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Vasco da Gama vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário

Game Overview

A tightly contested Brazil Campeonato Serie A match between Vasco da Gama and Atletico Mineiro, two historically balanced rivals with nearly equal head-to-head wins and draws. Vasco is playing at home with slightly better recent offensive stats, while Atletico shows stronger defensive solidity and efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches but also conceded around 1.6 per game. Atletico Mineiro scored 3 goals in their last 5 but concede 1.2 per match and show a higher Asian handicap win % recently (60% vs Vasco's 20%).
  • In their last 23 encounters, Vasco and Atletico are nearly even with 9 wins each and 5 draws. Over multiple sources and more recent stats, Vasco has a slight edge at home with 10 wins to Atletico’s 8, showing very balanced rivalry dynamics.
  • No major injury updates provided; expected lineups to be available closer to match start. Impact of absences likely minimal or unknown currently.
  • Match played at Vasco’s home ground, Estádio São Januário, providing nominal home advantage. No other significant external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams are mid-table in Serie A (Vasco 11th, Atletico 12th) and motivated to gain points in the 19th round. Atletico’s slight recent form advantage and higher Asian handicap win % imply better momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 1.50, Atletico Mineiro 2.05, Draw 2.10 Draw ★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread Atletico Mineiro +25 (-134), Vasco da Gama -0.25 (112) Atletico Mineiro +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (100) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Atletico Mineiro Home Stadium

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro faces Bragantino-SP in a tightly contested Brazil Campeonato match. Atletico Mineiro, currently 13th with 20 points, hosts Bragantino-SP, who sit 5th with 27 points. Both teams show competitive form, with Atletico slightly struggling for consistency and Bragantino having a better recent record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro has a moderate form with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses in 15 matches. Bragantino is stronger overall with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses in 17 games, indicating better recent momentum.
  • Historically even but leaning marginally in favor of Atletico Mineiro at home, with past matches being closely fought and low-scoring.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength squads.
  • No adverse weather or travel complications expected. Atletico Mineiro has home advantage which often plays a crucial role in Brazilian league matches.
  • Bragantino is motivated to maintain their higher table position and capitalize on Atlético’s inconsistency, while Atletico Mineiro seeks to close the gap in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro -110, Bragantino-SP 310, Draw 245 Atletico Mineiro ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Atletico Mineiro -0.5 -105, Bragantino-SP +50 -115 Atletico Mineiro -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 +100, Under 2.25 -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Flamengo vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Flamengo hosting Atletico Mineiro, two historically strong teams with a close head-to-head record and recent differing forms. Flamengo stands higher in the league table and has favorable recent results, while Atletico Mineiro shows strong defensive form and unbeaten run in Copa do Brasil.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo ranks 4th in the league and has won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring and conceding more goals. Atletico Mineiro ranks 10th with mixed form in Serie A but is unbeaten recently in Copa do Brasil and defensively strong.
  • In their last 50 meetings, Flamengo leads with 21 wins to Atletico's 18, and 11 draws. Recent matches show Flamengo's slightly better offensive output (1.3 PPG vs. 1.4 for Atletico) and better handicap win rate (60%). Historically close rivalry with some big wins on both sides.
  • Currently no major reported injuries impacting key starters for either squad.
  • Flamengo plays at home in Maracanã, benefiting from home support. Both teams have similar travel conditions and no significant weather or external disruptions expected.
  • Flamengo aims to consolidate a higher league position with strong home performance. Atletico Mineiro targets to bounce back after inconsistent league form and maintain unbeaten Copa do Brasil momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -215, Draw: 330, Atletico Mineiro: 625 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Flamengo -1: -125, Atletico Mineiro +1: 105 Flamengo -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win the match with a narrow margin, with expectation of moderate goal scoring but a solid defensive challenge from Atletico Mineiro.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – July 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Bahia vs. Juventude Prediction Bahia -1.25 -125 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Cruzeiro vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2.25 -118 ★★★★☆ 73% (73%)
Flamengo vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Flamengo Win -215 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +387

