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Sao Paulo vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: MorumBIS

Game Overview

This is the second leg of the 2025 Copa Libertadores Round of 16 between São Paulo and Atlético Nacional S.A. The first leg ended in a 0-0 draw at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, giving a balanced outlook for this decisive home match for São Paulo. Both teams have shown solid form recently with strong defensive capabilities, reflected in the scoreless first leg.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has been unbeaten in their last 9 matches while Atlético Nacional remains unbeaten in their last 6 matches, demonstrating strong form from both sides. São Paulo has a slight edge in recent home performance, and their recent victories in domestic and continental play suggest good momentum.
  • Historically, the two teams have met 7 times with Atlético Nacional leading with 3 wins, São Paulo having 2 wins, and 2 draws. The recent 0-0 first leg result indicates a tightly contested matchup.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this fixture at present, but the lineups will only be finalized close to match time. Absence of key players could affect either team due to the match's high stakes.
  • Playing at home (MorumBIS) gives São Paulo a distinct advantage with familiar conditions and local crowd support. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for August in Brazil, likely not impacting the game negatively.
  • São Paulo has high motivation to advance, especially at home, needing to secure at least a 1-0 win to progress. Atlético Nacional is motivated to score away to avoid elimination and rely on defensive resilience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A: 400, São Paulo: -122, Draw: 235 São Paulo win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Atlético Nacional S.A: 50 @ +100, São Paulo: -0.5 @ -130 São Paulo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -115, Under 2: -113 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 180%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 180% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is favored narrowly due to home advantage and historical home form. However, Atlético Nacional's solid defense and the 0-0 first leg keep this match highly competitive. A close match with a likely narrow São Paulo win or a low-scoring draw seems most probable.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 19, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 19, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sao Paulo vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Sao Paulo -122 180%
Racing Club vs. Peñarol Montevideo Prediction Under 2 115 23%
Real Madrid vs. CA Osasuna Prediction Over 3 -108 16%

Combined Odds: +653 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $150.7

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Atlético Nacional S.A vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Nacional S.A vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin, Colombia

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores Round of 16 first leg match features Atlético Nacional S.A hosting Sao Paulo. Atlético Nacional is coming off a strong domestic season placing 2nd in the Colombian Primera A, while Sao Paulo brings their traditional competitive edge from Brazil. The match is critical as the first leg in the knockout stage, with both sides eager to secure an advantageous result ahead of the second leg.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Nacional has shown solid form at home in international and domestic play, boasting a balanced attack and resilient defense. Sao Paulo tends to be more conservative away, relying on tactical discipline and quick counter-attacks. Recent performances indicate Atlético Nacional holds a slight edge in momentum and home advantage.
  • Previous encounters between Atlético Nacional and Sao Paulo in Copa Libertadores and other CONMEBOL competitions show tightly contested matches, typically low-scoring with both teams capable of converting chances. Their historical head-to-head favors a draw or narrow wins for either side, exemplifying competitive parity.
  • No major injury updates are reported for either team affecting key starters, allowing both lineups to likely field optimal squads for this important fixture.
  • Home altitude and local fan support favor Atlético Nacional, with Estadio Atanasio Girardot’s environment known to challenge visiting teams. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Medellin at this time of year with no adverse impacts forecasted.
  • High for both teams given the elimination format of the round of 16 and the prestige of advancing in the Libertadores. Atlético Nacional seek to capitalize on home advantage while Sao Paulo aim to secure a draw or narrow away victory to position well for the second leg.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A: 123, Sao Paulo: 265, Draw: 215 Atlético Nacional to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Atlético Nacional S.A -1.0: -150, Sao Paulo +1.0: +130 Atlético Nacional -1.0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: -186, Under 1.5: +155 Under 1.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A 72%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 53%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Nacional S.A at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Nacional is favored to win this first leg narrowly, leveraging home advantage and current form to edge out a 1-0 or 2-1 victory. Sao Paulo will be difficult to break down, making a high-scoring result less likely, but they remain capable of scoring on the counter.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional de Montevideo vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional de Montevideo vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-28
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gran Parque Central, Montevideo, Uruguay

