The Kansas City Royals host the Atlanta Braves in an MLB matchup featuring two teams with middling records and contrasting pitching situations. Royals' starter Angel Zerpa faces Braves' Joey Wentz in a contest with a tight moneyline and a 9.5 total runs line.
Key Factors to Consider
The Royals hold a slightly better form with a 53-55 record compared to the struggling Braves at 45-61. Kansas City has performed well as favorites and showed recent offensive strength, notably scoring 9 runs in the last game. The Braves have been inconsistent, especially on the road.
Recent meetings saw the Royals winning a 9-6 game prior. Historical simulations indicate the Royals have a slight edge with 52-53% predicted win probability over the Braves' 47-48%.
The Braves are missing key player Ronald Acuña Jr. due to Achilles tightness, significantly weakening their lineup and offensive potential.
The match is at Kauffman Stadium, a relatively neutral hitter-friendly park but with favorable pitching conditions for the Royals, including home advantage and fresher form.
The Royals appear motivated to secure series dominance at home, having taken the previous game, while the Braves look to rebound from recent losses but face diminished lineup strength.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Kansas City -130, Atlanta +110
Kansas City Royals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Kansas City -1.5 +150, Atlanta +1.5 -182
Kansas City Royals -1.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 9.5 -122, Under 9.5 +100
Over 9.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 -4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Kansas City Royals at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas City Royals to win on moneyline, Royals to cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 9.5 runs.
The Texas Rangers host the Atlanta Braves in a late July MLB matchup. The Rangers hold a slight edge as the favorites, supported by recent strong home performance and a winning streak, while the Braves have struggled overall and on the road recently.
Key Factors to Consider
Texas Rangers are 5-0 SU and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games, enjoying home success with a 33-20 record. Atlanta Braves have lost 6 of their last 7 games ATS and SU, with a poor 19-32 away record.
Recent head-to-head shows Texas with a 52% pregame win probability. Texas has shown dominance as favorites, winning 67.3% of such games this season.
No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups or pitching rotations for either team at this time.
The game is at Globe Life Field, a neutral to hitter-friendly park. Weather conditions are typical with no adverse effects expected.
Texas Rangers appear motivated by home advantage and recent good form, while Braves seem pressured after poor recent performance and away struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Texas Rangers -121 / Atlanta Braves +110
Texas Rangers
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
Texas Rangers -1.5 (+165), Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-190)
Texas Rangers -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 9 (-118), Under 9 (-102)
Over 9 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Texas Rangers 10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Texas Rangers at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Rangers to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go over 9 runs.
Predicted Score: Texas Rangers 6 – 4 Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves host the San Francisco Giants in a mid-summer MLB matchup. Braves are the slight favorites according to moneyline odds with strong pitching on the mound. The contest features a moderate run total line of 8.5.
Key Factors to Consider
The Braves have been moderately successful as favorites this season, winning 38 of 73 as favorites and holding a 16-11 record when favored at -172 or shorter moneyline odds. The Giants have hovered near .500 with recent struggles against strong opponents but still present a competitive lineup.
Recent head-to-head encounters favor the Braves slightly, with projections indicating a 58-64% win probability for Atlanta. Starting pitcher matchups lean in Atlanta's favor, with Spencer Strider showing better metrics than Giants' Justin Verlander.
No significant injuries reported for either lineup or starting pitchers, preserving full-strength rotations and batting orders.
Game played at Truist Park provides home-field advantage for Braves. Weather not a reported factor. Broadcast on MLB Network ensures standard game conditions.
Both teams motivated to gain wins approaching trade deadline, but Braves exhibit stronger urgency based on standings and betting market positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -172, San Francisco Giants +144
Atlanta Braves
seventy-two percent
Spread
Braves -1.5 +115, Giants +1.5 -138
Atlanta Braves -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -102, Under 8.5 -120
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 64%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
A matchup between the Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees, with Atlanta favored as the home team. The Braves face a strong Yankees lineup, but recent form and home advantage could play in their favor.
Key Factors to Consider
The Yankees have a strong offense, averaging 5.20 runs per game. However, they have struggled on the road with a 24-25 record. The Braves, despite being under .500, are motivated to improve their home performance.
The series has been competitive, with the Yankees winning a high-scoring game earlier in the series.
No significant recent injuries affecting this matchup reported.
Weather could potentially impact the game, but no specific issues expected for this matchup.
The Braves are highly motivated to win at home against a strong opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves: -126, New York Yankees: 108
Atlanta Braves
★★★☆☆ 59%
Spread
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 146, New York Yankees: 1.5 -178
Atlanta Braves -1.5
★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under
Over: 9.5 -114, Under: 9.5 -106
Over 9.5
★★★☆☆ 67%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 31%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlats could capitalize on home advantage and motivation, but the Yankees' offense is potent.
Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 6, New York Yankees 5
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Atlanta Braves in a crucial MLB matchup. The Cardinals are slightly above .500 with a 50-46 record, while the Braves struggle at 42-52. The pitching duel features veteran Cardinals starter Sonny Gray against Braves rookie Davis Daniel making only his second MLB start. Atlanta has shown resilience in this series, having won the first two games, but the Cardinals have home advantage and a better season record.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cardinals are currently struggling with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games but have a superior overall season record. The Braves have been resilient within this series but have a weaker overall season performance and a heavily leaned-on bullpen.
Sonny Gray holds a mixed record against the Braves, going 1-1 with a 4.06 ERA in his last five starts. The Braves have managed to win the first two games of this series on the road.
No major injury concerns reported for either team impacting starting pitchers or key players ahead of this game.
The game is played at Busch Stadium, giving the Cardinals home field advantage. The Braves will head home after this game for an interleague series against the Yankees.
The Cardinals aim to stop their recent slump and protect home turf, while the Braves seek to complete a surprising road series sweep and build momentum before returning home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves +130, St. Louis Cardinals -154
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-162), St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+134)
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5 (-105), Under 8.5 (-115)
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals to win moneyline, cover spread, and total runs to stay under 8.5.