Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-01
- Time: 11:35 PM UTC
- Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-46) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (54-56) with starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw (4-2, 3.62 ERA) for the Dodgers and Shane Baz (8-7, 4.61 ERA) for the Rays. The Dodgers are favorites on the moneyline and spread with the total set at 9 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Dodgers have a stronger record and recent offensive resurgence, while Rays have been inconsistent but are motivated at home. Kershaw's team wins 60% of starts when favored; Baz has mixed results and this is his first start vs Dodgers.
- Kershaw is 2-0 with a 4.44 ERA career vs Rays; Baz has no prior starts vs Dodgers. Dodgers generally have an edge in recent H2H meetings.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starters or key hitters.
- Game played at Rays home field; weather and field conditions normal with no impacts reported.
- Dodgers aim to recover from a recent loss and maintain playoff positioning. Rays look to use home advantage and keep improving despite a sub-.500 record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dodgers -138, Rays +125 | Dodgers | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Dodgers -1.5 +110, Rays +1.5 -130 | Dodgers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 9 -125, Under 9 +105 | Over 9 runs | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Dodgers win; Spread: Dodgers -1.5; Over/Under: Over 9 runs
Predicted Score: Dodgers 5 – Rays 3