Game Overview

Nacional de Montevideo hosts Atlético Nacional S.A. in a Group F match of the 2025 Copa Libertadores. Nacional currently ranks 4th, while Atlético Nacional leads the group. The match is crucial for both teams as they seek to secure a favorable position in the group stage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Nacional is currently performing well, leading the group. Nacional, however, faces a tough challenge as they are in fourth place.
  • The head-to-head between Nacional and Atlético Nacional includes a recent match, where Nacional is looking to improve their standings.
  • No specific injury information is available for this match. However, team lineups and player health will be critical.
  • Home advantage might benefit Nacional, but Atlético Nacional's form could offset this.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Atlético Nacional seeking to maintain their lead and Nacional aiming to climb the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional de Montevideo: 145, Atlético Nacional S.A: 185, Draw: 215 Atlético Nacional S.A or Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Nacional de Montevideo: 0 -132, Atlético Nacional S.A: 0 102 Atlético Nacional S.A to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -118 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional de Montevideo 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nacional de Montevideo at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current standings and recent performances, Atlético Nacional is favored to win or at least draw, but Nacional's home advantage could make the match competitive.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 28, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 28, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Atlanta United FC vs. Orlando City SC Prediction Atlanta United FC 148 75%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC Prediction Over 2.5 -123 31%
Nacional de Montevideo vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Nacional de Montevideo 145 25%

Combined Odds: +1002 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $220.32

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Atlético Nacional S.A vs. Bahia Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Nacional S.A vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 14, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin, Colombia

Game Overview

Atlético Nacional S.A hosts Bahia in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group F match. Atlético Nacional is favored to win, given their strong performance in the Colombian Primera A and their home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Nacional has been performing well in their domestic league and has a strong home record. Bahia, on the other hand, has struggled in away matches.
  • There is limited recent head-to-head data, but Atlético Nacional's home advantage is a significant factor.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Weather conditions in Medellin are typically favorable for soccer, which could enhance the home team's performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points in the Copa Libertadores, but Atlético Nacional's home advantage and recent form give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A: 100, Bahia: 295, Draw: 215 Atlético Nacional S.A to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Atlético Nacional S.A: -0.5 -102, Bahia: 50 -128 Atlético Nacional S.A to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Nacional S.A is likely to win the match.

Predicted Score: Atlético Nacional S.A 2, Bahia 0


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Atlético Nacional S.A vs. Internacional-RS Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Nacional S.A vs Internacional-RS – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Game Overview

Atlético Nacional S.A hosts Internacional-RS in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group F match, taking place on May 9, 2025. Atlético Nacional is currently first in the Colombian Primera A, while Internacional aims to secure crucial points away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Nacional has shown strong domestic form, while Internacional's performance has been mixed in the Libertadores so far.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Atlético Nacional's home advantage could play a significant role.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Home advantage often benefits Atlético Nacional, with the passionate crowd at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to win, given the group stage context.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A: 130, Internacional-RS: 210, Draw: 230 Atlético Nacional S.A to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Atlético Nacional S.A: -0.25 -105, Internacional-RS: 25 -125 Atlético Nacional S.A to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Nacional S.A at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the combination of Atlético Nacional's strong home form and Internacional's inconsistent performance, Atlético Nacional is slightly favored to win.