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $97.44

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Palmeiras vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Palmeiras Home Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro is a highly competitive Brasileirão clash featuring two top-level Brazilian teams with a closely contested head-to-head history. Palmeiras enter as the home favorite due to strong recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras currently sit 2nd in the league with a strong recent run including multiple consecutive wins at home. Atletico Mineiro is positioned 9th with mixed results and variable away form.
  • Historically close, with Atletico Mineiro having a slight edge in wins (16 to 15) over the last 48 meetings, and 17 draws. Average goals per match is about 2.4, reflecting a balanced, competitive fixture.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either team that would markedly affect starting lineups or tactics.
  • The game is hosted at Palmeiras’ home ground, amplifying their motivation and tactical confidence given a 71% home win rate this season.
  • Palmeiras are motivated by their pursuit of the title race and maintaining high league standing, whereas Atletico Mineiro aims to climb from mid-table, which may limit their attacking risk.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -140, Draw 260, Atletico Mineiro 420 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Palmeiras -0.75 (-105), Atletico Mineiro +75 (-115) Palmeiras -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 (-125), Under 2 (+105) Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras Moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 20, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Vitoria vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Bragantino-SP 185 37%
Palmeiras vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Under 2 105 23%
Sport Recife vs. Botafogo Prediction Botafogo 120 21%

Combined Odds: +1185 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $257.07

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – July 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Cruzeiro vs. Juventude Prediction Cruzeiro Win -345 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Palmeiras vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Palmeiras Win -140 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Flamengo vs. Fluminense Prediction Flamengo Win -135 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +285

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $76.98

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Atletico Mineiro vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro hosts Sport Recife in a Brazil Serie A match with Atletico Mineiro as strong favorites based on form, historical data, and current odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Mineiro has shown solid recent form with a 2-0 win against Internacional and generally stronger offensive and defensive stats compared to Sport Recife, who are struggling with multiple losses and draws recently.
  • Atletico Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head matches, winning all key fixtures including a 3-0 and 1-0 victories in 2021. Sport Recife has yet to win against Atletico Mineiro in recent history.
  • No major injuries reported that would significantly affect Atletico Mineiro's starting lineup, whereas Sport Recife has some squad depth concerns impacting their competitiveness.
  • Match is at Atletico Mineiro's home stadium Arena MRV, providing them a home advantage with fan support and familiar conditions. No adverse weather or travel factors noted.
  • Atlético Mineiro is motivated to maintain a strong league standing, while Sport Recife looks to improve form but faces a tough challenge against a top team on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro: -205, Sport Recife: 440, Draw: 420 Atletico Mineiro ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atletico Mineiro -1: -115, Sport Recife +1: -105 Atletico Mineiro -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Mineiro to win comfortably with under 2.5 goals scored in a controlled match.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Bahia vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bahia Home Stadium

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Atletico Mineiro in a closely matched Serie A game with both teams in solid form. Bahia has a strong home record with four consecutive wins, while Atletico Mineiro is unbeaten in their last eight games showing resilience on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has won 6 of 12 matches scoring 14 goals with strong offensive output at home. Atletico Mineiro holds 5 wins and 5 draws in 12 matches, scoring 13 goals and showing consistent form.
  • The H2H is balanced with both teams having 5 wins each and 4 draws in their last 14 encounters. Bahia has been especially strong at home with only one loss versus Atletico Mineiro in the last 12 meetings.
  • No major injury concerns reported currently for either side, enabling both teams close to full strength.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel fatigue reported that could heavily impact the match.
  • Bahia motivated to maintain strong home form and climb the table, Atletico Mineiro motivated to extend unbeaten streak and gain points away.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia 1.30, Draw 2.00, Atletico Mineiro 2.55 Bahia ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Bahia -0.25 (-108), Atletico Mineiro +25 (-112) Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 (1.05), Under 2.25 (-1.25) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win on the moneyline with an expected tight goal margin, favoring an under 2.25 goals total given both teams' recent defensive solidity and tactical approaches.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-12
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV

Game Overview

Atlético-MG is set to face Internacional in the 12th round of the Campeonato Brasileiro 2025. Both teams are aiming to secure crucial points in their campaign.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético-MG is currently in 9th place with 17 points, while Internacional is in 14th place with 11 points. Atlético-MG has a slightly better performance in terms of finalizations and corner kicks.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics are not explicitly provided, but generally, Atlético-MG has been in a stronger position in the league.
  • There is no detailed information on injuries for either team provided in the available data.
  • Following the match, Atlético-MG players will have a break due to the FIFA Club World Cup, which impacts their schedule.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Atlético-MG might have an edge due to their current league position and home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 for Atlético-MG, 320 for Internacional, 245 for Draw Atlético-MG Win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -0.5 for Atlético-MG (-108), 50 for Internacional (-112) Atlético-MG to Cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 (-122), Under 2 (102) Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro -98%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Atlético-MG is likely to win given their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Atlético-MG


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