Match Analysis: Fabian Edwards vs Dalton Rosta – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Venue

Game Overview

Fabian Edwards faces Dalton Rosta in a Middleweight bout at PFL World Tournament 10. Edwards is the betting favorite with a solid record and slight reach advantage, while Rosta is a younger, rising fighter with a high-output striking style.

Key Factors to Consider

• Edwards has demonstrated consistent recent wins with strong grappling and controlling ability; Rosta is aggressive and durable but has shown some vulnerability in grappling exchanges.
• No prior head-to-head matchups exist between Fabian Edwards and Dalton Rosta, making this fight a fresh tactical contest.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout, indicating both will compete at full health.
• The fight takes place at a neutral venue with no significant external disruptions expected. Both fighters are competing in a major PFL event with high stakes.
• Edwards appears motivated to maintain his trajectory toward title contention, using experience to cement status; Rosta seeks to establish himself as a top contender, adding hunger and urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards: -205, Dalton Rosta: +165	Fabian Edwards	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Fabian Edwards -1.5: -130, Dalton Rosta +1.5: +110	Fabian Edwards -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fabian Edwards at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fabian Edwards to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Fabian Edwards wins by decision or late finish before round 3

Match Analysis: Antonio Carlos Junior vs Sullivan Cauley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, Charlotte, North Carolina

Game Overview

Antonio Carlos Junior and Sullivan Cauley face off in a light heavyweight MMA bout at the PFL World Tournament 10 Finals. Cauley enters as the betting favorite with American odds of -145 vs. +115 for Carlos Jr. The matchup features contrasting styles with Carlos Jr. known for his grappling prowess and Cauley for striking and reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Carlos Jr. has shown solid grappling dominance and control in recent PFL bouts although his recent finishes are limited. Cauley comes off a strong streak emphasizing striking volume and reach control. Both fighters are experienced but Cauley’s youth (29 vs 35) and recent form slightly edges momentum to him.
• No prior direct matchup between Antonio Carlos Junior and Sullivan Cauley exists, making this a fresh contest without past fight data influencing tactical approaches.
• No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout, allowing both to compete at full strength.
• The bout is held at PFL's World Tournament Finals in Charlotte, NC, a neutral venue with no obvious home advantage. Both fighters are under usual tournament pressure and have similar travel and acclimation conditions.
• Both fighters highly motivated; Carlos Jr. to validate veteran status at the finals, Cauley motivated by youth and recent momentum aiming for title implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Antonio Carlos Junior: +115, Sullivan Cauley: -145	Sullivan Cauley	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Sullivan Cauley -1.5 rounds: -110, Antonio Carlos Junior +1.5 rounds: -110	Sullivan Cauley -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sullivan Cauley -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sullivan Cauley at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sullivan Cauley to win by Decision

Predicted Score: Sullivan Cauley wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Alexei Pergande vs Ethan Goss – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, Charlotte, North Carolina

Game Overview

A featherweight showdown between dominant favorite Alexei Pergande and underdog Ethan Goss in the PFL Finals.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pergande has shown dominant form recently with multiple decisive wins, demonstrating strong striking and grappling; Goss has struggled against top-tier opponents and lacks recent significant victories.
• No documented previous encounters between Pergande and Goss, making this a first-time matchup.
• No known recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear to be in peak condition.
• Fight taking place in a neutral but highly competitive environment; Pergande benefits from momentum and crowd support at the finals.
• Pergande is highly motivated aiming for the tournament championship; Goss is motivated but considered an underdog with less to lose.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexei_Pergande: -900, Ethan_Goss: 600	Alexei Pergande	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Alexei_Pergande_-1.5_rounds: -350, Ethan_Goss_+1.5_rounds: 280	Alexei Pergande -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over_1.5_rounds: -435, Under_1.5_rounds: 295	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alexei Pergande -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexei Pergande at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexei Pergande to win by moneyline with strong control.

