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Sporting Lisbon vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: José Alvalade Stadium, Lisbon

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca features two teams close in league standings—Sporting Lisbon placed 6th and Arouca 4th. Sporting has historically dominated this matchup with 16 wins in their past 19 encounters. Arouca has shown solid form recently, including four away wins, but struggles against Sporting particularly at home or neutral venues.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has demonstrated consistent strength with a historical head-to-head winning rate above 84%, scoring on average 2.16 goals per game against Arouca, while conceding only 0.63. Arouca scores about 0.63 goals and concedes 2.16 against Sporting. Sporting recently won their only game against Arouca in the current season’s meetings.
  • In 19 meetings, Sporting won 16 times, drew twice, and lost once. The overall goal difference heavily favors Sporting (41 goals scored vs 12 conceded). Arouca has managed only one win and two draws, showing a significant historical imbalance.
  • No specific injury updates are available from the data provided, suggesting squads may be largely intact or no impactful injuries reported for either side.
  • The match is played at Sporting’s home stadium, José Alvalade, giving Sporting a home advantage. Additionally, Sporting’s stronger squad quality and form, plus historical dominance, serve as psychological and tactical advantages.
  • Both teams are near the top of the league standings early in the season, with motivation to secure points high. Sporting will be motivated to assert dominance at home to climb the table, while Arouca aims to continue their good away form and maintain or improve their higher league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -375, Draw: +475, Arouca: +850 Sporting Lisbon to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -1.5 (-120), Arouca: +1.5 (100) Sporting Lisbon to cover -1.5 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is predicted to win this match based on strong historical dominance, home advantage, and current odds indicating market confidence in Sporting. Arouca may struggle to contain Sporting's attack but could try to keep the game close.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Arouca vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

The match features Arouca hosting AVS Futebol SAD in the 2025-2026 Portuguese Primeira Liga season. Both teams are aiming to start their league campaigns positively with Arouca benefiting from home advantage. AVS Futebol SAD have shown recent better head-to-head form with Arouca but the host's familiarity with their home pitch may balance this.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent results indicate AVS Futebol SAD have a stronger recent form in head-to-head, with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 encounters against Arouca. Arouca's overall league performance this season is less documented but their home advantage remains a factor.
  • AVS Futebol SAD hold the advantage with 2 wins and 1 draw from 3 matches against Arouca historically. They have dominated early halves in these fixtures with 2 wins and 1 draw in the first half alone, suggesting a tendency to start strongly against Arouca.
  • No specific injury data is available for this match from current sources, implying no major known absences impacting team selection.
  • The match venue and time are fixed with no notable external disruptions reported. Weather or pitch conditions are not flagged, suggesting standard playing conditions. Both teams show motivation to win early in the season.
  • AVS Futebol SAD's recent head-to-head superiority and desire to assert themselves in the league provide strong motivation. Arouca aims to leverage home support to challenge AVS and gain points to avoid early relegation zone pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -121, AVS Futebol SAD: 335, Draw: 250 Arouca win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arouca: -0.5 -120, AVS Futebol SAD: +50 100 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25 goals: -122, Under 2.25 goals: +102 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A moderately confident prediction favors AVS Futebol SAD to win, given historical dominance and betting odds, although a low scoring game under 2.5 goals is anticipated.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Stoke City vs. Derby County Prediction Stoke City 129 37%
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew SC Prediction Under 2.5 125 35%
Arouca vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Under 2.25 102 31%

Combined Odds: +941 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $208.16

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Arouca vs. Boavista Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Boavista Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

Arouca, currently ranked 12th, faces Boavista Porto, ranked 18th, in the Primeira Liga. Arouca's home advantage and recent form suggest a potential win, while Boavista Porto looks to secure crucial points to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has been performing better than Boavista Porto this season, with a higher ranking in the league. However, Boavista Porto has shown potential in close matches.
  • Historically, Arouca and Boavista Porto have had competitive matches, but recent data suggests Arouca has a slight edge.
  • There is no detailed information available about specific injuries affecting the teams' lineup for this match.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game's intensity and outcome.
  • Arouca is motivated to maintain their position, while Boavista Porto is highly motivated to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: 100, Boavista Porto: 265, Draw: 235 Arouca Win or Draw ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Arouca: -0.5 102, Boavista Porto: 50 -122 Arouca to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 102, Under: 2.5 -122 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current standings and form, Arouca is likely to win or at least draw the match.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Gil Vicente vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 10 May 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Gil Vicente and Arouca is a mid-table clash in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Gil Vicente has shown resilience with wins in recent games, while Arouca has struggled with only one win in their last six matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has won 3 of their last 6 games, showing some consistency. Arouca, however, has only managed 1 win in their last 6 games.
  • Arouca is unbeaten in all 17 meetings against Gil Vicente, but the last two encounters ended in draws.
  • No specific injury reports are mentioned in the available data.
  • Both teams are in the middle of the table, making the match crucial for positioning.
  • Gil Vicente needs to maintain momentum, while Arouca aims to continue their unbeaten record against Gil Vicente.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: 135, Arouca: 200, Draw: 215 Draw ★★☆☆☆ 40%
Spread Arouca: 25 -122, Gil Vicente: -0.25 102 Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Arouca's historical advantage, a draw seems plausible, but recent form favors Gil Vicente.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 4, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction Under 3 -118 ★★★☆☆ 67% (67%)
Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction Arouca Win 105 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Sporting Kansas City vs. LA Galaxy Prediction Over 3 105 ★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +676

