Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-10
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

Game Overview

Chicago Fire hosts Los Angeles FC in an MLS matchup featuring two mid-table teams with comparable form. Chicago has slightly better defensive stats but a lower goal-scoring rate. LAFC plays with strong offensive capability and top goalkeeper Hugo Lloris, which may neutralize Chicago's attack. Both teams have recent momentum in wins and show competitive motivation for playoff positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chicago Fire have scored 45 goals and conceded 40 (goal difference +5) with average 1.46 points per game and rank 7th in expected goals (xG 40.1). LAFC shows 10-6-6 record with strong offensive output but slightly weaker defense (concede around 1.29 goals/game). Chicago has a higher goals against rate while LAFC features Hugo Lloris in goal, enhancing defensive stability.
• Recent H2H data shows a balanced matchup with LAFC slightly favored away but Chicago holding home advantage at Soldier Field. Both teams have demonstrated resilience but no dominant trend favors either side decisively.
• No major injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups significantly. Both squads expected to field near full-strength teams.
• Match will be played at Soldier Field with home crowd support favoring Chicago. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard with no extreme factors influencing play.
• Both teams aiming for playoff positioning, motivating competitive effort. Chicago slightly more motivated due to home advantage and recent form, while LAFC aims to maintain momentum on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chicago Fire +145, Los Angeles FC +169, Draw +255	Chicago Fire	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Chicago Fire -0.5 at 1.39, LAFC +50 at -1.89	Chicago Fire -0.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5 goals -1.75, Under 2.5 goals +1.30	Over 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chicago Fire 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chicago Fire at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Fire to win on the moneyline, Chicago Fire to cover the -0.5 spread, and Over 2.5 goals to hit.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-10
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX

Game Overview

FC Dallas hosts Portland Timbers in an MLS regular season match at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas has a weaker defensive record but plays at home, while Portland has a better points per game ratio and overall form.

Key Factors to Consider

• FC Dallas has a record of 6-7-11 with a goal difference of -10, scoring 35 and conceding 45 goals, averaging 1.04 points per game. Portland Timbers are 10-7-7 with a positive goal difference, averaging about 1.5 goals per game. Portland has a better recent form and higher overall points.
• The fixtures between these teams have been competitive with no clear dominant side recently, but Portland has been slightly better away historically.
• No critical injuries reported impacting starters for either side; goalkeepers Maarten Paes (Dallas) and Maxime Crepeau (Portland) expected to start.
• Home-field advantage for FC Dallas at Toyota Stadium; weather and other external factors appear neutral.
• Portland Timbers sit higher in the standings and are motivated to keep pace in playoffs race; FC Dallas have less to play for but will look to defend home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	FC Dallas 112, Portland Timbers 218, Draw 265	FC Dallas	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	FC Dallas -0.5 at 107, Portland Timbers +50 at -143	FC Dallas -0.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 at -161, Under 2.5 at 122	Under 2.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	FC Dallas 10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Dallas to win on the moneyline with a narrow margin and a moderately low scoring game.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Nashville SC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-10
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO

Game Overview

Nashville SC (14-5-6) visits St. Louis City SC (4-6-14) in an MLS regular-season match. Nashville is stronger this season with better form and defensive stats, while St. Louis has struggled both offensively and defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nashville averages 1.12 goals/game with 1.59 conceded and holds a 23% win rate, significantly better than St. Louis with 0.75 points/game, -16 goal difference, and 1.67 goals conceded per game.
• Recent H2H data is limited; however, Nashville is generally the stronger side and currently priced as the favorite.
• No major injury reports available for either team at this time.
• Match played at St. Louis home ground CITYPARK, which may provide slight home advantage but St. Louis' poor defensive form diminishes this.
• Nashville is competing for a higher playoff position with stronger recent form, while St. Louis is struggling and looking to improve their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nashville SC: 110, St. Louis City SC: 220, Draw: 270	Nashville SC	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Nashville SC -0.5: 105, St. Louis City SC +50: -139	Nashville SC -0.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -156, Under 2.5: 117	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nashville SC 16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nashville SC to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Nashville SC 2 – 1 St. Louis City SC

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-10
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Fluminense in a critical Brasileirão Serie A fixture with Bahia currently 4th and Fluminense 9th in the standings. Bahia are in better recent form and stronger at home, while Fluminense struggles on the road and has some key injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia's recent form is solid with 8 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses overall and a strong 6-2-0 record at home. Fluminense has a weaker 7-2-7 record overall, with only 2-1-5 away, indicating struggles on the road.
• Historical data and recent H2H slightly favor Bahia, who have a better goal difference and higher league position. Wincomparator places Bahia win probability at about 54%, with Fluminense at 27% and Draw at 19%.
• Fluminense is reportedly missing some key players affecting both defense and attack, undermining their away performance. Bahia's injury situation is comparatively stable.
• The match is at Bahia's home stadium, where they have a strong home record. Fluminense's recent travel and fatigue from international fixtures may affect performance.
• Bahia, being higher in the table and solidifying a top-4 position, are highly motivated. Fluminense, mid-table with inconsistent form, have less immediate pressure but need points to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bahia -105, Fluminense 310, Draw 230	Bahia	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Bahia -0.5 100, Fluminense +50 -120	Bahia -0.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2 -122, Under 2 102	Under 2	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bahia 7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match will end with under 2 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 1-0