AS Monaco hosts Toulouse in a crucial Ligue 1 clash, with both teams sitting just one point apart in the standings (Monaco 7th, Toulouse 8th)[1][4]. Monaco holds a slight edge in recent form, with slightly more goals scored but also more conceded than Toulouse[4]. The last direct encounter ended in a 1-1 draw in March 2025[3]. Both sides are chasing European places, ensuring high motivation.
Key Factors to Consider
Monaco has a 4-2-2 record (14 points, 17 GF, 13 GA) compared to Toulouse's 4-1-3 (13 points, 15 GF, 12 GA). Monaco's home record is slightly better (3-1-0 at home) but both teams are inconsistent defensively[4].
Recent H2H matches have been close, with the last two encounters ending in a draw and a narrow 1-2 win for Monaco. No significant dominance by either side in past matchups[1][3].
No prominent injury updates available in the provided data, suggesting both teams are near full strength.
No major external factors affecting the matchday; expected normal playing conditions.
Both teams are fighting for European qualification, with neither side clear of midtable concerns. Motivation is high for both.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Monaco -120, Draw 285, Toulouse 285
AS Monaco
β β β ββ 58%
Spread
Monaco -0.5 -118, Toulouse 50 -102
AS Monaco -0.5
β β β ββ 54%
Over/under
Over 2.75 -125, Under 2.75 105
Over 2.75
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AS Monaco -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Monaco's slightly superior home form and attacking output justify a narrow home win, despite Toulouse's resilience on the counter and in recent encounters.
First-ever Euroleague meeting between Hapoel Tel Aviv and AS Monaco. Hapoel returns to Euroleague after a long absence, while Monaco is an established contender with recent deep playoff runs. Neither side has a prior head-to-head record in European competition, making this a matchup of unknowns at this level.
Key Factors to Consider
Monaco (3-2 this season) is in decent early-season form and has more Euroleague continuity. Hapoel Tel Aviv (2-3) is adjusting to the competition after promotion, but is competitive in domestic games and recent friendlies. Both are scoring close to 85 points per game, but Monaco has a slightly tighter defense.
No previous encounters between these teams in Euroleague or major European competitions[3]. All H2H data refers to other Tel Aviv clubs (e.g., Maccabi), not Hapoel.
No major injuries reported for either side as of pre-match updates (assumed all key players available unless late news).
Home court in Tel Aviv could provide a slight edge for Hapoel, but Monaco's Euroleague experience may offset this advantage. No major travel or environmental disruptions expected.
Hapoel is highly motivated to prove itself in Euroleague return; Monaco, as a playoff regular, wants to secure road wins early to bolster postseason seeding.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
AS Monaco +118, Hapoel Tel Aviv -144
AS Monaco
β β β ββ 56%
Spread
AS Monaco +2.5 -110, Hapoel Tel Aviv -2.5 -110
AS Monaco +2.5
β β β ββ 62%
Over/under
Over 174.5 -110, Under 174.5 -110
Over 174.5
β β β ββ 61%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AS Monaco 18%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 174.5 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: AS Monaco at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Monaco's Euroleague experience and slightly stronger defense give them a narrow edge in a potentially close, high-scoring game. Hapoel's home energy could make it tight, but Monaco's composure in crunch time is likely the difference.
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 86 β Hapoel Tel Aviv 83
Angers (17th in Ligue 1) host AS Monaco (5th) in a midtable clash with clear contrasts in form and quality. Angers are winless in their last 5 league matches and struggle at home, while Monaco are in solid Ligue 1 form, motivated to push for European places.
Key Factors to Consider
Angers have managed just 1 home win this season, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at Stade Raymond Kopa in their last 10 home matches. Monaco average 1.2 away goals, also conceding 1.6 in their last 10 on the road, but have shown far greater consistency in picking up results[1][2].
Monaco have dominated the historical matchup, winning 15 of 23 meetings (5 wins, 3 draws for Angers). In their last 6 meetings at Stade Raymond Kopa, Monaco have won 4, with 2 drawsβincluding a 2-0 win last timeβand Angers have not beaten Monaco at home since 2019[1][2].
No major injuries reported for either side in recent updatesβassume mostly full squads and healthy key players.
No major external factors (weather, scheduling, etc.) reported; match odds reflect standard home/away splits.
Angers are struggling to avoid relegation and desperately need points, but their current form and head-to-head record do not inspire confidence. Monaco are fighting for European qualification and have the quality edge in both attack and defense.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Angers +437 | Monaco -159 | Draw +326
AS Monaco
β β β β β 76%
Spread
Angers +1 -122 | Monaco -1 +102
AS Monaco -1
β β β ββ 63%
Over/under
Over 2.75 -121 | Under 2.75 +101
Over 2.75
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AS Monaco 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite Angers' home venue, Monaco's superior form, recent head-to-head dominance, and attacking quality make them clear favorites for all three major markets.
