Match Analysis: David Allen vs Arslanbek Makhmudov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Sheffield Arena, United Kingdom

Game Overview

This heavyweight boxing match features David Allen (24-7-2, 19 KOs) facing Arslanbek Makhmudov (20-2, 19 KOs) at Sheffield Arena. Allen is the younger and more experienced fighter, with 11 more pro fights and considerably more professional rounds (144) compared to Makhmudov (57). Makhmudov holds a physical advantage with 3 inches in height and reach and a higher knockout percentage (95% vs Allen's 79%). Allen recently impressed with a fifth-round TKO and is known for his grit and entertaining personality. Makhmudov is under pressure after going 2-2 in his last four bouts but aims to reestablish momentum with a decisive win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Allen has recent momentum from a convincing TKO victory and boasts greater in-ring experience and endurance, while Makhmudov possesses superior knockout power and size advantages but has been inconsistent with recent results (2-2 in last four fights).
• There is no direct head-to-head history. Both fighters use orthodox stance. Makhmudov's power and youth (36 years old) contrast with Allen's slight youth advantage (33 years old) and 11 more professional bouts.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
• The fight is streamed live on DAZN from Sheffield Arena, with a high-profile atmosphere. Makhmudov faces increased pressure to avoid further setbacks that could end his career trajectory.
• Allen carries confidence from recent victory and fan support, motivated to prove himself against a power puncher. Makhmudov is driven to rebound strongly amid career uncertainty, seeking a performance that restores his status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Arslanbek Makhmudov: -105, David Allen: -125	Arslanbek Makhmudov to win	★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under	Over 6.5 rounds: -125, Under 6.5 rounds: -105	Over 6.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Arslanbek Makhmudov 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 6.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arslanbek Makhmudov at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arslanbek Makhmudov’s power and physical advantages give him the edge to win, though Allen’s experience and resilience make it competitive. Makhmudov is favored to win by decision or late TKO, but the fight could extend into later rounds if Allen effectively uses his ring generalship.

Predicted Score: Arslanbek Makhmudov wins by 8th round TKO

Match Analysis: Arslanbek Makhmudov vs Ricardo Brown – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Videotron Centre, Quebec City, Canada

Game Overview

Arslanbek Makhmudov and Ricardo Brown face off in a heavyweight boxing match over 10 rounds. Makhmudov, with a record of 19-2, fights out of Montreal, Canada, while the undefeated Ricardo Brown (12-0, 11 KOs) fights out of Brampton, Ontario. This bout is critical for both fighters' careers, held in Quebec City on June 27, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Makhmudov has had recent setbacks with two losses in his last three fights, including stoppages by Guido Vianello and Agit Kabayel, but also showcased power by stopping Miljan Rovcanin last year. Brown remains undefeated with a strong KO ratio and has shown resilience with a unanimous decision win after knocking down Adam Kolarik in October.
• This is the first meeting between Makhmudov and Brown, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
• No significant injuries reported for either boxer leading up to the fight.
• The fight takes place in Canada where both fighters have some local support, with Makhmudov based in Montreal and Brown in Brampton. The bout is televised live on ESPN+ in the US. Both fighters are considered heavy hitters with solid fan interest.
• Makhmudov seeks to rebound after recent losses and re-establish himself as a top heavyweight contender. Brown aims to defend his undefeated record and gain significant career momentum with a victory against a more experienced foe.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Arslanbek Makhmudov: -255, Ricardo Brown: 195	Arslanbek Makhmudov	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Makhmudov -1.5: -150, Brown +1.5: +130	Makhmudov -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Arslanbek Makhmudov 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arslanbek Makhmudov at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Makhmudov is favored due to his experience and past high-level competition despite recent losses. Brown's youth and power make him a dangerous opponent. Expect a competitive fight with Makhmudov likely to leverage his ring savvy to secure a decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Makhmudov wins by late-round stoppage or unanimous decision after 8-10 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Deontay Wilder vs. Tyrrell Anthony Herndon Prediction	Under 5.5 rounds	1.90	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Arslanbek Makhmudov vs. Ricardo Brown Prediction	Arslanbek Makhmudov Win	-255	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Wyatt Sanford vs. Mark Andrejev Prediction	Over 6.5 rounds	6.5	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -196

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $30.22