Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 20, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction	Under 2	108	25%
Internacional-RS vs. Flamengo-RJ Prediction	Flamengo-RJ	165	19%
Juventude vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction	Vasco da Gama	137	19%

Combined Odds: +1206 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $261.27

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: MorumBIS

Game Overview

This is the second leg of the 2025 Copa Libertadores Round of 16 between São Paulo and Atlético Nacional S.A. The first leg ended in a 0-0 draw at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, giving a balanced outlook for this decisive home match for São Paulo. Both teams have shown solid form recently with strong defensive capabilities, reflected in the scoreless first leg.

Key Factors to Consider

• São Paulo has been unbeaten in their last 9 matches while Atlético Nacional remains unbeaten in their last 6 matches, demonstrating strong form from both sides. São Paulo has a slight edge in recent home performance, and their recent victories in domestic and continental play suggest good momentum.
• Historically, the two teams have met 7 times with Atlético Nacional leading with 3 wins, São Paulo having 2 wins, and 2 draws. The recent 0-0 first leg result indicates a tightly contested matchup.
• No specific injury reports are available for this fixture at present, but the lineups will only be finalized close to match time. Absence of key players could affect either team due to the match's high stakes.
• Playing at home (MorumBIS) gives São Paulo a distinct advantage with familiar conditions and local crowd support. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for August in Brazil, likely not impacting the game negatively.
• São Paulo has high motivation to advance, especially at home, needing to secure at least a 1-0 win to progress. Atlético Nacional is motivated to score away to avoid elimination and rely on defensive resilience.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Atlético Nacional S.A: 400, São Paulo: -122, Draw: 235	São Paulo win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Atlético Nacional S.A: 50 @ +100, São Paulo: -0.5 @ -130	São Paulo -0.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2: -115, Under 2: -113	Under 2 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sao Paulo 180%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 180% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is favored narrowly due to home advantage and historical home form. However, Atlético Nacional's solid defense and the 0-0 first leg keep this match highly competitive. A close match with a likely narrow São Paulo win or a low-scoring draw seems most probable.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Racing Club vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Presidente Perón, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Game Overview

The second leg of the CONMEBOL Libertadores Round of 16 between Racing Club and Peñarol Montevideo will be played at Racing's home stadium. Peñarol comes into this match with strong momentum after a dominant 3-0 win against Nacional in the Uruguayan Clásico, boosting their confidence. Racing Club aims to leverage home advantage to reverse or extend the aggregate in their favor after the first leg played on 12 August 2025 in Montevideo. The tie remains closely contested.

Key Factors to Consider

• Peñarol has recently shown excellent form, highlighted by a 3-0 win against Nacional and sustained home Libertadores success. Racing Club is competitive, playing at a high level in Argentina's top division and seeking to capitalize on home advantage for this crucial knockout fixture.
• Recent meetings include the first leg of this round on 12 August 2025, with no result specified, and historical Libertadores clashes dating back to 1997 where both sides have had narrow wins. The rivalry is tight and competitive.
• No detailed injury reports are available from the provided sources for this match, suggesting both squads may be near full strength.
• Playing in Buenos Aires favors Racing due to home crowd support and familiarity with the stadium environment. Peñarol’s strong away form in this competition and recent psychological boost from the derby win in Uruguay are also key external factors.
• Peñarol is highly motivated after their recent convincing derby win and strong Libertadores home performance, aiming to claim an advantage. Racing Club is motivated to utilize home advantage to advance and build on their international campaign success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Peñarol Montevideo: 4.6, Racing Club: -1.62, Draw: 2.9	Racing Club to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Peñarol Montevideo +75: 1.02, Racing Club -0.75: 1.32	Racing Club -0.75	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2: 1.5, Under 2: 1.15	Under 2 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Racing Club -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Racing Club’s home advantage and Peñarol’s strong form and confidence, the match is likely to be closely contested. However, Racing Club is favored to edge this second leg with a solid defensive approach and effective counter-attacks.