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $155.28

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Santa Clara vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Santa Clara and Arouca will take place at Estadio de São Miguel. Santa Clara, mid-table with 47 points, have shown mixed recent form with 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Arouca are lower in the table with 33 points and a recent run of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses. Historically, encounters between these teams have been competitive with a slight edge to Arouca in total wins but Santa Clara stronger at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has a balanced goals scored and conceded record (29:29) and has been solid at home. Arouca has conceded significantly more goals (30:45) and have struggled on the road. Santa Clara's recent home form is better with 2 wins and a draw in last 5 home games versus Arouca's inconsistent away performance.
  • In 18 meetings since 2010, Santa Clara won 3 times, Arouca 9 times, with 6 draws. At home, Santa Clara has 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses against Arouca in last 8 home meetings. The most common result is 0-1 favoring Arouca. Recent matches have been tight.
  • No specific injury updates available from current data. Both teams likely to field strong lineups.
  • The match is played at Santa Clara’s home ground, giving them home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
  • Santa Clara need points to solidify mid-table position and potentially push higher, while Arouca will fight to avoid further slide down the table. Both teams have motivation but Santa Clara's home advantage and recent form provide better incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: -105, Draw: 215, Arouca: 300 Santa Clara Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Santa Clara -0.5: 102, Arouca +50: -122 Santa Clara -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara to win in a close, low-scoring match.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Arouca vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

This match between Arouca and CF Estrela Amadora is a crucial fixture in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Both teams are towards the lower end of the league table, with Arouca in 12th place after recent corrections and Estrela Amadora in a similar position, highlighting the match's importance for both teams to secure better standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a mixed record with 7 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while Estrela Amadora has 5 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses. Arouca generally performs better at home.
  • Recent head-to-head matches show Estrela Amadora won 2-1 in their last meeting, but Arouca has a strong history of scoring against Estrela.
  • No specific injuries mentioned for this match.
  • Weather conditions and home advantage might influence Arouca's performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to gain points and improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -105, CF Estrela: 290, Draw: 220 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arouca: -0.5 102, CF Estrela: 50 -122 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca is likely to win given their home advantage and recent form compared to Estrela Amadora.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Arouca


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Arouca vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 05, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

Arouca and Famalicão face off in the Primeira Liga, each looking to improve their standings. Arouca is seeking to climb out of 13th place, while Famalicão aims to maintain its position near the mid-table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while Famalicão has 8 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses. Arouca's home advantage may play a crucial role.
  • Recent head-to-heads show mixed results, with Arouca winning 3-2 in February 2024 and losing 1-0 in September 2023. The most recent match ended in a 0-0 draw.
  • Famalicão has listed Diogo Filipe Costa Rocha and Leonardo Realpe as injured, which could impact their performance.
  • Weather and crowd support may influence the match, but specific details are not available.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to win, as a victory can significantly boost their league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: 145, Famalicão: 190, Draw: 210 Draw ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Spread Arouca: 0 -130, Famalicão: 0 110 Draw ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão's away form and recent wins give them an edge, but Arouca's home advantage makes the match competitive.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Braga vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Braga vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 29 March 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga

Game Overview

Sporting Braga, currently 3rd in the Liga Portugal with 53 points, is set to face off against FC Arouca, who are 12th with 29 points. Given Braga's strong form, particularly at home, and Arouca's mixed recent performances, Braga is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Braga has been consistent with 27 wins out of 46 matches and maintains an unbeaten streak in 11 of their last 12 clashes against Arouca. Arouca, however, has shown resilience in recent away matches but lacks consistency overall.
  • Braga has a significant head-to-head advantage, winning 12 out of 18 matches against Arouca, which suggests a historical dominance.
  • No significant injury updates are available that could drastically alter the expected outcome.
  • The home advantage at Estádio Municipal de Braga is likely to benefit Braga, given their strong recent performances at home.
  • Braga has higher stakes in terms of league positioning and will be highly motivated to secure a win, whereas Arouca's motivation may be more focused on avoiding relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -140, Draw: 270, Arouca: 360 Braga ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Braga: -0.75 -110, Arouca: 75 -110 Braga ★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Braga is favored to win based on past performances and team dynamics.

Predicted Score: Braga 2, Arouca 0


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