This Round 22 NRL match features two bottom-half finalists fighting for survival: the 9th-placed Manly Warringah Sea Eagles hosting 10th-placed Sydney Roosters at 4 Pines Park. Both teams have shown flashes of quality in 2025 but suffer from inconsistency. The Roosters recently lost 3 of 4 games while the Sea Eagles ended a 3-game winning streak with a heavy defeat. Key injuries affect Manly, including season-ending loss of star Haumole Olakau'atu. Historically, Manly have won six of nine home games in 2025 and lead their all-time head-to-head narrowly over 43 encounters. The Roosters have won 5 of their past 7 meetings against Manly, making this a very tight contest.
Key Factors to Consider
Manly has been solid at home, winning 6 of 9 at 4 Pines Park this season, though recent form dipped with a heavy loss. The Roosters have fought hard, notably pushing Melbourne Storm closely but falling short in 3 of their last 4, revealing some defensive shortcomings.
Across 43 matches, Manly leads with 22 wins to Sydney's 21, showing a historically even rivalry. Recently, the Roosters won 5 of the last 7 clashes, indicating a slight upper hand in recent encounters.
Manly faces a significant blow with Haumole Olakau'atu ruled out for the season. Other key players like Waddell expected to start, with Smith and Savala fit, offering some relief. No major injuries reported for the Roosters.
The match is played at Manlyβs home ground, potentially favoring the Sea Eagles with strong local support. Weather and other external conditions are not specified but should be typical for Sydney in early August.
Both teams are motivated by a fight for finals qualification, locked in a battle for spots in the bottom half of the top eight. The packed Brookvale crowd and the significance of the match add intensity to this rivalry.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -134, away: 115, draw: 2100
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
home: -2.5 -110, away: 2.5 -120
Manly to cover -2.5 points
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
over: 48.5 110, under: 48.5 -145
Under 48.5 points total
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 48.5 5%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home ground advantage, recent home form, and motivation to secure a finals spot, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have a slight edge, but the Roosters' recent dominance in head-to-head and resilience keep this prediction tight. Expect a closely contested game with a lean towards Manly pulling a narrow win.
Location: Not specified (likely GIO Stadium, Canberra)
Game Overview
The upcoming NRL match between St George Illawarra Dragons and Canberra Raiders is set to be competitive, with Canberra showing recent strong form evidenced by their Round 18 victory over the Dragons (28-24). The Raiders have been able to maintain possession well and apply pressure defensively, with solid tackle statistics and effective run meters. Injuries have affected both sides, but the Raiders seem comparatively less impacted in key positions recently.
Key Factors to Consider
In their last head-to-head, Canberra Raiders narrowly defeated St George Illawarra Dragons 28-24, showcasing superior run meters (1777 vs 1506) and fewer errors (9 vs 12). Raiders have a better completion rate (30 complete sets vs 24) indicating stronger control of possession. However, Dragons have a physical edge with more tackles (354 vs 333) suggesting tight defense.
Recent encounter from Round 18 in July 2025 ended with Canberra Raiders winning by 4 points. Both teams traded tries evenly, but Raiders finished stronger. Historical data suggests Raiders have a slight advantage when playing at home.
St George Illawarra Dragons are dealing with significant injuries including Hamish Stewart (concussion), Luciano Leilua (quad), Toby Couchman (shoulder), Nathan Lawson (arm), and Christian Tuipulotu (hamstring). Damien Cook has recovered from an ankle knock. Raiders are missing Josh Papalii but have brought in reinforcements on the bench.
The match will likely be played at GIO Stadium in Canberra, offering home-ground advantage to the Raiders. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but can influence conditions. Fan presence and team motivation from previous narrow results may fuel a passionate contest.
Both teams will be motivated for a strong finish in the Telstra Premiership season. Raiders aim to consolidate their form and leverage home advantage after a close win, while Dragons seek to overturn recent setbacks and injury challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Canberra Raiders: -218, St George Illawarra Dragons: 185, Draw: 2200
Canberra Raiders
β β β β β 78%
Spread
Canberra Raiders: -6.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 6.5 -115
Canberra Raiders -6.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over: 46.5 -105, Under: 46.5 -125
Under 46.5
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St George Illawarra Dragons -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 46.5 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Canberra Raiders are favored to win, driven by home advantage, superior recent performance, and fewer key injuries. A close game is expected but odds favor the Raiders to cover the spread and edge out the Dragons.
Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 26 – 20 St George Illawarra Dragons
The Round 22 NRL clash pits the Gold Coast Titans against the Penrith Panthers at Cbus Super Stadium. The Titans, currently struggling near the bottom of the table, will attempt to leverage their strong home ground resilience against the defending premiers, Penrith Panthers, who are on a dominant eight-game winning streak and chasing important competition points. While Penrith is the strong favorites, analytical insights suggest this match could be more competitive than anticipated, with defensive intensity expected to limit scoring opportunities.
Key Factors to Consider
Penrith Panthers have shown consistent high-level performance with seven consecutive wins and a dominant recent victory, indicating excellent form and cohesion. The Gold Coast Titans have been volatile and are battling near the bottom of the ladder, but recent home performances show resilience and an ability to capitalize on big occasions. Titans played a confident game with high completion rates and effective offensive efforts last week, which might boost morale.
Recent encounters have been dominated by the Penrith Panthers, who hold a clear edge in both results and defensive strength. However, attack statistics show relatively even offensive output between the sides. Power rankings favor Penrith (ranked 10) over Titans (ranked 16). The Titansβ home ground advantage at Cbus Super Stadium has historically yielded unexpected resistance to elite teams.
No specific injury updates were directly available in the provided data, but Penrith is expected to field a near full-strength lineup increasing their advantage. Titans have no noted critical injuries impacting their lineup.
The match is played at the coastal Cbus Super Stadium, where weather and local crowd support tend to favor the home team. Penrith's strong road game will be tested by the coastal conditions and the Titans fansβ support.
Penrith Panthers carry strong motivation to continue their winning streak and solidify their standing with vital competition points, chasing another premiership. The Titans, locked in a fight against the bottom of the table, have less motivation in terms of ladder position but will seek to leverage home ground advantage and a recent morale-boosting win to surprise the favorites.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Penrith Panthers -11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 46.5 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Penrith Panthers are predicted to win by a moderate margin, with a final score indicating controlled dominance but a competitive contest due to Titans' home resilience. Expected lower scoring due to defensive strengths of Panthers.
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers face the Toronto Argonauts in a key CFL matchup in Week 8 of the 2025 season. Winnipeg, historically strong with a 62-24 regular season record over the last five years, will be looking to overturn recent losses against Toronto, who won their last meeting 31-17 at home. The game is crucial for both teams to gain momentum mid-season.
Key Factors to Consider
Winnipeg Blue Bombers have a strong historical winning record and are known for a resilient defense and balanced offense. The Argonauts recently defeated Winnipeg 31-17 with efficient passing from Nick Arbuckle and strong special teams. Winnipeg has struggled against Toronto in recent meetings, losing all three last season including the Grey Cup.
Toronto has won the last three encounters against Winnipeg, including two close games and a decisive Grey Cup victory last season. The momentum currently favors Toronto, especially playing at home.
No major injury updates are explicitly reported in available sources for either team prior to the match.
The game is played at Toronto's BMO Field, giving the Argonauts home-field advantage. The weather and field conditions at that venue historically favor a balanced attack but with potential wind impacting kicking.
Toronto will be motivated to continue their winning streak against Winnipeg and claim home-field dominance. Winnipeg must overcome recent setbacks in this rivalry and maintain their strong season form to stay competitive in the West Division.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Toronto Argonauts: 198, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -245
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Toronto Argonauts: 5.5 -110, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -5.5 -110
Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover -5.5 points
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -105
Under 50.5 points
β β β ββ 57%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Argonauts -16%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 50.5 11%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Winnipeg Blue Bombers are predicted to win narrowly by overcoming Toronto's home advantage based on their overall stronger season form and historical performance despite recent losses to Toronto.
Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 27 – Toronto Argonauts 21