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Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Game Overview

The Atlanta Braves host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the last game of the 2025 MLB regular season. The Braves hold a slightly better season record at 75-86 compared to the Pirates' 71-90. The Braves have the home advantage and are coming off a 7-3 record in their last 10 games but currently on a 3-game losing streak. The Pirates have a weaker recent form with a 6-4 last ten but a 2-game winning streak. The game features starting pitchers Charlie Morton (9-11, 5.89 ERA) for Atlanta and Johan Oviedo (2-0, 3.57 ERA) for Pittsburgh.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlanta Braves have a better overall record and home record (37-44) compared to the Pirates' away record (27-53). Braves recent form (7-3) is stronger but tempered by a short losing streak. Pittsburgh's overall record is worse but coming on a 2-game win streak, with Oviedo showing solid individual pitching form (2-0, 3.57 ERA).
  • Recent season series appear competitive with close games; specific historical H2H data for this season not fully detailed, but Braves likely have edge due to home advantage and overall better season record.
  • No explicit injury reports found for key players in this match. Team rosters appear intact without major absences in active pitching or batting lines.
  • Game time weather at Truist Park is comfortable (30°C, partly cloudy) with light northeast wind (13 km/h), no precipitation expected. These conditions favor typical outdoor play without delay or weather impact.
  • Both teams have lower standings with no strong playoff implications indicated. Braves slightly motivated by home crowd; Pirates may look to finish season on positive note with current win streak. Psychological edge subtle but Braves may feel pressure to end season stronger at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atl_Braves: -210, Pit_Pirates: 176 Atlanta Braves ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Atl_Braves: -1.5 @ 102, Pit_Pirates: +1.5 @ -122 Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over_7.5: -124, Under_7.5: 102 Under 7.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given stronger overall and home performance, the Atlanta Braves are favored to win. However, Johan Oviedo's pitching and Pirates' recent win streak inject uncertainty making a win for Pittsburgh possible but less likely.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 4 – Pittsburgh Pirates 2


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 28, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 28, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Prediction Cleveland Guardians -157 39%
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Under 7.5 102 21%
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction Under 8 -110 18%

Combined Odds: +531 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $126.25

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction San Francisco Giants -1.5 -113 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros Prediction Houston Astros Win -140 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Atlanta Braves Win -156 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +430

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $106.05

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Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 4:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Game Overview

The Atlanta Braves host the Washington Nationals at Truist Park in a critical late-season MLB matchup. The Braves enter as favorites with strong recent form, while the Nationals face injury setbacks and have struggled on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlanta Braves have shown consistent strong performance throughout the season, maintaining a winning record and solid home statistics. Washington Nationals have struggled recently but have some wins in their last few away games; however, key pitcher MacKenzie Gore is on the injured list.
  • The Braves have the advantage in recent head-to-head encounters and hold home field advantage. The Nationals have found it challenging to win at Atlanta in recent matchups.
  • Washington Nationals' starting pitcher MacKenzie Gore is currently on the 15-day injured list with a right ankle impingement, a significant absence that impacts Nationals’ pitching strength. There are no major reported injuries for the Braves.
  • Game conditions at Truist Park should favor the home team Braves given familiarity. The weather and park conditions are typical for late September in Atlanta, with no adverse external factors expected.
  • The Braves are motivated to secure a strong finish to the season and leverage home advantage. The Nationals are aiming for an upset but are challenged due to injuries and travel fatigue from recent away games.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves: -184, Washington Nationals: 154 Atlanta Braves ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Atlanta Braves: -1.5 @ 1.06, Washington Nationals: +1.5 @ -1.28 Atlanta Braves -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 9: -118, Under 9: -104 Under 9 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlanta Braves to win comfortably, covering the -1.5 spread and a moderate total score.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 6 – Washington Nationals 3


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 24, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Atlanta Braves Win -184 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction Los Angeles Dodgers Win -154 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Boston Red Sox Win -142 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +334

