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Geoffrey Neal vs. Carlos Prates Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Geoffrey Neal vs Carlos Prates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

This welterweight fight features Geoffrey Neal (16-6) versus Carlos Prates (21-7) at UFC 319. Neal is a powerful, durable southpaw with a high volume striking rate and solid finishing ability. Prates is a longer reach, switch-hitter with slightly better strike accuracy and defense. Both fighters have susceptibility to damage, creating a high likelihood of an incomplete fight going under the total rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Neal lands significantly more strikes per minute (5.05) but also absorbs more (5.44), while Prates lands at a slightly lower rate (3.60) but defends fewer strikes.
  • No direct H2H records are available, but styles suggest Prates' reach and finishing instincts give him a tactical edge.
  • Neal has some recent injury concerns that may impair his defense and durability in early aggressive phases.
  • Bout held in Chicago's United Center with no major travel or environmental issues affecting either fighter.
  • Prates, at 31, is in prime form seeking to capitalize on his physical advantages, while Neal (34) looks to prove resilience despite injury setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Prates -245 / Neal +200 Carlos Prates ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Prates -3.5 -165 / Neal +3.5 120 Carlos Prates -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 +120 / Under 2.5 -154 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Prates -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Prates to win by stoppage under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Carlos Prates wins via TKO 2nd round


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Dricus Du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

UFC 319 main event middleweight title fight between champion Dricus Du Plessis and undefeated challenger Khamzat Chimaev, featuring two highly motivated strikers with contrasting styles and recent impressive form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Du Plessis holds a strong 23-2 professional MMA record with a championship reign, showcasing precision striking and resilience, while Chimaev remains undefeated at 14-0 with high output striking and aggressive grappling, though his path has been hampered by long layoffs and prior injuries.
  • No previous fights between Du Plessis and Chimaev; however, their recent respectful interaction indicates focus and readiness without distractions.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter. Chimaev’s previous setbacks have not impacted his current training camp as per recent reports.
  • Fight takes place at United Center in Chicago, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters have strong fan support and media hype, potentially increasing pressure but also motivation.
  • High motivation from both; Du Plessis aiming to defend his title and solidify legacy, questioning Chimaev’s response to first loss; Chimaev eager to maintain undefeated record and claim championship, signaling confidence and aggressiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dricus Du Plessis: +205, Khamzat Chimaev: -250 Khamzat Chimaev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dricus Du Plessis +5.5: +130, Khamzat Chimaev -5.5: -180 Khamzat Chimaev -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Khamzat Chimaev -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Khamzat Chimaev wins on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Khamzat Chimaev wins via late stoppage (Round 3)


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Portland Timbers vs. FC Cincinnati Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Providence Park, Portland

Game Overview

Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati meet in an important MLS Western Conference clash, both seeking to bounce back after recent defeats and bolster their playoff prospects.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Portland Timbers have a slightly better recent form (slightly higher win percentage around 36%) than FC Cincinnati (34%) but both teams have experienced recent losses; Timbers lost last round to FC Dallas, Cincinnati lost 1-0 to Charlotte and are off a poor patch with 4 losses in last 5 games.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Cincinnati with a strong record against Portland, making them difficult opponents despite being away; however, the Timbers have home advantage and a slightly more stable defensive record.
  • No specific major injuries reported in available data, but usual squad fitness unknown—assumed equal impact.
  • Match played at Portland's Providence Park gives home advantage; both teams motivated for playoff positioning, but Portland more dependent on a home win.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure vital points to maintain or improve playoff positioning; Portland must capitalize on home field while Cincinnati aim to recover form and capitalize on strong head-to-head history.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Portland Timbers: +165, FC Cincinnati: +153, Draw: +248 FC Cincinnati ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread FC Cincinnati -0.5: 1.45, Portland Timbers +50: -1.96 FC Cincinnati -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -1.49, Under 2.5: 1.12 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Cincinnati 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Cincinnati at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Cincinnati moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Jared Cannonier vs. Michael Page Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jared Cannonier vs Michael Page – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event Venue (not specified)