Predicted Score: 2-1 for Atlético Nacional S.A


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Bahia vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-25
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

The CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group F clash between Bahia and Atlético Nacional is set to take place at Arena Fonte Nova. Both teams are contending fiercely in the group, with Bahia currently ranked 2nd and Atlético Nacional 3rd. Recent matches show competitive balance with both teams having scored and conceded similar goals. Key players to watch include Bahia's Jean Lucas and Atlético Nacional's A. Morelos, both with 1 goal so far in the group stage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has scored 2 goals and conceded 2 in the group, maintaining 4 clean sheets in recent matches, showing defensive solidity. Atlético Nacional has scored 3 and conceded 3 with fewer clean sheets but higher shots on goal, indicating a more attacking style. Bahia has home advantage playing at Arena Fonte Nova.
  • Previous encounters show tight matches with no decisive dominance by either team, though away matches have been challenging for both sides. Recent form indicates balanced competition within Group F.
  • No specific injury data was available, suggesting both teams are likely close to full strength.
  • Playing in Salvador gives Bahia home crowd advantage. Weather or pitch conditions are not reported as an issue. Both teams are motivated by group standings and advancement prospects.
  • Bahia, positioned 2nd in Group F, aims to consolidate their standing with a home win, while Atlético Nacional, sitting 3rd, need to gain points away to improve their qualification chances, adding to competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: -120, Atlético Nacional: 320, Draw: 245 Bahia win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia: -0.5 -120, Atlético Nacional: +50 -110 Bahia to cover -0.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering the home advantage, Bahia’s defensive record, and slightly better recent form, Bahia is favored to win narrowly. Expect a competitive match with limited goal margin.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Internacional-RS vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Internacional-RS vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-10
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

The CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group F matchup between Internacional-RS and Atlético Nacional S.A. is expected to be competitive. Internacional, playing at home, looks to capitalize on their strong form and crowd support. Atlético Nacional, despite being underdogs, has shown resilience in recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional has been consistent at home, but their recent away performances have been mixed. Atlético Nacional has shown strong defensive capabilities, with victories in their last two home games.
  • Limited historical data is available, but Internacional typically holds an advantage at home.
  • No major injury concerns have been reported for either team.
  • Weather conditions in Porto Alegre could influence gameplay, with temperatures around 78°F.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure crucial points in Group F.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional -195, Atlético Nacional 575, Draw 285 Internacional win ★★★★☆ 70% Internacional win -100%
Spread Internacional -1 -118, Atlético Nacional +1 -112 Internacional covers the spread ★★★☆☆ 60% Internacional covers the spread -100%
Over_under Over 2.25 -115, Under 2.25 -115 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55% Over 2.25 goals -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional-RS 292%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Internacional-RS at 292% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Internacional is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.

Predicted Score: Internacional 2 – Atlético Nacional 1


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Atlético Nacional S.A vs. Nacional de Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Nacional S.A vs Nacional de Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-03
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Game Overview

Atlético Nacional enfrentará a Nacional de Montevideo en su debut en la Copa Libertadores 2025. Nacional de Uruguay se encuentra en una situación complicada tras el despido de su entrenador Martín Lasarte y llegará con un entrenador interino.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Nacional se mantiene en las primeras posiciones de la Liga BetPlay, aunque no ha ganado en sus últimos dos partidos. Nacional de Montevideo está pasando por una mala racha sin victorias en seis partidos de nueve jugados en el Torneo Apertura.
  • No hay registros recientes de enfrentamientos directos entre los dos equipos en la Copa Libertadores, por lo que la experiencia previa no es un factor decisivo.
  • No hay información disponible sobre lesiones específicas que puedan afectar significativamente este partido.
  • Atlético Nacional tendrá el apoyo de su hinchada en el estadio Atanasio Girardot, lo que puede influir positivamente en el rendimiento del equipo.
  • Atlético Nacional busca aprovechar el momento de debilidad de su rival para asegurar una victoria importante en su casa.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -130 (Atlético Nacional), 350 (Nacional de Montevideo), 255 (Draw) Atlético Nacional ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -0.75 -105 (Atlético Nacional), 75 -125 (Nacional de Montevideo) Atlético Nacional -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -122 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Nacional es favorito para ganar este partido, considerando su mejor posición en la tabla y el contexto de crisis en Nacional de Uruguay.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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