control the rounds against Dalton Rosta's pressure style.

Predicted Score: Fabian Edwards wins by unanimous decision after five rounds

Match Analysis: Antonio Carlos Junior vs Sullivan Cauley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino, Hollywood, Florida

Game Overview

The 2025 PFL Light Heavyweight Tournament Title fight features reigning 2021 PFL Light Heavyweight Champion Antonio Carlos Jr. facing rising star Sullivan Cauley. Both fighters are grapplers with strong records; Antonio Carlos Jr. holds an 18-6 professional MMA record, bringing experience and championship pedigree. Sullivan Cauley, younger and less experienced with an 8-1 record, is known for his finishing skills and aggressive grappling, making this a highly competitive fight in the PFL's main card event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Antonio Carlos Jr. has a notable history as a former PFL champion with consistent performance in high-pressure bouts. Sullivan Cauley has risen rapidly, with a strong finishing rate and favorable recent form, indicating good momentum. Both fighters have demonstrated strong grappling, but Carlos Jr.'s experience in title bouts and five-round fights may give him endurance and strategic advantages.
• This will be the first meeting between Antonio Carlos Jr. and Sullivan Cauley, making tactical adaptation and ability to impose game plans during the fight crucial.
• No current public reports indicate injuries affecting either fighter, suggesting both competitors are healthy and fully prepared.
• The fight takes place at the Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino in Florida, with local support slightly favoring Sullivan Cauley, who has regional ties. The fight is the co-main event, increasing pressure but also motivation for both fighters. The lucrative $20 million prize pool adds significant incentive.
• Antonio Carlos Jr. aims to secure his second PFL Light Heavyweight title and solidify his legacy. Sullivan Cauley, as a rising prospect, is motivated to upset the former champion and claim his first major tournament victory, adding a high competitive drive on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Antonio Carlos Junior: 115, Sullivan Cauley: -145	Sullivan Cauley	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Antonio Carlos Junior: +1.5, Sullivan Cauley: -1.5	Sullivan Cauley to cover -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	over: 2.5 rounds, under: 2.5 rounds	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sullivan Cauley -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sullivan Cauley at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Antonio Carlos Jr. is favored to win by decision, leveraging experience and endurance, but a finish by Sullivan Cauley via submission or TKO remains a credible threat due to his aggressive style. The fight is likely to go the distance but with competitive action in all rounds.

Predicted Score: Sullivan Cauley wins via unanimous decision after 5 rounds

Match Analysis: Alexei Pergande vs Ethan Goss – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament Finals

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA bout between Alexei Pergande and Ethan Goss is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals. Pergande is a younger fighter at 24 with an undefeated record of 6-0, while Goss is the more experienced contender at age 33, holding a record of 12-7. Both fighters weigh in around 145 lbs and have similar physical stats, with Pergande having a slight height and reach advantage. The fight is expected to feature a contrast in styles, with Pergande having more wins by decision and submission, while Goss shows a higher number of KO/TKO and submission wins.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pergande is undefeated (6-0) with 2 submission wins and 4 decisions, showing solid defensive and control ability. Goss has a more mixed record of 12-7, with 2 KO/TKO, 5 submission, and 5 decision wins, indicating more finishing ability but less consistency.
• There are no direct previous matchups between Pergande and Goss, so this will be their first encounter. Their styles and records suggest a competitive fight with Pergande favored by bookmakers.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this fight.
• The fight takes place at the PFL World Tournament Finals, a high-stakes environment that could affect fighter motivation and performance. Both fighters are likely highly motivated given the tournament context.
• Pergande, as the younger fighter with an undefeated record, is likely highly motivated to maintain his perfect streak. Goss, as the veteran, is likely motivated to leverage experience and finishing ability to overcome the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexei Pergande: -900, Ethan Goss: 600	Alexei Pergande	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alexei Pergande 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexei Pergande at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexei Pergande is favored to win due to his undefeated status, youth, and superior reach and height advantage. However, Ethan Goss's experience and finishing capability make it probable for him to secure a finish if the fight opens up. The most likely outcome is a victory for Pergande by decision or submission, with some chance of Goss winning by KO or submission.

Predicted Score: Alexei Pergande wins by submission or unanimous decision within 3 rounds

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Match Analysis: Bryce Meredith vs Lazaro Dayron – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino (PFL World Tournament 10 Finals)

Game Overview

Bryce Meredith and Lazaro Dayron face off in the PFL World Tournament 10 finals in a classic matchup of pressure versus power. Meredith is known for his relentless wrestling and suffocating control, while Dayron is a compact, hard-hitting counterpuncher with an aggressor mindset. Both fighters weigh in evenly at 135.8 lbs, and each brings undefeated spirit and contrasting fight styles to this highly anticipated bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Meredith holds a record of 7-0 with 2 KO/TKO wins, 3 submissions, and 2 decision victories. Dayron has an 8-1 record with 3 KO/TKOs, 1 submission, and 4 decision wins. Meredith typically dominates with wrestling control, while Dayron leverages pressure and power striking with a high rate of finishes.
• This is their first documented head-to-head meeting. Analysts lean slightly towards Meredith due to wrestling advantage and fight control, but Dayron's compact power and counter striking pose a significant threat.
• No publicly reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading into the match.
• The fight takes place at the iconic Seminole Hard Rock venue as part of the PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, adding pressure and spotlight. Both athletes are highly motivated with championship aspirations at stake.
• Dayron carries the mentality of being undefeated in spirit despite a draw on his record, showing resilience and toughness. Meredith openly acknowledges the chaotic nature of fighting, preparing for a war of wills with an aggressive wrestling approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bryce Meredith: -140, Lazaro Dayron: +120, Draw: +2500	Bryce Meredith	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Meredith -1.5: -110, Dayron +1.5: -110	Meredith -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryce Meredith edges out Lazaro Dayron via decision or late-round submission due to superior wrestling control, but the fight is closely contested with high risk of an early knockout from Dayron.