Game Overview

Middleweight bout at UFC 319 featuring Jared Cannonier, the experienced 41-year-old gatekeeper known for power and durability vs Michael Page, a more youthful and dynamic striker with a rising profile in the middleweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cannonier holds an 18-8 record with 10 KOs and 3 submissions, recently struggling against top contenders. Page is 23-3 with 12 KOs and 4 submissions, showing an upward trajectory and a notable recent win after moving to middleweight.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between Cannonier and Page; styles contrast with Cannonier’s power and grit vs Page’s elusive striking.
  • No current injury reports or suspensions reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • The fight takes place as part of UFC 319 main card, adding pressure; 'Venom' Page has more to gain to enter title contention which may increase motivation.
  • Page is highly motivated to break into the title picture with a strong UFC performance; Cannonier fights to maintain relevance but has less title upside.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jared Cannonier +164, Michael Page -198 Michael Page ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Jared Cannonier +3.5 -165, Michael Page -3.5 120 Michael Page -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -270, Under 2.5 200 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Page -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 86%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 86% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Page by decision

Predicted Score: Michael Page wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Tim Elliott vs. Kai Asakura Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Flyweight bout at UFC 319 featuring Tim Elliott and Kai Asakura, both determined contenders with contrasting styles: Elliott known for his grappling and durability, Asakura for striking and finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kai Asakura enters with strong recent wins and momentum, showing powerful striking and solid conditioning, whereas Tim Elliott has had inconsistent form and a recent layoff due to undisclosed reasons.
  • No previous fights between these two competitors; this is their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, although Elliott's recent inactivity might suggest minor undisclosed issues.
  • Fight takes place in Chicago, a neutral venue with no apparent home advantage. Media and fan sentiment strongly favor Asakura.
  • Asakura is motivated to ascend in the flyweight rankings and prove dominance; Elliott seeks a comeback win to regain contender status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kai Asakura -325, Tim Elliott +260 Kai Asakura ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Kai Asakura -3.5 -150, Tim Elliott +3.5 +110 Kai Asakura -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -135, Under 2.5 +105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kai Asakura -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kai Asakura to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Kai Asakura wins by round 3 KO/TKO


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Baysangur Susurkaev vs. Eric Nolan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Baysangur Susurkaev vs Eric Nolan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Baysangur Susurkaev, a fast-rising undefeated prospect (9-0), makes a record-setting fast UFC debut just 4 days after winning his contract with a first-round knockout. Eric Nolan (8-3), the CFFC middleweight champion on a 4-fight winning streak with 3 consecutive KOs, moves up from welterweight to middleweight for his UFC debut. Both fighters show knockout power, but Susurkaev's speed, reach advantage, and frantic recent activity mark him as a heavy favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Susurkaev is undefeated with 8 of 9 wins by knockout, mostly early finishes. Nolan is hot with 4 straight wins including 3 knockouts and holds a title in Cage Fury Fighting Championships.
  • No previous matchup between Susurkaev and Nolan; first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Susurkaev accepted the fight on just 4 days rest after Dana White’s Contender Series victory — fastest UFC debut turnaround in history — demonstrating high confidence and motivation. The fight takes place at UFC 319 in Chicago.
  • Susurkaev highly motivated to prove himself on short notice in UFC, supported by Dana White’s praise. Nolan motivated by UFC debut and moving up weight class, which may affect performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Susurkaev -1000, Nolan +675 Susurkaev ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Susurkaev -1.5 Susurkaev by more than 1.5 rounds (i.e., finishes early) ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+155), Under 1.5 (-195) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baysangur Susurkaev -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev to win by first-round knockout

Predicted Score: Susurkaev wins by first-round knockout


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Colorado Rapids vs. Atlanta United FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Game Overview