Predicted Score: Pergande wins via decision or late-round TKO in round 3 or 4

Match Analysis: Bryce Meredith vs Lazaro Dayron – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Professional Fighters League Event Venue

Game Overview

Bryce Meredith faces Lazaro Dayron in a bantamweight mixed martial arts bout during the PFL World Tournament finals. Meredith is the betting favorite with a slight size advantage and a recent run of solid performances, while Dayron enters as the underdog with a more compact style and speed focus.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bryce Meredith has shown consistent form with recent wins inside the distance, demonstrating strong striking and grappling balance. Lazaro Dayron’s recent fights highlight speed and cardio but less finishing ability.
• No prior head-to-head fights documented between Meredith and Dayron, making this matchup primarily a contest of style and recent performances.
• No reported significant injuries for either fighter entering the bout, indicating both should be at full strength.
• The fight occurring at a PFL finals event increases motivation for both fighters but slightly favors Meredith who has maintained composure on big stages before. No travel or environmental issues reported.
• Meredith’s trajectory and status as a favorite likely boost confidence and motivation, whereas Dayron, as an underdog, may be motivated to prove himself but faces psychological pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -200, away: +145	Bryce Meredith	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: -1.5 (+160), away: +1.5 (-200)	Bryce Meredith -1.5	★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryce Meredith to win via decision

Predicted Score: Bryce Meredith wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Club Universitario de Deportes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP hosts Club Universitario de Deportes in the second leg of the Round of 16 in the 2025 CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras holds a commanding advantage after a 4-0 away win in the first leg.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras remains unbeaten in 12 matches and has been in dominant form both domestically and internationally. Universitario have struggled against Palmeiras historically and were heavily defeated in the first leg 4-0.
• Palmeiras leads convincingly with 2 wins and 0 draws against Universitario. The recent 4-0 away win in this tie highlights the clear dominance.
• No significant injury news reported for Palmeiras. Universitario's injury status is unclear but their overall squad depth is inferior to Palmeiras.
• The match is played at Palmeiras' home ground, Allianz Parque, providing a strong home advantage. Weather and travel fatigue favor Palmeiras less impacted due to home conditions.
• Palmeiras is motivated to close out the tie comfortably in front of their home fans and progress deeper into the Copa Libertadores. Universitario face a nearly impossible task to overturn the large deficit.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Home: -315, Away: 825, Draw: 440	Palmeiras-SP	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Palmeiras-SP -1.5: -118, Universitario +1.5: -112	Palmeiras-SP -1.5	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 3: 110, Under 3: -145	Under 3	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras-SP to win outright (moneyline), covering a -1.5 spread, and the match to finish under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Alexander Romanov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

Game Overview

The fight between heavyweight contenders Oleg Popov and Alexander Romanov is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 10 Finals taking place in Charlotte, North Carolina. Both fighters are experienced with complementary skill sets, Popov being the favorite with -220 odds and Romanov the underdog at +180.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oleg Popov has shown strong striking and controlling grappling in recent fights, maintaining a steady winning form in PFL. Alexander Romanov is known for his dominant grappling and submission threats but has faced some recent tough opponents that tested his ground defense.
• No previous recorded matchup exists between Popov and Romanov, making this a fresh contest between two heavyweights with substantially different styles.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout, implying both are physically fresh and prepared.
• The fight is part of a high-stakes PFL final, increasing motivation for both fighters. Fighting in Charlotte could slightly benefit Popov as he is more acclimated to the event environment.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the PFL tournament with title implications at stake. Popov's slight edge in odds suggests bookmakers believe his form and environment give him better chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oleg Popov: -220, Alexander Romanov: +180	Oleg Popov	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Popov -1.5 rounds: -150, Romanov +1.5 rounds: +120	Popov -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +130, Under 2.5 rounds: -160	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Oleg Popov -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oleg Popov at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleg Popov to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Oleg Popov wins by decision or finish before round 3

Match Analysis: River Plate vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores matchup features Argentine giants River Plate hosting Libertad Asuncion from Paraguay. River Plate enters as strong favorite, boasting home advantage, more consistent recent form, and superior squad depth, while Libertad has struggled away and faces a tough challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• River Plate have shown strong domestic and continental form recently, winning 4 of last 5, with tight defense and effective attack. Libertad's away form is weaker with limited goal scoring and defensive lapses.
• Recent H2H matches favor River Plate, with the previous Copa Libertadores leg ending 1-0 to River Plate. Historically, River Plate dominates this fixture.
• River Plate have no major injury concerns, fielding a near full-strength squad. Libertad is missing a key midfielder and a starting defender, weakening their middle and back lines.
• The match is at River's home stadium in Buenos Aires, giving them clear crowd support and no travel fatigue. Libertad faces a long travel and less favorable pitch conditions.
• River Plate is motivated to secure a strong home victory to control the tie. Libertad aims to contain but is under pressure given away deficit and away disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	River Plate -325, Libertad Asuncion +1000, Draw +400	River Plate	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	River Plate -1.5 -115, Libertad +1.5 -115	River Plate -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -125, Under 2.5 -105	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	River Plate -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

River Plate to win on the moneyline, cover a -1.5 goal spread, and match to go over 2.5 total goals

Predicted Score: 3-1