AS Monaco hosts Valencia Basket in a tightly contested EuroLeague matchup. Both teams have similar recent results and a 2-2 head-to-head record, indicating a balanced contest with a slight defensive tilt.
Key Factors to Consider
Monaco has been slightly inconsistent with a recent loss but strong home performance; Valencia struggles away with a recent home loss, scoring inconsistently in offense.
The last 4 H2H games are tied 2-2, with an average score around 79-80 points per team, indicating a defensive and closely matched rivalry.
No significant injuries reported for either side affecting rotation or starting lineup.
Game played at Monacoβs home arena, a venue where Monaco has shown better form and fan support.
Both teams aim to climb early EuroLeague standings; Monaco has marginal edge playing at home and looking to bounce back from recent defeat.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -305, away: 230
AS Monaco
β β β β β 75%
Spread
home: -109, away: -114
AS Monaco -7
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
over: -114, under: -109
Under 178.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AS Monaco -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 178.5 15%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 178.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco to win on the moneyline and cover the -7 spread; total points expected to finish under 178.5
This Euroleague matchup features Virtus Segafredo Bologna hosting AS Monaco. Both teams enter the game with strong recent form, each holding 5 wins in their last 10 matches, making this a potentially tight contest. Monaco is favored by bookmakers as the moneyline favorite, despite playing away.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams show excellent recent form (5 wins in last 10 games). Monaco has a slight edge in consistency and offensive efficiency, while Bologna plays strong defense at home.
Historically, Monaco has had the upper hand in recent encounters against Bologna, with more wins and better scoring margins in previous Euroleague meetings.
No major injury reports currently available for key players on either side, suggesting full-strength lineups.
Home court advantage favors Bologna at PalaDozza, known for a strong crowd presence and defensive intensity, potentially disrupting Monaco's rhythm.
Monaco seeks to consolidate their favorite status early in the campaign, while Bologna is highly motivated to defend their home turf and get early Euroleague wins.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +150, away: -180
AS Monaco
β β β β β 72%
Spread
home: -112, away: -108
Virtus Segafredo Bologna +4.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
over: -112, under: -108
Under 166 points
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AS Monaco -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 166 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 166 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on AS Monaco moneyline to win, covering the spread (-4.5) seems risky given Bologna's home resilience, and the total points are likely to stay under 166 due to strong defensive setups on both sides.
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 81 – 77 Virtus Segafredo Bologna
This EuroLeague matchup features a tight contest between Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano and AS Monaco, two closely matched teams with competitive recent history in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
AS Monaco currently shows slightly better offensive output with 93.5 PPG versus Milano's 85.0 PPG. However, Milano's defense and home advantage are significant, as evidenced by recent narrow wins over Monaco.
In their last 5 encounters, Monaco leads narrowly 3-2, with recent games often low-scoring and closely contested (e.g., 86-80, 93-80). Milano took the last home win, indicating home court is a key factor.
No critical injury reports available; both teams appear near full strength, allowing for typical rotations and game plans.
The game takes place at Milan's Unipol Forum with a strong crowd presence (~9,000 attendance), favoring the home side. Travel for Monaco could influence their stamina slightly, but both teams are experienced travelers.
As an early-season game, both teams are motivated to establish positioning in the EuroLeague standings, but Milano may have slightly higher motivation playing at home and avenging earlier losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-125
AS Monaco
β β β β β 72%
Spread
-112
AS Monaco -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
over: -108, under: -112
Under 167
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
AS Monaco -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 167 4%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 167 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco on the moneyline; spread in favor of AS Monaco -1.5; total points under 167
AS Monaco hosts Dubai Basketball in a EuroLeague matchup where Monaco is the strong favorite to win based on form, odds, and team quality.
Key Factors to Consider
AS Monaco is in strong form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches, including dominant performances in recent SuperCoupe and Betclic Elite games. Dubai Basketball's recent form is weaker and less consistent.
Limited direct H2H data suggests Monaco holds a clear advantage given their EuroLeague pedigree and recent successes.
No significant injury news reported for either team, implying both have near full-strength squads available.
Game played at Monaco's home venue, Salle Gaston Medecin, with capacity for 3700 fans, providing home-court advantage.
Monaco seeks to maintain its strong EuroLeague start and build momentum at home; Dubai aims to cause an upset but lacks recent wins for confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-270
AS Monaco
β β β β β 78%
Spread
-104
AS Monaco -6.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
-112
Under 162.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Home 7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
π₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco to win straight up; cover the -6.5 point spread; and the game finishing under a 162.5 total points line.
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 84 – 74 Dubai Basketball