AZ Alkmaar hosts Groningen in an early-season Eredivisie match where AZ is favored based on home strength, recent performances, and squad quality. Groningen looks to overcome a mixed recent record and tougher away challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
AZ Alkmaar has shown strong home form and consistent attacking output, while Groningen has had inconsistent results recently, with less defensive solidity on the road.
Historically, AZ Alkmaar dominates head-to-head meetings against Groningen, especially at home, with a high frequency of home wins and multiple goals scored.
No significant injuries reported for AZ Alkmaar; Groningen has minor fitness concerns but no confirmed absences impacting starting lineup severely.
Match is held at AZ's home ground with strong fan support; no adverse weather or travel complications expected.
AZ aims to start the season strongly to build momentum and secure European qualification spots, while Groningen's motivation is moderate but hampered by tougher away fixtures.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
AZ_Alkmaar: -197, Groningen: 475, Draw: 335
AZ Alkmaar
β β β β β 78%
Spread
AZ_Alkmaar_-1: -118, Groningen_+1: -102
AZ Alkmaar -1
β β β β β 72%
Over/under
Over_2.75: -110, Under_2.75: -110
Over 2.75 goals
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AZ Alkmaar 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 18%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Ajax, a historically dominant Eredivisie club playing at home, is heavily favored against newly promoted SC Telstar, who have struggled in top-tier Dutch football. This season opener sees Ajax aiming to start strong for their league title ambitions, while Telstar aims at survival.
Key Factors to Consider
Ajax demonstrated strong form finishing second last season with a potent attack and solid defense; Telstar has a weaker squad and less competitive record, especially away.
Ajax won all previous encounters decisively, including a recent 7-0 Eredivisie victory and multiple clean sheets. The last three meetings featured high-scoring games largely dominated by Ajax.
No significant injuries reported impacting either team's expected starting lineup, allowing Ajax to field their strongest squad.
Home advantage at the iconic Johan Cruijff ArenA favors Ajax, combined with crowd support and familiar conditions.
Ajax is highly motivated to claim the league title after recent setback seasons, while Telstarβs motivation is survival but with lower expectations overall.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
ajax: -700, telstar: 1300, draw: 750
Ajax
β β β β β 85%
Spread
ajax: -2.25 -105, telstar: 2.25 -115
Ajax -2.25
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
over: 3.5 -115, under: 3.5 -105
Under 3.5 goals
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ajax -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ajax to win outright, cover the -2.25 spread, and the game to have under 3.5 goals
FC Zwolle hosts FC Twente Enschede in the Eredivisie season opener, with Twente favored based on recent form, historical head-to-head results, and stronger squad depth.
Key Factors to Consider
Twente finished higher last season with better form (5th place, stronger recent performances) while Zwolle struggled near the relegation zone (15th). Both lost their recent friendlies but show attacking potential.
Twente have a slight edge historically with 13 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses against Zwolle. The most common scoreline is a 1-1 draw, but Twente won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
No major injury concerns reported for either side ahead of the match; squads are near full strength.
Match at Zwolle's home ground which could aid the home underdog, but no significant external disruptions noted.
Both clubs motivated to start season positively; Twente with higher ambitions, Zwolle eager to improve relegation-threatened status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
FC Zwoll: 270, FC Twente: -107, Draw: 260
FC Twente Enschede
β β β β β 74%
Spread
FC Twente -0.5: -105, FC Zwolle +50: -115
FC Twente Enschede -0.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118
Over 2.75 goals
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Twente Enschede 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
The Parramatta Eels host the North Queensland Cowboys in a crucial Round 23 NRL matchup. Parramatta enter as favorites based on recent form and home advantage, but Cowboys show improving momentum and possess the potential to upset, especially given Parramatta's recent vulnerability against physical sides.
Key Factors to Consider
Parramatta have shown a resurgence late season with renewed grit and key playmaker form, whereas North Queensland have defensive struggles conceding 32+ points in many recent games but are regaining key players and building confidence on the road.
Historically balanced with Parramatta winning five of the last seven clashes, but no recent decisive dominance. Both teams have similar metrics across attack and defense in recent clashes.
North Queensland welcoming back key figures like Jason Taumalolo and Jake Clifford, improving their cohesion. Parramatta appear relatively stable with Mitch Moses influential.
CommBank Stadium is a traditionally strong home ground for Parramatta, but recent cracks have appeared making home advantage less secure. The match has high stakes in avoiding the wooden spoon, motivating both teams.
Both teams are motivated by ladder pressure and late-season survival stakes, with Parramatta aiming to maintain momentum and Cowboys to capitalize on psychological edge as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Parramatta Eels -164, North Queensland Cowboys +142, Draw +2100
Parramatta Eels
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Parramatta Eels -4.5 (-110), North Queensland Cowboys +4.5 (-120)
Parramatta Eels -4.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115)
Under 47.5 points
β β β β β 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Parramatta Eels 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 47.5 35%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Parramatta Eels to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 point spread, and the total score to go under 47.5 points.
Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 22 – North Queensland Cowboys 14
The Gold Coast Titans host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a pivotal NRL clash. South Sydney has dominated recent head-to-head meetings with a 74% win rate over the last several matchups. The Titans are slight favorites based on current moneyline odds but face a tough challenge given Rabbitohs' recent form and historical dominance.