Predicted Score: Racing Club 1 – 0 Peñarol Montevideo

Match Analysis: Manuel Exposito vs Jose Delano – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The fight between Manuel Exposito and Jose Delano is a featherweight division bout scheduled as part of Dana White's Contender Series on August 20, 2025, at 2:00 AM UTC. It features two rising fighters competing on a main card fight, with implications for career advancement within the UFC system.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Exposito has an overall record of 13-2-0 with a balanced finishing rate: 53.8% by submission, 23.1% by KO, and 23.1% by decision. Jose Delano comes in as a strong favorite with heavy betting support, suggesting a high performance expectation. Both fighters are well-trained, but Exposito fights out of Argentina with a solid Jiu Jitsu background, coached by Sabbadin Lucas.
• There are no prior recorded matches between Manuel Exposito and Jose Delano, making head-to-head analysis impossible.
• No current injury reports or concerns are indicated for either fighter in the available data.
• The fight being part of Dana White's Contender Series adds motivation for both fighters to impress for future UFC contracts. The venue and event conditions are standard with no unusual external factors expected. Both fighters have similar physical stats (height around 170-173 cm, reach approx. 1.75 m).
• Both fighters are highly motivated given the fight’s context within Dana White's Contender Series, which serves as a gateway to UFC contracts and greater career opportunities.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jose Delano: -425, Manuel Exposito: 325	Jose Delano	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Not explicitly provided; implied spread favors Jose Delano with ~-1.5 rounds	Jose Delano to win by more than 1 round / finish	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -125, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jose Delano -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jose Delano is favored to win by a technical or decision finish due to strong odds support and perceived superior form. Manuel Exposito poses a submission threat but faces an uphill battle against a heavy favorite.

Predicted Score: Jose Delano wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds

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Match Analysis: Louis Lee Scott vs Kaushil Saikumar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Bantamweight Division

Game Overview

This is a bantamweight main card fight in Dana White's Contender Series between undefeated Louis Lee Scott and undefeated Kaushil Saikumar. Both fighters are early in their careers with perfect records but contrasting fighting styles and statistics. The fight is scheduled for August 20, 2025, at 2:00 AM UTC.

Key Factors to Consider

• Louis Lee Scott holds a 9-0 record with a strong KO/TKO ability (6 KOs), complemented by submissions (2) and decisions (2). Kaushil Saikumar holds a 5-0 record, with a majority of his wins by KO (3) and a couple by submission (1) and decision (1). Both fighters have zero losses and remain undefeated but Scott has more total fights and experience in finishing fights.
• This is the first ever meeting between Louis Lee Scott and Kaushil Saikumar. Both maintain unbeaten streaks, suggesting a high-level contest with no direct past comparison data.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight, indicating both are likely at optimal physical condition.
• The fight is part of a high-profile Dana White's Contender Series event, which can increase motivation. Saikumar fights out of the United States with coaching from Ryan Hall, a notable grappling coach, which may influence fight strategy. The fight altitude, travel, or venue conditions have not been noted as impactful.
• Both fighters are undefeated with strong streaks, seeking to establish their dominance and potentially earn UFC contracts. The Contender Series setting adds pressure and incentive to perform impressively.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Louis Lee Scott: -145, Kaushil Saikumar: +125, Draw: +2500	Louis Lee Scott	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Louis Lee Scott -1.5: -120, Kaushil Saikumar +1.5: -110	Louis Lee Scott -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Louis Lee Scott is favored to win based on higher fight experience, more finishes, and a slight size disadvantage for Saikumar. The fight is expected to be competitive but with Scott edging by KO or late submission.

Predicted Score: Louis Lee Scott wins by KO/TKO round 2

Match Analysis: Tommy Cuozzi vs Ramiro Jimenez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series venue (unspecified)

Game Overview

The upcoming featherweight MMA fight between Tommy Cuozzi and Ramiro Jimenez is a main card bout at Dana White's Contender Series on August 20, 2025. Tommy Cuozzi enters undefeated at 8-0 with a strong knockout rate, while Ramiro Jimenez is the favored fighter by bookmakers with moneyline odds at -390 compared to Cuozzi's +280.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tommy Cuozzi has an 8-0 record with 75% of wins by KO and only 12.5% by submission. Ramiro Jimenez's detailed record is not provided, but he is heavily favored in betting which implies strong performance or reputation.
• This appears to be their first official meeting; no prior head-to-head records are available.
• No current injury information is available for either fighter.
• Fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series, increasing pressure and motivation for both fighters to perform well and secure UFC contracts. The fight venue specifics are not detailed.
• Both fighters have strong incentives: Cuozzi to maintain his undefeated streak and improve his standing, and Jimenez, as the betting favorite, is likely confident and motivated to justify his odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ramiro Jimenez: -390, Tommy Cuozzi: +280	Ramiro Jimenez to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Ramiro Jimenez -1.5 rounds: -150, Tommy Cuozzi +1.5 rounds: +130	Ramiro Jimenez to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ramiro Jimenez -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ramiro Jimenez at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Due to Ramiro Jimenez's heavy favoritism in moneyline odds and absence of injuries or disadvantages, Jimenez is the predicted winner by a decision or late-round finish, although Cuozzi's undefeated record and knockout power keep the likelihood of an upset moderate.