Predicted Score: Bryce Meredith wins by unanimous decision or submission in Round 3 or 4

Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Club Universitario de Deportes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

This is a first-leg knockout match of the 2025 CONMEBOL Libertadores Round of 16 between Palmeiras-SP and Club Universitario de Deportes, hosted at Allianz Parque. Palmeiras enters as strong favorites given their home advantage and recent form in the tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras-SP has been one of the dominant teams in the Libertadores, demonstrating strong offensive and defensive consistency. Club Universitario de Deportes, while competitive, has less experience at this stage and on international grounds. Palmeiras’ home form remains excellent, helping provide an edge.
• The teams have met once this season, with Palmeiras likely having the psychological advantage based on overall team strength and home setting.
• No publicly reported significant injuries are affecting the starting lineups for either team at this time.
• Playing in Sao Paulo gives Palmeiras the home crowd energy and familiarity with the pitch conditions. Travel fatigue and altitude differences might affect Universitario de Deportes negatively.
• As a knockout stage encounter, both teams are fully motivated. Palmeiras seeks to build a strong aggregate lead at home, while Universitario has an incentive to score an away goal to keep their chances alive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP: -315, Club Universitario de Deportes: 825, Draw: 440	Palmeiras-SP win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Palmeiras-SP: -1.5 (-118), Club Universitario de Deportes: +1.5 (-112)	Palmeiras-SP -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 3 goals: 110, Under 3 goals: -145	Under 3 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is expected to win the match, leveraging home advantage and superior squad strength, with a confident but cautious attacking approach to establish a strong foundation for the second leg.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Alexander Romanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino

Game Overview

The 2025 PFL World Tournament Heavyweight Finals pits Alexander Romanov (Moldova) against Oleg Popov (Russia) in a 5-round MMA bout. Both fighters have strong records, with Romanov at 19-3-1NC and Popov at 21-2. The fight represents the climax of the PFL Heavyweight division for 2025, scheduled at a prominent venue and set to test each fighter’s grappling, striking, and endurance over potentially five rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oleg Popov has a slightly superior win record (21-2) compared to Romanov (19-3-1NC). Both fighters have demonstrated effective grappling and ground control with Popov slightly favored for pressure and volume striking. Recent performances in semifinals show both advancing decisively to the finals, indicating peak form.
• There is no recorded direct prior matchup between Oleg Popov and Alexander Romanov, making this a fresh contest without historical combat data between the two.
• No major injury reports or medical issues have been disclosed for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full physical capacity.
• The fight is held at a neutral venue in the USA, eliminating typical hometown advantages. Both fighters compete internationally and are familiar with travel conditions. The event’s broadcast and digital exposure may add motivation but also pressure equally to both.
• As this is for the PFL World Tournament Heavyweight title, motivation is extremely high for both Romanov and Popov. Both fighters seek to capitalize on the biggest stage in their division, with substantial prize money and career legacy at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexander Romanov: +180, Oleg Popov: -220	Oleg Popov	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Oleg Popov: -1.5	Oleg Popov to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds: -110, Under 3.5 rounds: -110	Over 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oleg Popov -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oleg Popov at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleg Popov is the slight favorite due to his experience and track record, with a strong likelihood of winning by decision through sustained pressure, though Romanov's grappling threat and resilience make a stoppage or upset possible.

Predicted Score: Oleg Popov wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds

Match Analysis: River Plate vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Game Overview

This CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores tie features River Plate hosting Libertad Asuncion. It is a decisive knockout phase match, with River Plate as strong favorites playing at home. The previous encounter in this season ended in a goalless draw away for River Plate, making home advantage and recent form critical.

Key Factors to Consider

• River Plate currently leads the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol and demonstrated superior ball possession (68% in last meeting), passing accuracy (79%), and overall attacks compared to Libertad Asuncion who had less possession and fewer shots on target in their last match-up. River's strong home form and squad depth bolster their performance chances. Libertad tends to play more defensively but has shown resilience.
• The teams have met twice in the previous season with evenly matched results, including a recent 0-0 draw away to Libertad. River Plate's home advantage this time is significant. Historical clashes suggest tight games with low to moderate scoring.
• No specific injury reports are available from current sources, implying both teams likely have near full strength squads.
• Playing at Estadio Mâs Monumental offers River Plate a formidable home crowd atmosphere. Travel for Libertad and the high stakes of knockout phase add pressure on the away side. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
• River Plate aims to assert dominance hosting the second leg of the tie with strong home support and league momentum. Libertad seek to hold defensive discipline and capitalize on counterattacks to overturn the tie, driven by Copa Libertadores ambitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	River Plate: -325, Libertad Asuncion: 1000, Draw: 400	River Plate win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	River Plate -1.5: -115, Libertad +1.5: -115	River Plate to cover -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -105	Over 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	River Plate -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

River Plate are predicted to win by a slim margin given their home advantage, better form, and historical tight matches. A cautious 2-1 home victory is likely as Libertad will defend stoutly but struggle to contain River's attacking depth.

Predicted Score: 2-1