Key Factors to Consider
South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown consistent strong performance in the 2025 season with a solid winning streak and high-scoring games. Gold Coast Titans have struggled against top-tier teams but have home advantage and a motivated squad.
Rabbitohs lead the last 23 meetings with 17 wins to Titans' 6, including several decisive wins by large margins, making them historically dominant in this matchup.
No major injuries reported for either team that significantly impact the starting lineup or key playmakers.
Game being played at the Titans' home ground offers a slight edge in conditions and crowd support. No weather or external conditions expected to negatively affect play.
Rabbitohs are likely motivated to maintain their dominance and secure finals positioning, while Titans seek to leverage home conditions to upset the favored Rabbitohs.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Gold Coast Titans: -168, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 144, Draw: 2000
Gold Coast Titans
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Gold Coast Titans -4.5: -105, South Sydney Rabbitohs +4.5: -125
Gold Coast Titans -4.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 53.5: -115, Under 53.5: -115
Under 53.5
β β β ββ 63%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gold Coast Titans -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 53.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gold Coast Titans to win on moneyline and cover the spread with the total points going under 53.5
Predicted Score: Gold Coast Titans 26 – 22 South Sydney Rabbitohs
San Jose Earthquakes face Vancouver Whitecaps FC in an MLS clash with San Jose's attack showing strong expected goals but defensive vulnerabilities. Vancouver has demonstrated better overall season form and ranking, with solid goalkeeping and a slightly better record on points.
Key Factors to Consider
San Jose has a record of 7-8-10, scoring 47 goals but conceding 44, with a moderate save percentage of 66.4% and 4 clean sheets. Vancouver has a stronger season at 13-6-5, ranked 5th in MLS with 45 points and a better save percentage around 68.3%.
Recent matches are closely contested with no clear domination. Both sides have shown the ability to score but also concede, suggesting a competitive game.
No critical injuries reported for either side, lineups not yet announced.
Match is at San Jose's home ground, potentially adding home advantage. Weather and travel conditions are normal with no significant disruptions noted.
Vancouver's higher table positioning and point accumulation provide stronger incentive to maintain form, whereas San Jose will look to improve their inconsistent season performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Jose +121, Vancouver +186, Draw +290
San Jose Earthquakes Win
β β β ββ 62%
Spread
San Jose -0.5 @ 1.15, Vancouver +50 @ -1.54
San Jose Earthquakes -0.5
β β β ββ 58%
Over/under
Over 3.5 @ 1.01, Under 3.5 @ -1.35
Over 3.5 Goals
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Jose Earthquakes -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes to win on the moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and over 3.5 goals scored in total.
San Diego FC visits Sporting Kansas City in a MLS regular season match with San Diego currently the clear favorites based on form and odds, but playing away from home at a venue where Sporting KC traditionally defends tightly.
Key Factors to Consider
San Diego FC boasts a strong record (14-4-7) with solid recent form, averaging better points and defensive stability, whereas Sporting KC struggles (6-6-12) with a poor goal difference (-9) and a leaky defense conceding 1.88 goals per 90 minutes.
Historical data and H2H is limited but trends indicate San Diego has upper hand recently against Sporting KC, supported by higher energy and better consistency.
No significant injury updates reported for either team impacting the starting line-ups materially; expected goalkeepers are John Pulskamp (SKC) and Pablo Sisniega (San Diego).
Home advantage for Sporting KC is notable but currently mitigated by their defensive frailties. Weather and travel are typical for MLS mid-summer with no exceptional impacts noted.
San Diego fights for better positioning with a strong incentive to maintain winning momentum; Sporting KC looks for points but motivation might be lower due to their mid-table standing and inconsistent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego FC: -102, Sporting Kansas City: 238, Draw: 285
San Diego FC
β β β β β 76%
Spread
San Diego FC: -0.5 -106, Sporting Kansas City: +50 -125
San Diego FC -0.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over: 3.5 115, Under: 3.5 -154
Under 3.5
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego FC 29%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: San Diego FC at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego FC win
Predicted Score: San Diego FC 2 – 1 Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas hosts Portland Timbers in an MLS regular season match at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas has a weaker defensive record but plays at home, while Portland has a better points per game ratio and overall form.
Key Factors to Consider
FC Dallas has a record of 6-7-11 with a goal difference of -10, scoring 35 and conceding 45 goals, averaging 1.04 points per game. Portland Timbers are 10-7-7 with a positive goal difference, averaging about 1.5 goals per game. Portland has a better recent form and higher overall points.
The fixtures between these teams have been competitive with no clear dominant side recently, but Portland has been slightly better away historically.
No critical injuries reported impacting starters for either side; goalkeepers Maarten Paes (Dallas) and Maxime Crepeau (Portland) expected to start.
Home-field advantage for FC Dallas at Toyota Stadium; weather and other external factors appear neutral.
Portland Timbers sit higher in the standings and are motivated to keep pace in playoffs race; FC Dallas have less to play for but will look to defend home turf.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
FC Dallas 112, Portland Timbers 218, Draw 265
FC Dallas
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
FC Dallas -0.5 at 107, Portland Timbers +50 at -143
FC Dallas -0.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 at -161, Under 2.5 at 122
Under 2.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Dallas 10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 33%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Dallas to win on the moneyline with a narrow margin and a moderately low scoring game.