Match Analysis: Vincius Pires vs Artem Belakh – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Foxwoods Resort Casino, Mashantucket, Connecticut, United States
Game Overview
The bantamweight world title bout at LFA 222 features champion Vinicius Pires (11-1), a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt with a strong submission game and aggressive forward pressure, defending his title for the first time on U.S. soil against Artem Belakh (10-2), a Kazakh prospect with a balanced skill set, sharp boxing and high fight IQ making his LFA debut. Both fighters have high finish rates (Pires known for submissions, Belakh with 90% finishes), setting up a high-stakes clash between a proven champion and a hungry international challenger.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vinicius Pires is on an 11-fight unbeaten streak and recently secured the LFA bantamweight title by submission. He is known for technical precision and constant pressure. Artem Belakh is a strong prospect with relentless pace, excellent boxing, grappling fundamentals, and high MMA fight IQ, coming off release from ONE Championship and looking to immediately claim the belt.
- No prior head-to-head bouts are recorded between Pires and Belakh, making this their first meeting, adding unpredictability to the fight outcome.
- No reported injuries for either fighter entering the bout from official weigh-in and latest reports.
- The fight will take place at a neutral venue in Connecticut, with Pires fighting outside Brazil for the first time as champion. Both fighters have strong motivation to establish or maintain legacy in LFA. Broadcast worldwide on UFC Fight Pass introduces high exposure pressure.
- Pires is motivated to defend his title and showcase his submission prowess globally; Belakh seeks to make a major impact early in his LFA career and redeem after ONE Championship release, pushing for a major upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Artem Belakh: 185, Vinicius Pires: -250 | Vinicius Pires | Not available |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 120, Under 2.5: -155 | Under 2.5 rounds | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vincius Pires -98% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Vinicius Pires to win by decision with a confidence level of approximately 65%, leveraging superior cardio, submission threat, and championship experience. The fight is expected to lean toward a strategic striking and grappling contest with Pires’ endurance advantage critical over 5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Vinicius Pires wins by decision after 5 rounds