Colorado Rapids host Atlanta United FC in an MLS clash where Colorado is favored to win, supported by better recent form and home advantage, while Atlanta struggles slightly on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Colorado Rapids have shown stronger recent form with more consistent results at home compared to Atlanta United FC, who have been inconsistent away from home.
  • Historically, Colorado Rapids have a slight edge in recent matchups against Atlanta United FC, especially playing at home.
  • No major injuries reported that significantly affect the starting lineups of either team at this time.
  • Playing at high altitude in Colorado is a known challenge for visiting teams like Atlanta, potentially impacting their stamina and performance.
  • Colorado Rapids are motivated to solidify playoff positioning, while Atlanta United FC need points but are less stable in motivation due to mid-table positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta United FC: 1.89, Colorado Rapids: 1.18, Draw: 2.9 Colorado Rapids ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Atlanta United FC +50: -1.49, Colorado Rapids -0.5: 1.13 Colorado Rapids -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 3.5: 1.22, Under 3.5: -1.64 Under 3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Colorado Rapids 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Colorado Rapids at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Colorado Rapids to win on the moneyline, with a spread bet on Colorado Rapids -0.5 and the match ending under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Austin FC vs. FC Dallas Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Austin FC vs FC Dallas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

Game Overview

The MLS matchup features Austin FC hosting FC Dallas at Q2 Stadium. Austin FC holds a home advantage and shows stronger recent form and goal difference compared to FC Dallas, a team struggling with defensive issues and lower win percentage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Austin FC has a better recent form with 3 wins, 2 draws, and fewer losses, averaging around 1.65 goals per game while conceding 1.41 goals. FC Dallas scores less and concedes more, with a poorer defensive record and only about a 32% win rate.
  • Recent direct encounters favor Austin FC marginally, with their better home performance and slightly higher goal production against FC Dallas.
  • No critical injuries reported for Austin FC or FC Dallas affecting starting lineups significantly.
  • Austin FC enjoys home field advantage in a supportive stadium environment; travel and fatigue for FC Dallas may impact performance negatively.
  • Austin FC is motivated to maintain playoff positioning with recent form; FC Dallas is under pressure due to defensive vulnerabilities and a need for points to improve standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC: -117, FC Dallas: 280, Draw: 285 Austin FC ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Austin FC -0.5: -122, FC Dallas +50: -109 Austin FC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -145, Under 2.5: 109 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin FC 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Austin FC at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Austin FC to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the game to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Field, Minnesota

Game Overview

Minnesota United FC hosts Seattle Sounders FC in a critical MLS match with Minnesota favored at home. Both teams have similar records, but Minnesota has home advantage and slightly better straight-up performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Minnesota United is solid at home with a 14-11 overall record and positive unit gains, while Seattle has a comparable record of 12-5-8 but poorer ATS with 8-16. Minnesota shows better recent form against the spread.
  • Recent matchups suggest a competitive balance, but Minnesota have a slight edge playing at home against Seattle.
  • No specific injury updates available; assume both squads reasonably healthy for this matchup.
  • Neutral weather conditions expected; no travel strain for Minnesota as hosts. Seattle travel roles impose minor stamina concerns.
  • Minnesota appears more motivated to secure a home win to strengthen playoff position, while Seattle’s performance has been uneven, possibly reducing away motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Minnesota United FC: +116, Seattle Sounders FC: +216, Draw: +260 Minnesota United FC ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Minnesota United FC -0.5: +111, Seattle Sounders FC +50: -147 Minnesota United FC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -143, Under 2.5: +108 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota United FC 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota United FC moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Chicago Fire vs. St. Louis City SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL

Game Overview

Chicago Fire hosts St. Louis City SC in a 2025 MLS regular season match. Chicago Fire enters with stronger recent form and home advantage, while St. Louis City SC is a relatively new team still seeking consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chicago Fire has shown better consistency this season and maintains a positive home record. St. Louis City SC struggles for wins and sits low in MLS standings with poor playoff odds.
  • Limited H2H history due to St. Louis City SC's recent MLS entry, but prior matches suggest Chicago Fire holds an advantage.
  • No major injuries reported for Chicago Fire. St. Louis City SC’s key scorer João Klauss is available but overall squad depth is limited.
  • Game at home benefits Chicago Fire; weather and travel factors neutral given both teams’ MLS travel schedules.
  • Chicago Fire seeks to solidify playoff positioning; St. Louis City SC aims to build momentum but faces an uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Fire -172, St. Louis City SC +390, Draw +340 Chicago Fire ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Chicago Fire -0.5 -179, St. Louis City SC +50 +132 Chicago Fire -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 +107, Under 3.5 -143 Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Fire -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Fire to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately high scoring game over 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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