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Mirassol vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 26 Apr 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, Brazil

Game Overview

Mirassol (11th) hosts Atletico Mineiro (17th) in a Brasileiro Serie A clash where both seek points for league advancement. Mirassol holds a 50% home win rate, while Mineiro has 3 draws in their last 6 matches but carries a 3-game away losing streak[5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol demonstrates balanced home form (50% win rate). Atletico Mineiro struggles away with recent defensive frailties, conceding in 3 consecutive away defeats[5].
  • No recent direct H2H stats available, but Mineiro shows higher historical competitiveness with 78% six-month win rate vs Mirassol's 33% (season context unclear as these stats appear contradictory to league positions)[3][5].
  • No injury data available in sources
  • Home advantage for Mirassol at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, a venue where they've demonstrated mid-table stability[5].
  • Both teams need points to escape lower-table positions, with Mineiro particularly desperate given their 17th-place standing[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol 210 | Draw 230 | Atletico Mineiro 135 Value lean toward Mirassol given odds discrepancy vs performance trends 65% (moderate)
Spread Mineiro -0.25 (100) | Mirassol +25 (-120) Mirassol +0.25 covers (negative odds reflect market caution) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (102) | Under 2.25 (-122) Under (67% of Mineiro's recent games saw <2.5 goals)[5] ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol edges match through home advantage and Mineiro's away struggles, but low-scoring affair likely

Predicted Score: 1-0 Mirassol (aligning with Forebet's 2-0 prediction but adjusted for under trends)[5]


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 20 April 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV stadium, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Atlético Mineiro faces Botafogo in a crucial Serie A match on April 20, 2025. This fixture promises an exciting contest between two teams seeking to improve their standings in the Brazilian top division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Mineiro is currently ranked 19th with 2 points, while Botafogo sits at 11th with 5 points. Both teams have had mixed performances so far, but Atlético Mineiro's home advantage might give them an edge.
  • Historical head-to-head data shows competitive matches between the two teams, but recent statistics indicate a slight favor towards the home team, Atlético Mineiro.
  • No specific injury updates are provided for this match. However, team lineups might be affected by any new injuries or player suspensions.
  • The match will be played at Arena MRV, providing a familiar setting for Atlético Mineiro. The home crowd and recent team dynamics could influence the outcome.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure points, with Atlético Mineiro aiming to climb the table and Botafogo looking to solidify their mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro: 120, Botafogo: 240, Draw: 230 Atlético Mineiro ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Atletico Mineiro: -0.25 -112, Botafogo: 25 -108 Atlético Mineiro ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 2 -122, Under: 2 102 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 87%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 87% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Mineiro is likely to win due to their home advantage and the need to improve their table position.

Predicted Score: Atlético Mineiro 2 – 1 Botafogo


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Santos vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santos vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Vila Belmiro Stadium, Santos

Game Overview

Santos hosts Atlético Mineiro in a competitive Brazilian Campeonato matchup. Santos is currently ranked lower in the league, but home advantage might play in their favor.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Mineiro has been performing better overall, but Santos has shown improved form in recent matches. Atlético Mineiro's consistency is a key factor.
  • In their head-to-head record, Atlético Mineiro has won more matches than Santos, but Santos has won some crucial recent encounters.
  • Recent injury reports are not detailed, but both teams are expected to field strong lineups.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support are likely to favor Santos, given the home advantage.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Atlético Mineiro aiming to maintain their league position and Santos seeking points to climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santos 140, Atletico Mineiro 200, Draw 230 Santos for the win, but a draw is also possible. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Santos -0.25 105, Atletico Mineiro 25 -125 Santos to cover the spread due to home advantage. ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.25 102, Under 2.25 -122 Under 2.25 goals, as both teams focus on defense. ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the form and head-to-head statistics, Atlético Mineiro is slightly favored, but Santos could pull off a surprise win.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 13, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Atlético Mineiro hosts Vitória in the Brazilian Serie A. Atlético Mineiro has shown strong performance, recently winning 4-0 against Deportes Iquique in the Sudamericana. However, both teams have a tough start in Serie A, with Atlético Mineiro having one loss and Vitória two losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Mineiro is performing better in competitions like the Sudamericana, while Vitória struggles with two consecutive losses.
  • Recent head-to-head matches show mixed results, with both teams experiencing victories against each other.
  • No specific injury reports available for this match.
  • The presence of a home crowd could be an advantage for Atlético Mineiro.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure their first win in Serie A.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Mineiro: -185, Vitória: 525, Draw: 310 Atlético Mineiro win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Atlético Mineiro -1: -105, Vitória +1: -115 Atlético Mineiro to win by more than 1 goal ★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 338%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 338% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Mineiro is likely to win given their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Atlético Mineiro


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-06
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro will host Sao Paulo in a highly anticipated matchup in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A. Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in their recent matches, with Atletico holding a slight edge based on their home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro has had a mixed run, with three draws and two losses in their last five matches. Sao Paulo has struggled even more, with three draws and two losses in their recent outings.
  • Historically, Atletico Mineiro has been more successful against Sao Paulo, winning 20 of their 44 encounters. Recent matches indicate a close rivalry, with the most common result between them being a 1-0 win for Atletico.
  • Both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups, though last-minute injuries could impact player availability. No major injuries have been reported as of now.
  • Weather conditions appear favorable for the match, which should not significantly affect either team’s performance. The match is at home for Atletico, providing a supportive fan presence.
  • Atletico Mineiro will be motivated to secure a win to improve their standing, while Sao Paulo, despite their struggles, will aim to upset the home team and gain critical points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro is favored to win the match due to their home advantage and better overall form compared to Sao Paulo.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Grêmio vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-29
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

Grêmio faces Atletico Mineiro in a crucial Brazilian Serie A match, with both teams aiming for a strong season start.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio starts the season at home, eager to improve upon last year's performance. Atletico Mineiro also seeks early success after mixed results in previous seasons.
  • Recent matches between Grêmio and Atletico Mineiro have seen Atletico gain slight advantages, winning more recent encounters.
  • No substantial injury updates are available for this match.
  • Home advantage might boost Grêmio's morale and performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure an early win, setting a positive tone for the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 135 (Grêmio), 215 (Atletico Mineiro), 220 (Draw) Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread -0.25 for Grêmio at 102, 25 for Atletico Mineiro at -122 Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.25 at 105, Under 2.25 at -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio is likely to benefit from home advantage and may secure a close win.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Grêmio


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