Predicted Score: Ramiro Jimenez wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Brandon Holmes vs Cam Rowston – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The match is a Middleweight division bout on the main card of Dana White's Contender Series between American Brandon Holmes and Australian Cam Rowston. Holmes is making his Contender Series debut with an undefeated 5-0 record, while Rowston has more professional experience with an 11-3 record. The fight is scheduled for August 20, 2025, and features a battle between Holmes' rising undefeated status and Rowston's seasoned approach from City Kickboxing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brandon Holmes enters undefeated at 5-0, showing early career momentum and potential. Cam Rowston has an 11-3 record with a solid mix of finishes: 50% submissions, 25% KOs, and 16.7% decisions, indicating diverse skill sets. Rowston trains with City Kickboxing under Scott Ireland, known for producing well-rounded fighters.
• This is the first documented encounter between Brandon Holmes and Cam Rowston; no prior head-to-head data is available.
• No reported injuries or medical issues for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight is held under high stakes within Dana White's Contender Series, providing strong motivation for both fighters to impress for a UFC contract. Holmes replaced Jon Kunneman, which may impact preparation time slightly but demonstrates his readiness.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract. Holmes aims to maintain his undefeated streak and capitalize on this high-profile opportunity. Rowston brings experience and a track record of finishing fights, aiming to solidify his status for the UFC as well.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brandon Holmes: -140, Cam Rowston: 110	Brandon Holmes	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Brandon Holmes: -1.5 (-110), Cam Rowston: +1.5 (-110)	Brandon Holmes by more than 1.5 rounds or decisive finish	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -125, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brandon Holmes -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brandon Holmes is favored due to his slight moneyline advantage and undefeated status, but Cam Rowston's experience and submission skills make this competitive. Expect a tactical fight where Holmes uses striking and pace to control, but Rowston could capitalize on grappling opportunities to secure a submission or decision win.

Predicted Score: Brandon Holmes wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Guilherme Uriel – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-20
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The fight between Josh Hokit and Guilherme Uriel is a heavyweight main card bout scheduled for Dana White's Contender Series on August 20, 2025. Both fighters are undefeated or nearly undefeated prospects with contrasting fighting styles and records, making the match highly competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• Josh Hokit holds a perfect 5-0 record with 60% of his wins by submission and 40% by knockout, showing a balanced finishing ability in grappling and striking. Guilherme Uriel is 6-1, with a higher proportion of KO/TKO wins (three) alongside three submission victories, indicating a strong finishing skill set and slightly more experience.
• The fighters have not faced each other before, making this an intriguing first encounter lacking prior direct matchup data. Both stand at 185 cm with identical reach, leveling physical advantages.
• There is no available information on any current injuries for either Josh Hokit or Guilherme Uriel heading into the fight.
• The fight is staged on the prestigious Dana White's Contender Series platform which adds motivation for both fighters to impress for potential UFC contracts. The event date and timing are firm with no disruptions announced.
• Josh Hokit, fighting out of the Jackson Wink MMA Academy and undefeated, aims to maintain his perfect record and advance his career. Guilherme Uriel, with one loss but more professional bouts, looks to cement his status as an elite prospect by defeating a rising undefeated fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Josh Hokit: -450, Guilherme Uriel: 350	Josh Hokit	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Josh Hokit -1.5 rounds: -200, Guilherme Uriel +1.5 rounds: +160	Josh Hokit -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 120, Under 1.5 rounds: -150	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Josh Hokit -15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josh Hokit is favored to win given his undefeated status, balanced finishing ability, and recent form, although Guilherme Uriel’s slight experience edge and finishing power make it a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Josh Hokit wins via submission in round 2