Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-08
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Arena MRV
Game Overview
Atletico Mineiro hosts Sport Recife in a Série A match, with Atletico Mineiro favored due to their stronger recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atletico Mineiro is undefeated in their last four matches at home, while Sport Recife has struggled, winning just once in their last eight games.
- Atletico Mineiro has a positive head-to-head record against Sport Recife, especially in recent matches.
- No significant injury updates impacting the lineups.
- Home advantage and fan support should favor Atletico Mineiro.
- Atletico Mineiro is motivated to bounce back from their recent loss and maintain a strong league position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -164 (Atletico Mineiro), 475 (Sport Recife), 265 (Draw) | Atletico Mineiro Win | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | -0.75 -122 (Atletico Mineiro), 75 102 (Sport Recife) | Atletico Mineiro -0.75 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 -112, Under 2.25 -108 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Atletico Mineiro 21% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atletico Mineiro will have a strong home win against Sport Recife, with a low number of goals scored.
Predicted Score: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sport Recife