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $86.77

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 23, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Over 9 -105 17%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction Over 9 100 16%
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction Under 8 -110 15%

Combined Odds: +645 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $149.09

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 22, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 22, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction Under 7 -104 18%
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction Under 7.5 105 17%
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Under 7 100 10%

Combined Odds: +704 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $160.85

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Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 5:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan, USA

Game Overview

The Detroit Tigers will host the Atlanta Braves at Comerica Park on September 21, 2025. The Braves come into this game as slight underdogs with a solid overall season record, while the Tigers are fighting to improve their standings towards the end of the season. The matchup will feature key pitching performances and recent offensive trends from both teams that could shape the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Atlanta Braves have shown mixed recent form but maintain a stronger overall record compared to the Detroit Tigers, who have struggled with consistency. The Braves have a slight edge due to their balanced offensive and pitching performances. Detroit Tigers, playing at home, have motivation to leverage Comerica Park conditions and home support.
  • Historically, the Atlanta Braves have had a competitive edge against the Tigers in recent meetings; however, games tend to be closely contested. Current season matchups indicate the Braves winning some recent encounters but the Tigers have managed to keep the games close.
  • No major injury updates have been reported affecting key starters or lineup players for either team prior to this game, maintaining strong roster availability for both sides.
  • Weather at Comerica Park on game day is mostly cloudy, which could affect ball flight slightly but likely not to a decisive degree. Fan appreciation day promotions may boost home team morale and atmosphere.
  • With the season nearing its conclusion, both teams are highly motivated: the Tigers to gain home wins and improve standings, the Braves to secure playoff positioning. This dynamic increases competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves: +102, Detroit Tigers: -120 Detroit Tigers ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Atlanta Braves: -1.5 at +168, Detroit Tigers: +1.5 at -205 Detroit Tigers +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -115 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Detroit Tigers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlanta Braves to narrowly win the game, leveraging their slightly better season form and pitching depth, but Detroit Tigers will cover the spread due to home advantage and motivation.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 5 – Detroit Tigers 4


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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 8:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC

Game Overview

The Atlanta Braves (56-68) are visiting the Washington Nationals (50-74) for this MLB regular season matchup. The Braves hold a better overall record, including a stronger recent win streak (W5) compared to the Nationals' L1. The Nationals, however, have a slight home advantage with a 26-36 home record and have won 8-2 in their last 10 home games, while the Braves have struggled on the road with a 26-38 away record and 4-6 over their last 10 games. This game could see the Braves continue their winning momentum or the Nationals defend home turf.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Braves have a better overall record and a recent strong winning streak, showing improved form. Conversely, the Nationals have a losing record but have performed more solidly at home recently. The Braves are 26-38 on the road, indicating some away difficulties, while the Nationals are 26-36 at home but with an 8-2 run in last home games showing potential to capitalize at Nationals Park.
  • The last notable meeting saw the Nationals win 8-7 on May 22, 2025. Season records suggest the Braves have been the stronger team over the season, but this game will test if home advantage and current form balance the scales.
  • No specific injury information was available for this match at this time, making it difficult to accurately account for player availability impact.
  • Weather or other external conditions are not detailed in the sources, but Nationals Park is the venue with no known constraints or unusual conditions reported for this date.
  • Braves are on a 5-game winning streak, likely increasing team confidence and motivation. Nationals are coming off a losing streak but may be motivated by home crowd support and to disrupt the Braves' momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves: -150, Washington Nationals: 136 Atlanta Braves ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Atlanta Braves: -1.5 at 106, Washington Nationals: +1.5 at -126 Atlanta Braves -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5: -110, Under 8.5: -110 Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the stronger recent streak and overall better season performance, the Atlanta Braves are favored to win, but the Nationals' home advantage and recent home form could keep the game competitive. Prediction favors Braves victory by a close margin.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 6 – Washington Nationals 4


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Prediction Texas Rangers Win -122 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction Atlanta Braves Win -150 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction Baltimore Orioles Win -130 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +437

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $107.31

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